532 81st St S · Birmingham, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 9 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.1/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.4/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$94,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Nice starter home or a great investment property. This all brick 3 bedroom 1 bath home has been updated with newer paint, flooring and HVAC. Home is currently rented through 12/31/2026
Key facts
- 7,840 sq ft lot
- Built 1958
- Listed 16 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Parcel ID: 23-00-11-4-034-004.000; Lot size about 0.18 acre; Subdivision: South Highlands
- Financial info: No financial details provided
- HOA & community: No association fees
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Security: No security features listed
- Utilities: Public water; Sewer connected; Electric water heater; Internet service availability (provider TBD)
- Home design: Existing property; Four-sided brick construction
- Construction: Basement foundation; Full unfinished concrete block basement
- Exterior features: No pool, patio, deck, or garden/patio; Not waterfront; Flood plain: no; Lot view: no
Interior
- Kitchen: Laminate countertops; Kitchen on main level
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Hardwood and hardwood laminate floors
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom with tub/shower combo on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central cooling
- Interior features: Ceilings: other (see remarks); No additional interior features listed
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry in a closet; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $329 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $93k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 6.2% in Birmingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#78 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, employment F.
- Birmingham City (urban): math 4% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #116 of 129 in AL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Barrett Elementary School (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #618 of 627 statewide, top 100%, 405 students, 88% FRL); Woodlawn High Schoolmagnet (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #291 of 305 statewide, top 100%, 738 students, 91% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 128 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $656 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.8% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($93k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $67k; 42% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.85%
- DSCR
- 1.66
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $80,300
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7915 7th Ave S | 0.19mi | 3/1.0 | 1,162 (+6%) | 1mo | $85,000 | $73 | 81 |
| 740 81st Pl S | 0.14mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,137 (+3%) | 1mo | $40,000 | $35 | 78 |
| 7830 5th Ave S | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 | 1,151 (+5%) | 1mo | $142,500 | $124 | 78 |
| 816 Vanderbilt St | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 1,096 (-0%) | 3mo | $81,500 | $74 | 72 |
| 758 Vanderbilt St | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,096 (-0%) | 3mo | $175,000 | $160 | 70 |
| 8020 4th Ave S | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 | 1,211 (+10%) | 5mo | $84,500 | $70 | 70 |
| 8313 3rd Ave S | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 | 1,195 (+9%) | 2mo | $90,000 | $75 | 65 |
| 1009 S 82nd St | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,094 (-0%) | 6mo | $55,000 | $50 | 65 |
| 7709 S 1st Ave | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 1,064 (-3%) | 3mo | $60,000 | $56 | 63 |
| 7432 Queenstown Ave | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,127 (+2%) | 5mo | $179,000 | $159 | 58 |
| 518 84th St S | 0.40mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 993 (-10%) | 4mo | $45,500 | $46 | 57 |
| 429 86th Pl S | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 936 (-15%) | 2mo | $45,000 | $48 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.82% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.16×
- Total profit
- $4,169
- Equity at exit
- $14,150
- IRR
- 12.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.94×
- Total profit
- $24,994
- Equity at exit
- $8,205
Cash invested: $26,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35206
- Home prices YoY
- -32.0%
- Rents YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 128
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,180 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$66 /mo · $793/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$248
- Net cashflow
- $329
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,725
- Closing costs
- $2,847
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 514 81st St S Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1174 | $1,295 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 512 81st St S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1156 | $1,150 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 731 81st St S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1221 | $995 | $0.81 | 10d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 735 81st St S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1224 | $1,400 | $1.14 | 23d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 8122 Rugby Ave Unit B Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $795 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 7931 7th Ave S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1320 | $1,450 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 8035 4th Ave S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1096 | $1,050 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 8242 Vassar Ave Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1212 | $1,100 | $0.91 | 44d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 8108 4th Ave S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1384 | $1,200 | $0.87 | 44d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 8211 Rugby Ave Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 966 | $1,250 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 8013 Rugby Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1460 | $1,150 | $0.79 | 23d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 730 82nd Pl S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,023 | $1.14 | 3d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 764 81st St S Unit B Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $800 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 8202 4th Ave S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1178 | $1,075 | $0.91 | 44d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 745 82nd Pl S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,168 | $0.97 | 2d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 775 81st Pl S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1232 | $1,095 | $0.89 | 23d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 768 80th Pl S Unit 1 Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1134 | $1,200 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 624 83rd Pl S Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $975 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 8129 2nd Ave S Unit B Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $800 | $0.89 | 44d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 636 83rd Pl S Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1062 | $1,175 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 7827 Rugby Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1365 | $850 | $0.62 | 3d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 7823 Rugby Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1023 | $1,175 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 8128 2nd Ave S Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1390 | $1,150 | $0.83 | 23d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 7815 4th Ave S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1496 | $1,650 | $1.10 | 1d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 7829 3rd Ave S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1005 | $1,025 | $1.02 | 44d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 7825 Rugby Ct Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 929 | $875 | $0.94 | 21d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 8021 1st Ave S Unit A Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $950 | $0.97 | 23d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 8149 1st Ave S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,200 | $0.92 | 44d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 8408 5th Ave S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,528 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 8408 5th Ave S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 890 | $1,295 | $1.46 | 10d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 8240 2nd Ave S Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $875 | $0.88 | 23d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 7801 3rd Ave S Unit B Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,000 | $0.91 | 44d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 8229 9th Ave S Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 997 | $1,195 | $1.20 | 3d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 832 79th Pl S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,250 | $1.30 | 23d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 7740 Rugby Ave Unit 2 Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,000 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 7740 Rugby Ave Unit b Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,100 | $1.38 | 44d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 7701 7th Ave S Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $850 | $1.06 | 23d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 756 Vanderbilt St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1096 | $1,000 | $0.91 | 44d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 7728 Rugby Ave Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $850 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 7808 Vienna Ave Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 904 | $850 | $0.94 | 44d | 1 | 0.53mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $94,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $94,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $94,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $94,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $94,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $94,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $94,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $94,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $94,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-03remarks 184-char remark
-
2026-06-03$94,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $793 · $66/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $793 · $66/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,160
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,316
- − Property taxes
- −$793
- − Insurance
- −$474
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,133
- − Management
- −$1,133
- − Depreciation
- −$2,761
- Taxable income
- $2,550
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$612
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,335/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Birmingham City
- NCES district ID
- 0100390
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,988
- Composite
- 9.49/100
- National rank
- #9850
- State rank
- #116 of 129 in AL
Livability — Birmingham
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #78
- US rank
- #10412
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Birmingham, AL
- County
- Jefferson County · 527,445 people
- City population
- 210,422
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,621
- Household income
- $42,549
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1169.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 73% White 22% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -68.70%
- Current HPI
- 146.2168
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.82%
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+41.9% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Listed $94,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-12-18 Rental Removed $995 APPFOLIO
- 2025-11-26 Listed for Rent $995 APPFOLIO
- 2025-10-20 Rental Removed $995 APPFOLIO
- 2025-07-11 Price Changed $995 APPFOLIO
- 2025-06-20 Listed for Rent $1,100 APPFOLIO
- 2019-11-18 Sold (Public Records) $66,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.9%/yrLatest (2025): $793 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…