30 N Pine St · Lewistown, PA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.1/30.0
- DSCR +9.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.1/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Well kept 1/2 double with tons of room! Formal dining room adds for entertaining. 3 large bedrooms and full bath up. Main floor laundry. Rear concrete patio with partial privacy fence for peaceful evenings. Call now!
Key facts
- First floor laundry
- Tastefully remodeled
- Patio and yard
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Public parking nearby; Gravel driveway; Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Semi-detached home; Estimated year built; Entry facing/direction not specified
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Stone foundation; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Porch(es)
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (appliances not specified)
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the upper level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard electric heating; Forced air heating; Heating fuel: Electric and natural gas
- Interior features: Attic; Full, unfinished basement with interior access
- Laundry & utility: Hot water: Electric
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $226 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 5.0% in Lewistown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#1,057 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D+, commute F, employment F.
- Mifflin County SD (town): math 28% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #380 of 539 in PA (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Mifflin Co Hs (math 76% / reading 24%, grade D+, #133 of 437 statewide, top 30%, 1,086 students, 34% FRL).
- Market conditions: 73 active listings in the ZIP; 58 units permitted in Mifflin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Mifflin County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $71k; 41% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.07%
- DSCR
- 1.54
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.94×
- Total profit
- $-1,762
- Equity at exit
- $14,910
- IRR
- 8.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.61×
- Total profit
- $17,173
- Equity at exit
- $8,646
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17044
- Home prices YoY
- -6.7%
- Active inventory
- 73
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,206 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$105 /mo · $1,258/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$253
- Net cashflow
- $226
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-05-01status Pending
-
2026-04-22historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-04-11status Pending
-
2026-04-03$100,000 Active
-
2022-06-06soldstatus $71,000
-
2021-10-01soldstatus $45,000
-
2017-12-19soldstatus $28,000
-
2017-12-18soldstatus $28,000 216-char remark
Show marketing remark (216 chars)
Well kept 1/2 double with tons of room! Formal dining room adds for entertaining. 3 large bedrooms and full bath up. Main floor laundry. Rear concrete patio with partial privacy fence for peaceful evenings. Call now!
-
2017-07-20$33,000 216-char remark
Show marketing remark (216 chars)
Well kept 1/2 double with tons of room! Formal dining room adds for entertaining. 3 large bedrooms and full bath up. Main floor laundry. Rear concrete patio with partial privacy fence for peaceful evenings. Call now!
-
2007-02-06soldstatus $36,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,258 · $105/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,419 · $118/mo
- Expected delta
- +$161/yr (+$13/mo · 12.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,470
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$1,258
- − Insurance
- −$1,166
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,158
- − Management
- −$1,158
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $1,219
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$293
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,421/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mifflin County SD
- NCES district ID
- 4215290
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,718
- Composite
- 32.28/100
- National rank
- #5755
- State rank
- #380 of 539 in PA
Livability — Lewistown
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #1057
- US rank
- #11920
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lewistown, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,526
Population outlook (Mifflin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 44,611 people
- By 2030
- 43,212 · -3.1%
- By 2040
- 40,197 · -9.9%
- By 2050
- 36,813 · -17.5%
- By 2075
- 28,833 · -35.4%
- By 2100
- 20,296 · -54.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Polish 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Mifflin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+56.4) · D 21.4% · R 77.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.8pp toward R · 2008: -33.7pp · 2024: -56.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+56.4 2020: R+56.1 2016: R+57.5 2012: R+46.8 2008: R+33.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -15.27%
- Current HPI
- 214.2729
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+177.8% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-22 Contingent — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-11 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-03 Listed $100,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-06-06 Sold (Public Records) $71,000 Public Records
- 2021-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
- 2017-12-19 Sold (Public Records) $28,000 Public Records
- 2017-12-18 Sold (MLS) $28,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2017-07-20 Listed $33,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2007-02-06 Sold (Public Records) $36,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.8%/yrLatest (2026): $1,258 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…