20141 Redwood Ave · Lynwood, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.9/30.0
- ARV discount +11.7/15.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- DSCR +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$235,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
A lovely split level home in a desirable community offers timeless comfort and with a little tender care, will be a wonderful first or forever home. Enter into a spacious living room, flowing seamlessly into the dining room. Ample sized kitchen with sliding door leading into enclosed back yard excellent for entertaining and safety of children and pets. 3 bedrooms and 2 baths. Lower level includes a cozy family room, separate laundry room, crawl space for extra storage and entry to attached two car garage. Home also includes a new roof, fence, water heater and top tier generator. Schedule your tour today! Need 24 hr show notice.
Key facts
- Enclosed back yard
- Cozy family room
- Split level home
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property listed by Payne Realty; Possession at closing
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 2 garage spaces (2 total parking spaces)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; 1.5-story design; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Combination construction materials; Built approximately 41–50 years ago; Not built before 1978
- Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 60 x 110; Lot under 0.25 acre; School bus service available
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (Main level) — 14 x 15
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom (Second level) — 13 x 12; Bedroom 2 (Second level) — 10 x 15; Bedroom 3 (Second level) — 8 x 11
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Basement contains a bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Finished full basement; Seven total rooms; Separate dining room
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room (Lower level) — 13 x 13
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $235k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-16 ($-194/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $232k (1.2% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $235k).
- Recommended offer: $214k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.5% in Lynwood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#635 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Thornton Fractional Twp Hsd 215 (suburban): math 9% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #563 of 620 in IL (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.5%/yr); 222 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,405/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($62k/yr) (locally 1714% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 98 days — a 9% lower offer ($214k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $128k; list at $235k implies a 84% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 98 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.30%
- DSCR
- 0.99
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $259,500
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20124 Juniper Ave | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,407 (-6%) | 1mo | $279,000 | $198 | 85 |
| 20124 Redwood Ave | 0.06mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,530 (+2%) | 7mo | $235,000 | $154 | 81 |
| 20144 Driftwood Ave | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,530 (+2%) | 10mo | $265,000 | $173 | 80 |
| 19913 Arroyo Ave | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,468 (-2%) | 0mo | $229,000 | $156 | 76 |
| 19808 Lakewood Ave | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,557 (+4%) | 5mo | $233,000 | $150 | 61 |
| 19900 Monterey Ave | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,365 (-9%) | 3mo | $236,500 | $173 | 58 |
| 19805 Crescent Ave | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,566 (+4%) | 6mo | $228,000 | $146 | 54 |
| 20024 Orchard Ave | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,600 (+7%) | 12mo | $295,000 | $184 | 54 |
| 19901 Terrace Ave | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,421 (-5%) | 6mo | $255,000 | $179 | 53 |
| 20073 Park Ave | 0.70mi | 3/3.0 | 1,373 (-8%) | 4mo | $211,500 | $154 | 46 |
| 19729 Orchard Ct | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,341 (-11%) | 8mo | $180,000 | $134 | 45 |
| 20001 Park Ave | 0.73mi | 3/3.0 | 1,308 (-13%) | 7mo | $285,000 | $218 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.48% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.54×
- Total profit
- $-30,179
- Equity at exit
- $35,039
- IRR
- 2.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.18×
- Total profit
- $11,694
- Equity at exit
- $20,319
Cash invested: $65,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60411
- Home prices YoY
- -33.9%
- Rents YoY
- 6.5%
- Active inventory
- 222
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,405 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,232
- Tax from tax record
- −$586 /mo · $7,034/yr
- Insurance
- −$98
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$505
- Net cashflow
- $-16
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $117 | -5% $50 | +0% $-16 | +5% $-83 | +10% $-149 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-206 | -5% $-111 | +0% $-16 | +5% $79 | +10% $174 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $102 | -0.5pp $44 | base $-16 | +0.5pp $-77 | +1.0pp $-139 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $58,750
- Closing costs
- $7,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20078 Monterey Ave Lynwood, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1128 | $2,850 | $2.53 | 2d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 20067 Orchard Ave Lynwood, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1084 | $2,200 | $2.03 | 2d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 2520 Cedar Glen Dr N Lynwood, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1992 | $2,600 | $1.31 | 2d | 1 | 0.61mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $235,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $235,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $235,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $235,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $235,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $235,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $235,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $235,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $235,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $235,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $235,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $235,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $235,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-04-27price $235,000
-
2026-03-12$250,000 Active
-
2025-11-19historical
-
2025-09-27price
-
2025-07-19Active
-
1997-08-04soldstatus $128,000
-
1993-03-09soldstatus $119,000
-
1987-06-18soldstatus $110,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $7,034 · $586/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,034 · $586/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,864
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,164
- − Property taxes
- −$7,034
- − Insurance
- −$1,175
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,309
- − Management
- −$2,309
- − Depreciation
- −$6,836
- Taxable loss
- −$3,963
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$951
- After-tax cash flow
- $757/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Thornton Fractional Twp Hsd 215
- NCES district ID
- 1738940
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 13% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,207
- Composite
- 10.27/100
- National rank
- #9793
- State rank
- #563 of 620 in IL
Livability — Lynwood
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #635
- US rank
- #12997
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lynwood, IL
- County
- Cook County · 4,486,803 people
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 52,175
- Household income
- $62,073
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1714.0
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 49% Hispanic / Latino 26% White 19% Two or more races 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 22% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Portuguese 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 21% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -108.75%
- Current HPI
- 212.4058
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.48%
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+113.6% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Price Changed $235,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-12 Listed $250,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-19 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-27 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-19 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1997-08-04 Sold (Public Records) $128,000 Public Records
- 1993-03-09 Sold (Public Records) $119,000 Public Records
- 1987-06-18 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.9%/yrLatest (2023): $7,034 · -3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…