Duplex
168 Park Ave · Harrison, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.9/30.0
- Schools +6.5/10.0
- Rent growth +4.9/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- DSCR +3.5/10.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$1,295,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Presenting a rare opportunity to own a well-maintained, versatile two-family residence in the highly desirable town of Harrison, offering the perfect balance of comfortable living and income potential. The main level features a spacious three-bedroom, two-bath home with a natural flow ideal for everyday living and entertaining. Highlights include separate dining and living rooms, a fireplace, and a well-proportioned screened-in porch with direct access to the backyard. Upstairs, a spacious two-bedroom, one-bath apartment offers a bright and functional layout complete with a very large living room, an eat-in kitchen, and access to the attic—providing additional storage and flexibility
Key facts
- Screened in porch
- Private backyard
- Eat in kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $1.29M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-335 ($-4k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-167/mo.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $1.24M (4.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.04M (19.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $1.04M (19.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 2.2% in Harrison — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#355 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: housing C-, amenities F, cost of living F.
- Harrison Central School District (suburban): math 69% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #92 of 590 in NY (top 16%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.7%/yr); 62 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $10,408/mo this rent would consume 81% of the median local household income ($154k/yr) (locally 461% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $9k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $39k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($1.26M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.11%
- DSCR
- 0.95
- GRM
- 10.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $1,104,705
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 183 Park Ave | 0.05mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 2,549 (+2%) | 2mo | $1,125,000 | $441 | 84 |
| 115 Calvert St | 0.28mi | 6/2.0 | 2,612 (+4%) | 6mo | $1,275,000 | $488 | 75 |
| 85 Franklin Ave | 0.32mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,337 (-7%) | 9mo | $1,100,000 | $471 | 62 |
| 135 Webster Ave | 0.46mi | 6/— | 2,678 (+7%) | 12mo | $999,000 | $373 | 57 |
| 9 Walnut Ln | 0.32mi | 6/2.0 | 2,216 (-12%) | 14mo | $1,075,000 | $485 | 54 |
| 136 Nelson Ave | 0.61mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,484 (-1%) | 17mo | $955,000 | $384 | 51 |
| 6-8 Marion Ave | 0.22mi | 6/6.0 | 2,840 (+13%) | 3mo | $1,355,000 | $477 | 49 |
| 7 Harris Ln | 0.28mi | 6/5.0 | 2,757 (+10%) | 17mo | $1,185,000 | $430 | 44 |
| 97 Crotona Ave | 0.47mi | 6/2.0 | 2,232 (-11%) | 23mo | $965,000 | $432 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.51×
- Total profit
- $-176,237
- Equity at exit
- $193,089
- IRR
- 2.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.19×
- Total profit
- $69,098
- Equity at exit
- $111,968
Cash invested: $362,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 10528
- Home prices YoY
- -18.4%
- Rents YoY
- 9.7%
- Active inventory
- 62
- Price-to-rent
- 20.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $10,408 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$6,791
- Tax from tax record
- −$1,226 /mo · $14,715/yr
- Insurance
- −$540
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$2,186
- Net cashflow
- $-335
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $398 | -5% $32 | +0% $-335 | +5% $-701 | +10% $-1,068 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,157 | -5% $-746 | +0% $-335 | +5% $77 | +10% $488 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $318 | -0.5pp $-5 | base $-335 | +0.5pp $-670 | +1.0pp $-1,012 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 2 | $10,408 |
| #1 | 3 | 2 | $5,204 |
| #2 | 3 | 2 | $5,204 |
| Total (2 units) | $10,408 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $323,750
- Closing costs
- $38,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 124 Nelson Ave Harrison, NY | 5.0 | 4.5 | 3392 | $12,500 | $3.69 | 17d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 625 Lorraine St Mamaroneck, NY | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1926 | $6,300 | $3.27 | 0d | 1 | 0.89mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-04-29status Pending
-
2026-03-27$1,295,000 Active
-
2025-10-08historical $5,999
-
2025-08-23price $5,999
-
2025-07-17price $6,398
-
2025-06-13price $6,399
-
2025-04-11$6,400
-
2025-02-20historical $5,400
-
2025-02-07price $5,400
-
2025-02-04$5,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $14,715 · $1,226/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $18,300 · $1,525/mo
- Expected delta
- +$3,585/yr (+$299/mo · 24.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $124,896
- − Mortgage interest
- −$72,540
- − Property taxes
- −$14,715
- − Insurance
- −$6,475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$9,992
- − Management
- −$9,992
- − Depreciation
- −$37,673
- Taxable loss
- −$26,490
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$6,358
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,342/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Harrison Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3613740
- Math proficiency
- 69% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 72% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $105,919
- Composite
- 65.12/100
- National rank
- #497
- State rank
- #92 of 590 in NY
Livability — Harrison
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #355
- US rank
- #5963
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Harrison, NY
- County
- Westchester County · 709,332 people
- City population
- 14,091
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,091
- Household income
- $154,416
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 461.0
Population outlook (Westchester County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,028,035 people
- By 2030
- 1,051,636 · +2.3%
- By 2040
- 1,098,520 · +6.9%
- By 2050
- 1,136,044 · +10.5%
- By 2075
- 1,196,925 · +16.4%
- By 2100
- 1,175,147 · +14.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Hispanic / Latino 16% Asian 10% Two or more races 5% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4% Salvadoran 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 23% · Canada, Dominican Republic, China
- Languages at home
- 70% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 8% Other Asian/Pacific 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Westchester
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+26.3) · D 63.1% · R 36.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.6pp · 2024: 26.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+26.3 2020: D+36.3 2016: D+32.8 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+27.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -66.61%
- Current HPI
- 296.3824
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 9.65%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+21849.2% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-27 Listed $1,295,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-08 Rental Removed $5,999 ONEKEY
- 2025-08-23 Price Changed $5,999 ONEKEY
- 2025-07-17 Price Changed $6,398 ONEKEY
- 2025-06-13 Price Changed $6,399 ONEKEY
- 2025-04-11 Listed for Rent $6,400 ONEKEY
- 2025-02-20 Rental Removed $5,400 Avail
- 2025-02-07 Price Changed $5,400 Avail
- 2025-02-04 Listed for Rent $5,900 Avail
Property tax history
-1.3%/yrLatest (2025): $14,715 · -29.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…