10624 W 22 1/2 Rd · Mesick, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$59,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Situated in Mesick, the Mushroom Capital, this property is ideal for an Airbnb, rental, or up-north getaway. Located in the heart of the Manistee National Forest with year-round recreation including snowmobiling, hunting, and fishing. Just 2 minutes from a boat launch and approx. 30 minutes to the beaches of Traverse City, Frankfort, and Honor. The home features a 1953 mobile (10' x 50') with an addition and full roof over, approx. 916 sq ft, offering a small bedroom, additional sleeping room, and larger primary bedroom in the addition, plus 1 full bath, kitchen, dining area, and spacious living room with wood burner. A 24' x 24' pole barn with concrete floor and electric adds storage/workshop space. Sold as-is. CASH ONLY.
Key facts
- Full roof-over
- Pole barn
- Electric
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $59k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $516 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $59k).
- Recommended offer: $57k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#532 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A, housing A-; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Mesick Consolidated Schools (rural): math 25% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #286 of 540 in MI (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP; 130 units permitted in Wexford County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($408 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Wexford County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $21k; list at $59k implies a 182% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.85% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.79%
- Cash-on-cash
- 37.47%
- DSCR
- 2.67
- GRM
- 4.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 53.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.93×
- Total profit
- $64,968
- Equity at exit
- $53,152
- IRR
- 46.7%
- Equity multiple
- 11.01×
- Total profit
- $165,441
- Equity at exit
- $114,624
Cash invested: $16,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49668
- Home prices YoY
- 27.8%
- Active inventory
- 18
- Price-to-rent
- 4.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,092 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$309
- Tax from tax record
- −$13 /mo · $156/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$229
- Net cashflow
- $516
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,750
- Closing costs
- $1,770
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $59,000 Pending 59 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $59,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $59,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $59,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $59,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $59,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-05-09price $59,000 732-char remark
Show marketing remark (732 chars)
Situated in Mesick, the Mushroom Capital, this property is ideal for an Airbnb, rental, or up-north getaway. Located in the heart of the Manistee National Forest with year-round recreation including snowmobiling, hunting, and fishing. Just 2 minutes from a boat launch and approx. 30 minutes to the beaches of Traverse City, Frankfort, and Honor. The home features a 1953 mobile (10' x 50') with an addition and full roof over, approx. 916 sq ft, offering a small bedroom, additional sleeping room, and larger primary bedroom in the addition, plus 1 full bath, kitchen, dining area, and spacious living room with wood burner. A 24' x 24' pole barn with concrete floor and electric adds storage/workshop space. Sold as-is. CASH ONLY.
-
2026-05-08price $59,000 732-char remark
Show marketing remark (732 chars)
Situated in Mesick, the Mushroom Capital, this property is ideal for an Airbnb, rental, or up-north getaway. Located in the heart of the Manistee National Forest with year-round recreation including snowmobiling, hunting, and fishing. Just 2 minutes from a boat launch and approx. 30 minutes to the beaches of Traverse City, Frankfort, and Honor. The home features a 1953 mobile (10' x 50') with an addition and full roof over, approx. 916 sq ft, offering a small bedroom, additional sleeping room, and larger primary bedroom in the addition, plus 1 full bath, kitchen, dining area, and spacious living room with wood burner. A 24' x 24' pole barn with concrete floor and electric adds storage/workshop space. Sold as-is. CASH ONLY.
-
2026-05-08price $59,000
Show marketing remark (732 chars)
Situated in Mesick, the Mushroom Capital, this property is ideal for an Airbnb, rental, or up-north getaway. Located in the heart of the Manistee National Forest with year-round recreation including snowmobiling, hunting, and fishing. Just 2 minutes from a boat launch and approx. 30 minutes to the beaches of Traverse City, Frankfort, and Honor. The home features a 1953 mobile (10' x 50') with an addition and full roof over, approx. 916 sq ft, offering a small bedroom, additional sleeping room, and larger primary bedroom in the addition, plus 1 full bath, kitchen, dining area, and spacious living room with wood burner. A 24' x 24' pole barn with concrete floor and electric adds storage/workshop space. Sold as-is. CASH ONLY.
-
2026-04-07$62,000 Active 732-char remark
Show marketing remark (732 chars)
Situated in Mesick, the Mushroom Capital, this property is ideal for an Airbnb, rental, or up-north getaway. Located in the heart of the Manistee National Forest with year-round recreation including snowmobiling, hunting, and fishing. Just 2 minutes from a boat launch and approx. 30 minutes to the beaches of Traverse City, Frankfort, and Honor. The home features a 1953 mobile (10' x 50') with an addition and full roof over, approx. 916 sq ft, offering a small bedroom, additional sleeping room, and larger primary bedroom in the addition, plus 1 full bath, kitchen, dining area, and spacious living room with wood burner. A 24' x 24' pole barn with concrete floor and electric adds storage/workshop space. Sold as-is. CASH ONLY.
-
2026-04-04$62,000 Active 732-char remark
Show marketing remark (732 chars)
Situated in Mesick, the Mushroom Capital, this property is ideal for an Airbnb, rental, or up-north getaway. Located in the heart of the Manistee National Forest with year-round recreation including snowmobiling, hunting, and fishing. Just 2 minutes from a boat launch and approx. 30 minutes to the beaches of Traverse City, Frankfort, and Honor. The home features a 1953 mobile (10' x 50') with an addition and full roof over, approx. 916 sq ft, offering a small bedroom, additional sleeping room, and larger primary bedroom in the addition, plus 1 full bath, kitchen, dining area, and spacious living room with wood burner. A 24' x 24' pole barn with concrete floor and electric adds storage/workshop space. Sold as-is. CASH ONLY.
-
2026-04-04$62,000 Active
Show marketing remark (732 chars)
Situated in Mesick, the Mushroom Capital, this property is ideal for an Airbnb, rental, or up-north getaway. Located in the heart of the Manistee National Forest with year-round recreation including snowmobiling, hunting, and fishing. Just 2 minutes from a boat launch and approx. 30 minutes to the beaches of Traverse City, Frankfort, and Honor. The home features a 1953 mobile (10' x 50') with an addition and full roof over, approx. 916 sq ft, offering a small bedroom, additional sleeping room, and larger primary bedroom in the addition, plus 1 full bath, kitchen, dining area, and spacious living room with wood burner. A 24' x 24' pole barn with concrete floor and electric adds storage/workshop space. Sold as-is. CASH ONLY.
-
2014-03-20soldstatus $20,900
-
2013-11-26$22,900
-
2012-06-30historical
-
2012-04-22$34,900
-
1990-08-17soldstatus $12,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $156 · $13/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $532 · $44/mo
- Expected delta
- +$376/yr (+$31/mo · 241.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,106
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,305
- − Property taxes
- −$156
- − Insurance
- −$295
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,048
- − Management
- −$1,048
- − Depreciation
- −$1,716
- Taxable income
- $5,537
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,329
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,861/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mesick Consolidated Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2623670
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,415
- Composite
- 29.98/100
- National rank
- #6367
- State rank
- #286 of 540 in MI
Livability — Mesick
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #532
- US rank
- #16147
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 3,536
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,536
Population outlook (Wexford County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 32,399 people
- By 2030
- 31,692 · -2.2%
- By 2040
- 29,789 · -8.1%
- By 2050
- 27,473 · -15.2%
- By 2075
- 21,822 · -32.6%
- By 2100
- 15,237 · -53.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Iranian 5% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · Wexford
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.6) · D 32.0% · R 66.6% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -30.4pp toward R · 2008: -4.2pp · 2024: -34.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.6 2020: R+34.3 2016: R+36.4 2012: R+16.3 2008: R+4.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 98.81%
- Current HPI
- 454.0901
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+372.0% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-09 Price Changed $59,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-08 Price Changed $59,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-08 Price Changed $59,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-04-07 Listed $62,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-04 Listed $62,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-04-04 Listed $62,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2014-03-20 Sold (MLS) $20,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2013-11-26 Listed $22,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2012-06-30 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2012-04-22 Listed $34,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1990-08-17 Sold (Public Records) $12,500 Public Records
Property tax history
-9.2%/yrLatest (2025): $156 · -53.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…