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15 Howard Pl 🏷️ Likely Rental
B+ Composite 76.01
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$56,000

15 Howard Pl · Richmond, IN 47374
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,008 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1920 1,089 sqft lot Est $84k · 33% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Currently occupied with a month to month tenant paying $450 per month for this 2 BR, 1 BA, 2 story townhouse. Annual HOA fee of $200. Call or Text Debbie Rudd at 765-969-6822 for additional information.

Key facts

  • Built 1920
  • Listed 7 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential condominium; 2-story
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: Asphalt shingle roof; Residential zoning

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 5 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Electric range; Refrigerator; Gas water heater; Full unfinished basement
  • Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $56,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$83,664) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $56k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $319 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($871 rent vs $56k).
  • Cap rate 13.1% vs local median 5.2% in Richmond — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#10 in IN, #869 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, employment D-.
  • Richmond Community Schools (town): math 18% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #270 of 301 in IN (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Starr Elementary School (math 22% / reading 12%, grade F, #837 of 994 statewide, top 86%, 212 students, 93% FRL); Test Intermediate School (math 13% / reading 24%, grade F, #276 of 330 statewide, top 84%, 762 students, 75% FRL); Richmond High School (math 21% / reading 48%, grade F, #270 of 369 statewide, top 77%, 1,332 students, 66% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 277 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 38 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $387 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $36k; list at $56k implies a 56% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $56,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.55%
Cap rate
13.12%
Cash-on-cash
24.39%
DSCR
2.09
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$83,664
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
327 N 10th St #18 0.00mi 2/1.0 1,008 (0%) 2mo $56,201 $56 98
9 NW J St 0.68mi 2/1.0 984 (-2%) 3mo $81,500 $83 62
836 N 12th St 0.42mi 2/1.0 924 (-8%) 11mo $70,000 $76 58
31 NW J St 0.70mi 2/1.0 952 (-6%) 2mo $78,000 $82 56
948 Sheridan St 0.69mi 2/1.0 946 (-6%) 5mo $90,000 $95 54
800 15th St 0.53mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,065 (+6%) 11mo $29,500 $28 52
106 NW G St 0.72mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,056 (+5%) 6mo $70,000 $66 48
827 N 17th St 0.69mi 3/1.0 (+1) 960 (-5%) 9mo $89,900 $94 48
413 NW 2nd St 0.75mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,074 (+6%) 12mo $71,500 $67 39
1120 Butler St 0.75mi 2/1.0 896 (-11%) 10mo $79,000 $88 39
1017 Butler St 0.66mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,144 (+14%) 3mo $100,000 $87 36
8 Sunset Dr 0.74mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,152 (+14%) 8mo $163,900 $142 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.7%
Equity multiple
1.72×
Total profit
$11,228
Equity at exit
$8,350
10-year hold
IRR
26.2%
Equity multiple
3.29×
Total profit
$35,926
Equity at exit
$4,842

Cash invested: $15,680 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 47374

Active inventory
277
Price-to-rent
5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$871 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$294
Tax from tax record
$52 /mo · $624/yr
Insurance
$23
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$183
Net cashflow
$319

Break-even live

Break-even rent $467
Max offer price $56,000
Occupancy floor 58%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $350 -5% $335 +0% $319 +5% $303 +10% $287
Rent -10% $250 -5% $284 +0% $319 +5% $353 +10% $388
Rate -1.0pp $347 -0.5pp $333 base $319 +0.5pp $304 +1.0pp $289

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,000
Closing costs
$1,680
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
401 N 10th St Richmond, IN 1.0–2.0 1.0 817 $895 $1.09 45d 3 0.06mi
1032 S 23rd St Richmond, IN 1.0–2.0 1.0 937 $790 $0.84 45d 4 1.49mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-12
    statusdays on market $56,000 Pending 7 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $56,000 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $56,000 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    remarks 699-char remark
  5. 2026-06-07
    listed $56,000 Active 4 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$624 · $52/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$624 · $52/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,447
− Mortgage interest
−$3,137
− Property taxes
−$624
− Insurance
−$280
− Repairs & maintenance
−$836
− Management
−$836
− Depreciation
−$1,629
Taxable income
$3,105
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$745
After-tax cash flow
$3,080/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Richmond Community Schools
NCES district ID
1809510
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$35,288
Composite
18.55/100
National rank
#8913
State rank
#270 of 301 in IN

Livability — Richmond

Score
83/100
State rank
#10
US rank
#869

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Richmond, IN
County
Wayne County · 44,615 people
City population
44,615
Metro
Richmond, IN
Population (ZIP)
44,615
Household income
$50,766
Rent vs Own
36.0% rent · 64.0% own
Severe rent burden
1600.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
63,316 people
By 2030
60,893 · -3.8%
By 2040
55,386 · -12.5%
By 2050
49,946 · -21.1%
By 2075
37,900 · -40.1%
By 2100
26,562 · -58.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Two or more races 7% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Solid R (+32.5) · D 32.9% · R 65.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-28.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.9pp · 2024: -32.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+32.5 2020: R+29.1 2016: R+30.1 2012: R+14.7 2008: R+3.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -118.64%
Current HPI
182.5038
Rent YoY
Metro
Richmond, IN
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+119.6% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $56,000 RRELMS
  • 2025-08-22 Sold (MLS) $36,000 RRELMS
  • 2025-08-08 Delisted RRELMS
  • 2025-07-22 Listed $35,000 RRELMS
  • 2015-05-20 Sold (MLS) $21,000 RRELMS
  • 2015-02-09 Listed $25,500 RRELMS

Property tax history

-3.1%/yr

Latest (2024): $624 · +13.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…