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532 81st St S
C Composite 56.33
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.1/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$94,900

532 81st St S · Birmingham, AL 35206
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,100 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 16 Days on market
Built 1958 7,840 sqft lot Est $80k · 18% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Nice starter home or a great investment property. This all brick 3 bedroom 1 bath home has been updated with newer paint, flooring and HVAC. Home is currently rented through 12/31/2026

Key facts

  • 7,840 sq ft lot
  • Built 1958
  • Listed 16 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Parcel ID: 23-00-11-4-034-004.000; Lot size about 0.18 acre; Subdivision: South Highlands
  • Financial info: No financial details provided
  • HOA & community: No association fees

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Security: No security features listed
  • Utilities: Public water; Sewer connected; Electric water heater; Internet service availability (provider TBD)
  • Home design: Existing property; Four-sided brick construction
  • Construction: Basement foundation; Full unfinished concrete block basement
  • Exterior features: No pool, patio, deck, or garden/patio; Not waterfront; Flood plain: no; Lot view: no

Interior

  • Kitchen: Laminate countertops; Kitchen on main level
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Hardwood and hardwood laminate floors
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom with tub/shower combo on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central cooling
  • Interior features: Ceilings: other (see remarks); No additional interior features listed
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry in a closet; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $329 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
  • Recommended offer: $93k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 6.2% in Birmingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#78 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, employment F.
  • Birmingham City (urban): math 4% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #116 of 129 in AL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Barrett Elementary School (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #618 of 627 statewide, top 100%, 405 students, 88% FRL); Woodlawn High Schoolmagnet (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #291 of 305 statewide, top 100%, 738 students, 91% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 128 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $656 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.8% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($93k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $67k; 42% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $93,476 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.24%
Cap rate
10.45%
Cash-on-cash
14.85%
DSCR
1.66
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$80,300
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7915 7th Ave S 0.19mi 3/1.0 1,162 (+6%) 1mo $85,000 $73 81
740 81st Pl S 0.14mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,137 (+3%) 1mo $40,000 $35 78
7830 5th Ave S 0.28mi 3/1.0 1,151 (+5%) 1mo $142,500 $124 78
816 Vanderbilt St 0.53mi 3/1.0 1,096 (-0%) 3mo $81,500 $74 72
758 Vanderbilt St 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,096 (-0%) 3mo $175,000 $160 70
8020 4th Ave S 0.20mi 3/1.0 1,211 (+10%) 5mo $84,500 $70 70
8313 3rd Ave S 0.42mi 3/1.0 1,195 (+9%) 2mo $90,000 $75 65
1009 S 82nd St 0.53mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,094 (-0%) 6mo $55,000 $50 65
7709 S 1st Ave 0.63mi 3/1.0 1,064 (-3%) 3mo $60,000 $56 63
7432 Queenstown Ave 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,127 (+2%) 5mo $179,000 $159 58
518 84th St S 0.40mi 2/1.0 (-1) 993 (-10%) 4mo $45,500 $46 57
429 86th Pl S 0.68mi 2/1.0 (-1) 936 (-15%) 2mo $45,000 $48 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.82% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.1%
Equity multiple
1.16×
Total profit
$4,169
Equity at exit
$14,150
10-year hold
IRR
12.5%
Equity multiple
1.94×
Total profit
$24,994
Equity at exit
$8,205

Cash invested: $26,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35206

Home prices YoY
-32.0%
Rents YoY
1.8%
Active inventory
128
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,180 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$66 /mo · $793/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$248
Net cashflow
$329

Break-even live

Break-even rent $764
Max offer price $94,900
Occupancy floor 67%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,725
Closing costs
$2,847
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
514 81st St S Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.0 1174 $1,295 $1.10 44d 1 0.06mi
512 81st St S Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1156 $1,150 $0.99 44d 1 0.07mi
731 81st St S Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1221 $995 $0.81 10d 1 0.11mi
735 81st St S Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1224 $1,400 $1.14 23d 1 0.13mi
8122 Rugby Ave Unit B Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 900 $795 $0.88 44d 1 0.15mi
7931 7th Ave S Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1320 $1,450 $1.10 44d 1 0.18mi
8035 4th Ave S Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1096 $1,050 $0.96 44d 1 0.18mi
8242 Vassar Ave Birmingham, AL 4.0 1.0 1212 $1,100 $0.91 44d 1 0.19mi
8108 4th Ave S Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1384 $1,200 $0.87 44d 1 0.20mi
8211 Rugby Ave Birmingham, AL 4.0 1.0 966 $1,250 $1.29 44d 1 0.21mi
8013 Rugby Ave Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1460 $1,150 $0.79 23d 1 0.21mi
730 82nd Pl S Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 896 $1,023 $1.14 3d 1 0.21mi
764 81st St S Unit B Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 800 $800 $1.00 44d 1 0.22mi
8202 4th Ave S Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1178 $1,075 $0.91 44d 1 0.25mi
745 82nd Pl S Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,168 $0.97 2d 1 0.26mi
775 81st Pl S Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1232 $1,095 $0.89 23d 1 0.26mi
768 80th Pl S Unit 1 Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1134 $1,200 $1.06 44d 1 0.27mi
624 83rd Pl S Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 780 $975 $1.25 44d 1 0.31mi
8129 2nd Ave S Unit B Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 900 $800 $0.89 44d 1 0.31mi
636 83rd Pl S Birmingham, AL 2.0 2.0 1062 $1,175 $1.11 44d 1 0.31mi
7827 Rugby Ave Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1365 $850 $0.62 3d 1 0.33mi
7823 Rugby Ave Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1023 $1,175 $1.15 44d 1 0.34mi
8128 2nd Ave S Birmingham, AL 4.0 1.0 1390 $1,150 $0.83 23d 1 0.35mi
7815 4th Ave S Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1496 $1,650 $1.10 1d 1 0.37mi
7829 3rd Ave S Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.5 1005 $1,025 $1.02 44d 1 0.38mi
7825 Rugby Ct Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 929 $875 $0.94 21d 1 0.39mi
8021 1st Ave S Unit A Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 980 $950 $0.97 23d 1 0.40mi
8149 1st Ave S Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,200 $0.92 44d 1 0.41mi
8408 5th Ave S Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,528 $1.39 44d 1 0.42mi
8408 5th Ave S Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 890 $1,295 $1.46 10d 1 0.42mi
8240 2nd Ave S Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 990 $875 $0.88 23d 1 0.42mi
7801 3rd Ave S Unit B Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.5 1100 $1,000 $0.91 44d 1 0.43mi
8229 9th Ave S Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 997 $1,195 $1.20 3d 1 0.44mi
832 79th Pl S Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 960 $1,250 $1.30 23d 1 0.44mi
7740 Rugby Ave Unit 2 Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 800 $1,000 $1.25 44d 1 0.50mi
7740 Rugby Ave Unit b Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 800 $1,100 $1.38 44d 1 0.50mi
7701 7th Ave S Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 800 $850 $1.06 23d 1 0.51mi
756 Vanderbilt St Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1096 $1,000 $0.91 44d 1 0.51mi
7728 Rugby Ave Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 700 $850 $1.21 44d 1 0.52mi
7808 Vienna Ave Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 904 $850 $0.94 44d 1 0.53mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $94,900 Active 16 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $94,900 Active 15 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $94,900 Active 14 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $94,900 Active 13 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $94,900 Active 11 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $94,900 Active 8 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $94,900 Active 7 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $94,900 Active 6 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $94,900 Active 5 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    remarks 184-char remark
  11. 2026-06-03
    listed $94,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$793 · $66/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$793 · $66/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,160
− Mortgage interest
−$5,316
− Property taxes
−$793
− Insurance
−$474
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,133
− Management
−$1,133
− Depreciation
−$2,761
Taxable income
$2,550
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$612
After-tax cash flow
$3,335/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Birmingham City
NCES district ID
0100390
Math proficiency
4% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$31,988
Composite
9.49/100
National rank
#9850
State rank
#116 of 129 in AL

Livability — Birmingham

Score
67/100
State rank
#78
US rank
#10412

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Birmingham, AL
County
Jefferson County · 527,445 people
City population
210,422
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
Population (ZIP)
15,621
Household income
$42,549
Rent vs Own
51.1% rent · 48.9% own
Severe rent burden
1169.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
669,185 people
By 2030
669,694 · +0.1%
By 2040
661,388 · -1.2%
By 2050
643,086 · -3.9%
By 2075
577,267 · -13.7%
By 2100
474,758 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (73%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 73% White 22% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -68.70%
Current HPI
146.2168
Rent YoY
▲ 1.82%
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+41.9% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Listed $94,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2025-12-18 Rental Removed $995 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-11-26 Listed for Rent $995 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-10-20 Rental Removed $995 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-07-11 Price Changed $995 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-06-20 Listed for Rent $1,100 APPFOLIO
  • 2019-11-18 Sold (Public Records) $66,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $793 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…