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10624 W 22 1/2 Rd
B+ Composite 78.6
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$59,000

10624 W 22 1/2 Rd · Mesick, MI 49668
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 916 sqft · SingleFamily · 59 Days on market
Built 1953 0.46 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Situated in Mesick, the Mushroom Capital, this property is ideal for an Airbnb, rental, or up-north getaway. Located in the heart of the Manistee National Forest with year-round recreation including snowmobiling, hunting, and fishing. Just 2 minutes from a boat launch and approx. 30 minutes to the beaches of Traverse City, Frankfort, and Honor. The home features a 1953 mobile (10' x 50') with an addition and full roof over, approx. 916 sq ft, offering a small bedroom, additional sleeping room, and larger primary bedroom in the addition, plus 1 full bath, kitchen, dining area, and spacious living room with wood burner. A 24' x 24' pole barn with concrete floor and electric adds storage/workshop space. Sold as-is. CASH ONLY.

Key facts

  • Full roof-over
  • Pole barn
  • Electric

Tags

PEACEFUL SETTINGLARGER LOTFULL ROOF-OVERPOLE BARNCONCRETE FLOORELECTRIC

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $59k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $516 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $59k).
  • Recommended offer: $57k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#532 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A, housing A-; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Mesick Consolidated Schools (rural): math 25% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #286 of 540 in MI (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP; 130 units permitted in Wexford County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($408 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Wexford County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $21k; list at $59k implies a 182% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $57,230 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.85%
Cap rate
16.79%
Cash-on-cash
37.47%
DSCR
2.67
GRM
4.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
53.1%
Equity multiple
4.93×
Total profit
$64,968
Equity at exit
$53,152
10-year hold
IRR
46.7%
Equity multiple
11.01×
Total profit
$165,441
Equity at exit
$114,624

Cash invested: $16,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49668

Home prices YoY
27.8%
Active inventory
18
Price-to-rent
4.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,092 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$309
Tax from tax record
$13 /mo · $156/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$229
Net cashflow
$516

Break-even live

Break-even rent $439
Max offer price $59,000
Occupancy floor 48%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,750
Closing costs
$1,770
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $59,000 Pending 59 DOM
  2. 2026-06-04
    days on market $59,000 Active 57 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $59,000 Active 56 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $59,000 Active 55 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,000 Active 54 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,000 Active 53 DOM
  7. 2026-05-09
    price $59,000 732-char remark
    Show marketing remark (732 chars)

    Situated in Mesick, the Mushroom Capital, this property is ideal for an Airbnb, rental, or up-north getaway. Located in the heart of the Manistee National Forest with year-round recreation including snowmobiling, hunting, and fishing. Just 2 minutes from a boat launch and approx. 30 minutes to the beaches of Traverse City, Frankfort, and Honor. The home features a 1953 mobile (10' x 50') with an addition and full roof over, approx. 916 sq ft, offering a small bedroom, additional sleeping room, and larger primary bedroom in the addition, plus 1 full bath, kitchen, dining area, and spacious living room with wood burner. A 24' x 24' pole barn with concrete floor and electric adds storage/workshop space. Sold as-is. CASH ONLY.

  8. 2026-05-08
    price $59,000 732-char remark
    Show marketing remark (732 chars)

    Situated in Mesick, the Mushroom Capital, this property is ideal for an Airbnb, rental, or up-north getaway. Located in the heart of the Manistee National Forest with year-round recreation including snowmobiling, hunting, and fishing. Just 2 minutes from a boat launch and approx. 30 minutes to the beaches of Traverse City, Frankfort, and Honor. The home features a 1953 mobile (10' x 50') with an addition and full roof over, approx. 916 sq ft, offering a small bedroom, additional sleeping room, and larger primary bedroom in the addition, plus 1 full bath, kitchen, dining area, and spacious living room with wood burner. A 24' x 24' pole barn with concrete floor and electric adds storage/workshop space. Sold as-is. CASH ONLY.

  9. 2026-05-08
    price $59,000
    Show marketing remark (732 chars)

    Situated in Mesick, the Mushroom Capital, this property is ideal for an Airbnb, rental, or up-north getaway. Located in the heart of the Manistee National Forest with year-round recreation including snowmobiling, hunting, and fishing. Just 2 minutes from a boat launch and approx. 30 minutes to the beaches of Traverse City, Frankfort, and Honor. The home features a 1953 mobile (10' x 50') with an addition and full roof over, approx. 916 sq ft, offering a small bedroom, additional sleeping room, and larger primary bedroom in the addition, plus 1 full bath, kitchen, dining area, and spacious living room with wood burner. A 24' x 24' pole barn with concrete floor and electric adds storage/workshop space. Sold as-is. CASH ONLY.

  10. 2026-04-07
    listed $62,000 Active 732-char remark
    Show marketing remark (732 chars)

    Situated in Mesick, the Mushroom Capital, this property is ideal for an Airbnb, rental, or up-north getaway. Located in the heart of the Manistee National Forest with year-round recreation including snowmobiling, hunting, and fishing. Just 2 minutes from a boat launch and approx. 30 minutes to the beaches of Traverse City, Frankfort, and Honor. The home features a 1953 mobile (10' x 50') with an addition and full roof over, approx. 916 sq ft, offering a small bedroom, additional sleeping room, and larger primary bedroom in the addition, plus 1 full bath, kitchen, dining area, and spacious living room with wood burner. A 24' x 24' pole barn with concrete floor and electric adds storage/workshop space. Sold as-is. CASH ONLY.

  11. 2026-04-04
    listed $62,000 Active 732-char remark
    Show marketing remark (732 chars)

    Situated in Mesick, the Mushroom Capital, this property is ideal for an Airbnb, rental, or up-north getaway. Located in the heart of the Manistee National Forest with year-round recreation including snowmobiling, hunting, and fishing. Just 2 minutes from a boat launch and approx. 30 minutes to the beaches of Traverse City, Frankfort, and Honor. The home features a 1953 mobile (10' x 50') with an addition and full roof over, approx. 916 sq ft, offering a small bedroom, additional sleeping room, and larger primary bedroom in the addition, plus 1 full bath, kitchen, dining area, and spacious living room with wood burner. A 24' x 24' pole barn with concrete floor and electric adds storage/workshop space. Sold as-is. CASH ONLY.

  12. 2026-04-04
    listed $62,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (732 chars)

    Situated in Mesick, the Mushroom Capital, this property is ideal for an Airbnb, rental, or up-north getaway. Located in the heart of the Manistee National Forest with year-round recreation including snowmobiling, hunting, and fishing. Just 2 minutes from a boat launch and approx. 30 minutes to the beaches of Traverse City, Frankfort, and Honor. The home features a 1953 mobile (10' x 50') with an addition and full roof over, approx. 916 sq ft, offering a small bedroom, additional sleeping room, and larger primary bedroom in the addition, plus 1 full bath, kitchen, dining area, and spacious living room with wood burner. A 24' x 24' pole barn with concrete floor and electric adds storage/workshop space. Sold as-is. CASH ONLY.

  13. 2014-03-20
    soldstatus $20,900
  14. 2013-11-26
    listed $22,900
  15. 2012-06-30
    historical
  16. 2012-04-22
    listed $34,900
  17. 1990-08-17
    soldstatus $12,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$156 · $13/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$532 · $44/mo
Expected delta
+$376/yr (+$31/mo · 241.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,106
− Mortgage interest
−$3,305
− Property taxes
−$156
− Insurance
−$295
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,048
− Management
−$1,048
− Depreciation
−$1,716
Taxable income
$5,537
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,329
After-tax cash flow
$4,861/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mesick Consolidated Schools
NCES district ID
2623670
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$38,415
Composite
29.98/100
National rank
#6367
State rank
#286 of 540 in MI

Livability — Mesick

Score
62/100
State rank
#532
US rank
#16147

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A- Health & safety A User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
3,536
Population (ZIP)
3,536

Population outlook (Wexford County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
32,399 people
By 2030
31,692 · -2.2%
By 2040
29,789 · -8.1%
By 2050
27,473 · -15.2%
By 2075
21,822 · -32.6%
By 2100
15,237 · -53.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Iranian 5% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada

Political lean MEDSL · Wexford

2024 margin
Solid R (+34.6) · D 32.0% · R 66.6% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-30.4pp toward R · 2008: -4.2pp · 2024: -34.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+34.6 2020: R+34.3 2016: R+36.4 2012: R+16.3 2008: R+4.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 98.81%
Current HPI
454.0901
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+372.0% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-09 Price Changed $59,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-08 Price Changed $59,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-08 Price Changed $59,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-04-07 Listed $62,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-04 Listed $62,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-04-04 Listed $62,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-03-20 Sold (MLS) $20,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2013-11-26 Listed $22,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2012-06-30 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2012-04-22 Listed $34,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1990-08-17 Sold (Public Records) $12,500 Public Records

Property tax history

-9.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $156 · -53.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…