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168 Park Ave Duplex
D- Composite 35.96
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.9/30.0
  • Schools +6.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • DSCR +3.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$1,295,000

168 Park Ave · Harrison, NY 10528
6 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,505 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 31 Days on market
Built 1963 7,841 sqft lot Est $1105k · 17% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Presenting a rare opportunity to own a well-maintained, versatile two-family residence in the highly desirable town of Harrison, offering the perfect balance of comfortable living and income potential. The main level features a spacious three-bedroom, two-bath home with a natural flow ideal for everyday living and entertaining. Highlights include separate dining and living rooms, a fireplace, and a well-proportioned screened-in porch with direct access to the backyard. Upstairs, a spacious two-bedroom, one-bath apartment offers a bright and functional layout complete with a very large living room, an eat-in kitchen, and access to the attic—providing additional storage and flexibility

Key facts

  • Screened in porch
  • Private backyard
  • Eat in kitchen

Tags

SCREENED IN PORCHVERY LARGE LIVING ROOMEAT IN KITCHENACCESS TO ATTICFINISHED BASEMENTPRIVATE BACKYARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $1.29M.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-335 ($-4k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-167/mo.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $1.24M (4.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.04M (19.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $1.04M (19.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 2.2% in Harrison — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#355 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: housing C-, amenities F, cost of living F.
  • Harrison Central School District (suburban): math 69% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #92 of 590 in NY (top 16%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.7%/yr); 62 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $10,408/mo this rent would consume 81% of the median local household income ($154k/yr) (locally 461% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $9k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $39k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($1.26M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $1,040,800 (19.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  4. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  5. Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.80%
Cap rate
5.98%
Cash-on-cash
-1.11%
DSCR
0.95
GRM
10.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$1,104,705
Comps found
9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
183 Park Ave 0.05mi 5/3.0 (-1) 2,549 (+2%) 2mo $1,125,000 $441 84
115 Calvert St 0.28mi 6/2.0 2,612 (+4%) 6mo $1,275,000 $488 75
85 Franklin Ave 0.32mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,337 (-7%) 9mo $1,100,000 $471 62
135 Webster Ave 0.46mi 6/— 2,678 (+7%) 12mo $999,000 $373 57
9 Walnut Ln 0.32mi 6/2.0 2,216 (-12%) 14mo $1,075,000 $485 54
136 Nelson Ave 0.61mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,484 (-1%) 17mo $955,000 $384 51
6-8 Marion Ave 0.22mi 6/6.0 2,840 (+13%) 3mo $1,355,000 $477 49
7 Harris Ln 0.28mi 6/5.0 2,757 (+10%) 17mo $1,185,000 $430 44
97 Crotona Ave 0.47mi 6/2.0 2,232 (-11%) 23mo $965,000 $432 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.9%
Equity multiple
0.51×
Total profit
$-176,237
Equity at exit
$193,089
10-year hold
IRR
2.2%
Equity multiple
1.19×
Total profit
$69,098
Equity at exit
$111,968

Cash invested: $362,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 10528

Home prices YoY
-18.4%
Rents YoY
9.7%
Active inventory
62
Price-to-rent
20.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$10,408 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$6,791
Tax from tax record
$1,226 /mo · $14,715/yr
Insurance
$540
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$2,186
Net cashflow
$-335

Break-even live

Break-even rent $10,832
Max offer price $1,235,892
Occupancy floor 98%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $398 -5% $32 +0% $-335 +5% $-701 +10% $-1,068
Rent -10% $-1,157 -5% $-746 +0% $-335 +5% $77 +10% $488
Rate -1.0pp $318 -0.5pp $-5 base $-335 +0.5pp $-670 +1.0pp $-1,012

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $10,408

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$323,750
Closing costs
$38,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
124 Nelson Ave Harrison, NY 5.0 4.5 3392 $12,500 $3.69 17d 1 0.56mi
625 Lorraine St Mamaroneck, NY 5.0 2.0 1926 $6,300 $3.27 0d 1 0.89mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-04-29
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-27
    listed $1,295,000 Active
  3. 2025-10-08
    historical $5,999
  4. 2025-08-23
    price $5,999
  5. 2025-07-17
    price $6,398
  6. 2025-06-13
    price $6,399
  7. 2025-04-11
    listed $6,400
  8. 2025-02-20
    historical $5,400
  9. 2025-02-07
    price $5,400
  10. 2025-02-04
    listed $5,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$14,715 · $1,226/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$18,300 · $1,525/mo
Expected delta
+$3,585/yr (+$299/mo · 24.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$124,896
− Mortgage interest
−$72,540
− Property taxes
−$14,715
− Insurance
−$6,475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$9,992
− Management
−$9,992
− Depreciation
−$37,673
Taxable loss
−$26,490
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$6,358
After-tax cash flow
$2,342/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Harrison Central School District
NCES district ID
3613740
Math proficiency
69% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
72% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$105,919
Composite
65.12/100
National rank
#497
State rank
#92 of 590 in NY

Livability — Harrison

Score
72/100
State rank
#355
US rank
#5963

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime A Employment A+ Housing C- Health & safety D- User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Harrison, NY
County
Westchester County · 709,332 people
City population
14,091
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
14,091
Household income
$154,416
Rent vs Own
46.0% rent · 54.0% own
Severe rent burden
461.0

Population outlook (Westchester County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,028,035 people
By 2030
1,051,636 · +2.3%
By 2040
1,098,520 · +6.9%
By 2050
1,136,044 · +10.5%
By 2075
1,196,925 · +16.4%
By 2100
1,175,147 · +14.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Hispanic / Latino 16% Asian 10% Two or more races 5% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4% Salvadoran 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
23% · Canada, Dominican Republic, China
Languages at home
70% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 8% Other Asian/Pacific 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Westchester

2024 margin
Strong D (+26.3) · D 63.1% · R 36.9%
2008→2024 swing
-1.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.6pp · 2024: 26.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+26.3 2020: D+36.3 2016: D+32.8 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+27.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -66.61%
Current HPI
296.3824
Rent YoY
▲ 9.65%
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+21849.2% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-29 Pending OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-27 Listed $1,295,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-08 Rental Removed $5,999 ONEKEY
  • 2025-08-23 Price Changed $5,999 ONEKEY
  • 2025-07-17 Price Changed $6,398 ONEKEY
  • 2025-06-13 Price Changed $6,399 ONEKEY
  • 2025-04-11 Listed for Rent $6,400 ONEKEY
  • 2025-02-20 Rental Removed $5,400 Avail
  • 2025-02-07 Price Changed $5,400 Avail
  • 2025-02-04 Listed for Rent $5,900 Avail

Property tax history

-1.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $14,715 · -29.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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