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417 Merriman St
B+ Composite 75.31
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$75,000

417 Merriman St · Eden, NC 27288
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 840 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 69 Days on market
Built 1945 7,405 sqft lot Est $117k · 36% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • 7,405 sq ft lot
  • Built 1945
  • Listed 68 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Building area reported as 850 (area value provided)
  • HOA & community: No homeowners association; Located in the Village Of Draper

Exterior

  • Parking: Gravel parking
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Electric water heater
  • Home design: Residential stick/site-built house; One story; Built in 1945; Existing structure
  • Construction: Block construction
  • Exterior features: Public water; Public maintained road; Lot approximately 0.17 acres

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; No fuel heating listed; No cooling
  • Interior features: Primary bedroom on the main level
  • Laundry & utility: Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $343 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $70k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.8% vs local median 4.3% in Eden — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#224 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime D-, amenities F.
  • Rockingham County Schools (rural): math 38% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #120 of 178 in NC (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 208 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 344 units permitted in Rockingham County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Rockingham County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $10k; list at $75k implies a 650% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $70,500 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.37%
Cap rate
11.78%
Cash-on-cash
19.61%
DSCR
1.87
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$116,760
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
406 S Byrd St 0.10mi 2/1.0 861 (+2%) 6mo $120,000 $139 86
124 S Byrd St 0.31mi 2/1.0 816 (-3%) 1mo $92,000 $113 80
1424 South Ave 0.28mi 2/1.5 801 (-5%) 12mo $155,000 $194 67
1108 Maryland Ave 0.46mi 2/1.0 825 (-2%) 14mo $23,000 $28 64
501 Overby St 0.37mi 3/1.0 (+1) 890 (+6%) 6mo $145,000 $163 62
107 S High St 0.55mi 2/1.0 803 (-4%) 6mo $23,000 $29 62
1202 Ridge Ave 0.52mi 2/1.0 937 (+12%) 1mo $47,500 $51 56
311 S Fieldcrest Rd 0.36mi 2/1.0 932 (+11%) 12mo $148,000 $159 55
1233 Front St 0.72mi 2/1.0 777 (-8%) 6mo $120,000 $154 49
545 S Fieldcrest Rd 0.65mi 2/1.0 922 (+10%) 10mo $150,000 $163 45
1411 Ridge Ave 0.53mi 2/1.0 964 (+15%) 8mo $89,500 $93 44
1140 Fieldcrest Rd 0.68mi 1/1.0 (-1) 752 (-10%) 14mo $32,000 $43 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.6%
Equity multiple
1.46×
Total profit
$9,689
Equity at exit
$11,183
10-year hold
IRR
20.6%
Equity multiple
2.74×
Total profit
$36,520
Equity at exit
$6,485

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27288

Home prices YoY
-26.5%
Active inventory
208
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,028 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$44 /mo · $529/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$216
Net cashflow
$343

Break-even live

Break-even rent $593
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 62%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1318 Ridge Ave Eden, NC 2.0 2.0 783 $1,100 $1.40 21d 1 0.49mi
1314 Front St Eden, NC 2.0 1.0 1040 $1,100 $1.06 23d 1 0.70mi
1318 Front St Eden, NC 3.0 1.0 1007 $1,000 $0.99 23d 1 0.70mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $75,000 Active 69 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $75,000 Active 68 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $75,000 Active 67 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    price $75,000 Active 66 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $85,000 Active 66 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $85,000 Active 64 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $85,000 Active 63 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $85,000 Active 61 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $85,000 Active 60 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $85,000 Active 59 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $85,000 Active 58 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $85,000 Active 54 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $85,000 Active 53 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $85,000 Active 52 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $85,000 Active 51 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $85,000 Active 50 DOM
  17. 2026-05-22
    price $85,000
  18. 2026-04-28
    price $95,000
  19. 2026-04-10
    listed $110,000 Active
  20. 1997-05-19
    soldstatus $10,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$529 · $44/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$615 · $51/mo
Expected delta
+$86/yr (+$7/mo · 16.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,331
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$529
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$987
− Management
−$987
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$3,071
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$737
After-tax cash flow
$3,381/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rockingham County Schools
NCES district ID
3703990
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$38,914
Composite
32.6/100
National rank
#5673
State rank
#120 of 178 in NC

Livability — Eden

Score
67/100
State rank
#224
US rank
#10535

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Eden, NC
County
Rockingham County · 22,926 people
City population
22,926
Metro
Greensboro-High Point, NC
Population (ZIP)
22,926
Household income
$52,594
Rent vs Own
37.8% rent · 62.2% own
Severe rent burden
860.0

Population outlook (Rockingham County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
87,103 people
By 2030
83,763 · -3.8%
By 2040
76,082 · -12.7%
By 2050
68,106 · -21.8%
By 2075
52,531 · -39.7%
By 2100
39,871 · -54.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (67%)
Race & ethnicity
White 67% Black 23% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 5% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Rockingham

2024 margin
Solid R (+35.9) · D 31.7% · R 67.6%
2008→2024 swing
-19.9pp toward R · 2008: -16.0pp · 2024: -35.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+35.9 2020: R+32.0 2016: R+30.0 2012: R+21.3 2008: R+16.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -66.28%
Current HPI
183.5709
Rent YoY
Metro
Greensboro-High Point, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+750.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Price Changed $85,000 Triad MLS
  • 2026-04-28 Price Changed $95,000 Triad MLS
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $110,000 Triad MLS
  • 1997-05-19 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $529 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…