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751 County Road 703
B- Composite 68.14
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +8.8/10.0
  • DSCR +6.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.8/10.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$160,000

751 County Road 703 · East Columbia, TX 77486
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,824 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 17 Days on market
Built 1957 0.67 ac lot Est $288k · 44% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

River life meets simple comfort in this inviting 3-bedroom 2-bathroom waterfront home offering 1,824 SF of easy living space. The open-concept kitchen, dining, and living area creates a warm gathering space filled with natural light and peaceful river views. An inviting covered front porch is the perfect place for morning coffee or visits from guests. Step outside to the backyard deck and enjoy quiet mornings, evening sunsets, and the beauty of nature right from your own backyard. With a spacious lot and room to relax, this property offers the kind of lifestyle where days move a little slower and every season brings a new view to enjoy.

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Waterfront home
  • Open-concept kitchen

Tags

WATERFRONT HOMEOPEN-CONCEPT KITCHENCOVERED FRONT PORCHBACKYARD DECKSPACIOUS LOT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Lease not considered

Exterior

  • Parking: Asphalt road access
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic tank
  • Home design: Residential property; Has a view
  • Construction: Built in 1957; Wood siding exterior; Composition roof; Block and slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Deck; Patio; Cleared lot with side yard; Property has views; Riverfront / waterfront

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Water softener (owned)
  • Bedrooms: 3 total rooms (includes bedrooms and other rooms)
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central electric air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Ventilation for improved indoor air quality
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-193 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $126k (21.3% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
  • Recommended offer: $126k (21.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Columbia-Brazoria ISD (town): math 35% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #513 of 826 in TX (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: West Columbia El (math 47% / reading 39%, grade F, #1,283 of 4,322 statewide, top 30%, 709 students, 60% FRL); West Brazos J H (math 34% / reading 32%, grade F, #930 of 1,662 statewide, top 57%, 676 students, 65% FRL); Columbia H S (math 13% / reading 28%, grade F, #1,389 of 1,632 statewide, top 86%, 889 students, 60% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 145 active listings in the ZIP; 3,960 units permitted in Brazoria County in 2024 (593 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $13k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $12k appreciation (7.6% local appreciation)).
  • Brazoria County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $125,850 (21.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.08%
Cap rate
8.04%
Cash-on-cash
6.25%
DSCR
1.28
GRM
7.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$288,192
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
144 County Road 300g 0.65mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,552 (-15%) 10mo $245,000 $158 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

7.63% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.3%
Equity multiple
2.12×
Total profit
$50,124
Equity at exit
$117,540
10-year hold
IRR
15.1%
Equity multiple
4.46×
Total profit
$155,140
Equity at exit
$229,587

Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77486

Home prices YoY
2.4%
Active inventory
145
Price-to-rent
7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,721 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax from tax record
$221 /mo · $2,651/yr
Insurance
$67
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$361
Net cashflow
$-193

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,966
Max offer price $125,850
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$40,000
Closing costs
$4,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 41 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    days on market $160,000 Pending 17 DOM
  2. 2026-06-13
    days on market $160,000 Pending 16 DOM
  3. 2026-06-13
    days on market $160,000 Pending 15 DOM
  4. 2026-06-09
    days on market $160,000 Pending 12 DOM
  5. 2026-06-08
    days on market $160,000 Pending 11 DOM
  6. 2026-06-07
    days on market $160,000 Pending 10 DOM
  7. 2026-06-04
    days on market $160,000 Pending 7 DOM
  8. 2026-06-03
    statusdays on market $160,000 Pending 6 DOM
  9. 2026-06-02
    days on market $160,000 Active 5 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $160,000 Active 4 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $160,000 Active 3 DOM
  12. 2026-05-28
    listed $160,000 Active
  13. 2024-04-05
    historical
  14. 2024-02-23
    price $169,000
  15. 2024-02-12
    price $179,000
  16. 2024-01-31
    listed $189,000 Active
  17. 2023-09-08
    historical
  18. 2023-08-04
    price $220,000
  19. 2023-06-08
    listed $230,000 Active
  20. 2023-06-07
    historical
  21. 2023-05-02
    price $230,000
  22. 2023-04-05
    status Active
  23. 2023-03-30
    status Option Pending
  24. 2023-03-11
    listed $240,000 Active
  25. 2018-11-16
    soldstatus Sold
  26. 2018-11-14
    soldstatus
  27. 2018-10-21
    status Pending
  28. 2018-10-09
    status Option Pending
  29. 2018-09-18
    status Active
  30. 2018-07-09
    status Pending
  31. 2018-06-28
    status Option Pending
  32. 2018-05-31
    listed $168,000 Active
  33. 2018-03-23
    soldstatus
  34. 2016-12-08
    soldstatus
  35. 2016-12-07
    soldstatus Sold
  36. 2016-12-01
    status Pending
  37. 2016-10-19
    listed $87,000 Active
  38. 2009-03-09
    soldstatus
  39. 2009-03-03
    soldstatus
  40. 2009-01-23
    historical
  41. 2008-11-19
    listed $114,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,651 · $221/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,928 · $244/mo
Expected delta
+$277/yr (+$23/mo · 10.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone AE · 18% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,656
− Mortgage interest
−$8,962
− Property taxes
−$2,651
− Insurance
−$5,918
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,652
− Management
−$1,652
− Depreciation
−$4,655
Taxable loss
−$4,835
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,160
After-tax cash flow
$-1,159/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Columbia-Brazoria ISD
NCES district ID
4814670
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$57,256
Composite
30.23/100
National rank
#6297
State rank
#513 of 826 in TX

Livability — East Columbia

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
East Columbia, TX
Population (ZIP)
7,330

Population outlook (Brazoria County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
420,414 people
By 2030
457,585 · +8.8%
By 2040
532,232 · +26.6%
By 2050
605,399 · +44.0%
By 2075
779,358 · +85.4%
By 2100
883,759 · +110.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (61%)
Race & ethnicity
White 61% Hispanic / Latino 27% Two or more races 13% Black 10% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 23%
Common ancestry
Italian 5% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 12% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Brazoria

2024 margin
R (+19.7) · D 39.5% · R 59.2% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
+9.9pp toward D · 2008: -29.6pp · 2024: -19.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.7 2020: R+18.2 2016: R+24.6 2012: R+34.2 2008: R+29.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 7.63%
Current HPI
320.7967
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+39.3% since first listed
30 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Listed $160,000 HARMLS
  • 2024-04-05 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2024-02-23 Price Changed $169,000 HARMLS
  • 2024-02-12 Price Changed $179,000 HARMLS
  • 2024-01-31 Listed $189,000 HARMLS
  • 2023-09-08 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2023-08-04 Price Changed $220,000 HARMLS
  • 2023-06-08 Listed $230,000 HARMLS
  • 2023-06-07 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2023-05-02 Price Changed $230,000 HARMLS
  • 2023-04-05 Relisted HARMLS
  • 2023-03-30 Pending HARMLS
  • 2023-03-11 Listed $240,000 HARMLS
  • 2018-11-16 Sold (MLS) HARMLS
  • 2018-11-14 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2018-10-21 Pending HARMLS
  • 2018-10-09 Pending HARMLS
  • 2018-09-18 Relisted HARMLS
  • 2018-07-09 Pending HARMLS
  • 2018-06-28 Pending HARMLS
  • 2018-05-31 Listed $168,000 HARMLS
  • 2018-03-23 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2016-12-08 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2016-12-07 Sold (MLS) HARMLS
  • 2016-12-01 Pending HARMLS
  • 2016-10-19 Listed $87,000 HARMLS
  • 2009-03-09 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2009-03-03 Sold (MLS) HARMLS
  • 2009-01-23 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2008-11-19 Listed $114,900 HARMLS

Property tax history

+4.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,651 · -2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…