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216 N Oak St
C+ Composite 62.78
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.8/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +7.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$97,000

216 N Oak St · Nokomis, IL 62075
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,100 sqft · SingleFamily · 16 Days on market
Built 1960 8,520 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Fantastic 3BR-1.5BA ranch style home!Cute,eat-in kitchen w/built-in oven & stove-top-great laundry / utility room off kitchen w/entrance to nice, attached 1 car garage w/storage area. 1/2 bath in front BR-lg full bath w/linen closet-New windows-Pretty yard with nice storage shed!.Move-in ready!

Key facts

  • New water heater
  • Whole-house fan
  • New roof

Tags

NEW ROOFUPDATED ELECTRICAL SERVICENEW WATER HEATERBOILER HEATING SYSTEMWHOLE-HOUSE FAN

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 1 parking space
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Built in 1960; Total living area approximately 1100
  • Construction: Shingle roof; Crawl space foundation; Built in 1960
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Lot dimensions approximately 60 x 142; Shingle roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms; All three main-level bedrooms with hardwood flooring
  • Flooring: Hardwood in bedrooms; Carpet in living areas and kitchen
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; Gas water heater; Window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Washer and dryer; Microwave; Refrigerator; No fireplaces; Crawl space basement; Egress windows in some bedrooms
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room; Washer and dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $97k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $150 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $97k).
  • Recommended offer: $96k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#547 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Nokomis CUSD 22 (town): math 32% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #241 of 620 in IL (top 39%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Nokomis Jr/Sr High Sch (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #218 of 693 statewide, top 35%, 312 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 37% district-wide (37 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 16 active listings in the ZIP; 12 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $10k of equity ($671 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Montgomery County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $51k; list at $97k implies a 90% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $95,545 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.06%
Cap rate
8.15%
Cash-on-cash
6.64%
DSCR
1.30
GRM
7.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$62,700
Comps found
11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
323 N Maple St 0.13mi 3/1.0 1,100 (0%) 6mo $64,900 $59 87
625 School St 0.55mi 3/1.0 1,140 (+4%) 1mo $48,000 $42 65
429 Weaver St 0.39mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,040 (-6%) 9mo $129,000 $124 60
620 School St 0.55mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,128 (+2%) 10mo $79,500 $70 55
611 Sanford 0.63mi 3/1.5 1,100 (0%) 20mo $59,900 $54 54
405 N Monroe St 0.43mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,164 (+6%) 12mo $56,000 $48 53
724 Miller St 0.58mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,080 (-2%) 20mo $62,000 $57 47
517 W Union St 0.59mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,014 (-8%) 10mo $80,000 $79 47
618 E Union St 0.51mi 2/1.0 (-1) 999 (-9%) 13mo $82,500 $83 43
419 Monroe St 0.46mi 2/1.0 (-1) 942 (-14%) 10mo $34,900 $37 39
627 Sanford St 0.66mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,061 (-4%) 21mo $33,500 $32 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
29.1%
Equity multiple
3.30×
Total profit
$62,416
Equity at exit
$87,385
10-year hold
IRR
25.3%
Equity multiple
7.49×
Total profit
$176,291
Equity at exit
$188,450

Cash invested: $27,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62075

Home prices YoY
15.1%
Active inventory
16
Price-to-rent
7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,026 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$509
Tax from tax record
$111 /mo · $1,337/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$216
Net cashflow
$150

Break-even live

Break-even rent $836
Max offer price $97,000
Occupancy floor 80%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,250
Closing costs
$2,910
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $97,000 Active 16 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $97,000 Active 15 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $97,000 Active 14 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    price $97,000 Active 13 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $105,000 Active 13 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $105,000 Active 11 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $105,000 Active 10 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $105,000 Active 7 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $105,000 Active 6 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $105,000 Active 5 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $105,000 Active 4 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    remarks 692-char remark
  13. 2026-06-03
    listed $105,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,337 · $111/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,769 · $147/mo
Expected delta
+$433/yr (+$36/mo · 32.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,317
− Mortgage interest
−$5,434
− Property taxes
−$1,337
− Insurance
−$485
− Repairs & maintenance
−$985
− Management
−$985
− Depreciation
−$2,822
Taxable income
$269
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$65
After-tax cash flow
$1,740/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Nokomis CUSD 22
NCES district ID
1728560
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -17.00%
Median HH income
$42,673
Composite
26.76/100
National rank
#7132
State rank
#241 of 620 in IL

Livability — Nokomis

Score
66/100
State rank
#547
US rank
#11441

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Nokomis, IL
City population
3,180
Population (ZIP)
3,180

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
27,471 people
By 2030
26,410 · -3.9%
By 2040
24,233 · -11.8%
By 2050
21,948 · -20.1%
By 2075
16,686 · -39.3%
By 2100
11,369 · -58.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Asian 4% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Iranian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Solid R (+44.0) · D 27.1% · R 71.1% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-46.7pp toward R · 2008: 2.6pp · 2024: -44.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+44.0 2020: R+41.0 2016: R+40.0 2012: R+14.2 2008: D+2.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 25.27%
Current HPI
192.84
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+75.3% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Listed $105,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-11-21 Sold (Public Records) $51,000 Public Records
  • 2014-11-20 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-08-03 Listed $59,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+2.6%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,337 · +8.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…