11 Daniel Cir · Brownsburg, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.6/30.0
- ARV discount +8.0/15.0
- Schools +6.3/10.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- DSCR +3.1/10.0
- 1% rule +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$320,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Lovely, well maintained 2 story in popular Sugar Bush. Walk to schools! Parquet entry w/new storm door. Covered front porch. Finished, insulated garage has 4' bump plus service door to fenced backyard. Attic is floored over gar for extra storage. New garage door opener w/keyless entry. New KT sink. Newer dishwasher & water heater. 3 ceiling fans.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Oversized mini barn
- 0.23 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property is in a mandatory-fee association; Lot is approximately 0.23 acre (< 1/4 acre)
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with annual fee of $185; HOA provides maintenance and covers entrance/common maintenance; HOA governed by covenants and restrictions
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage with approximately 510 sq ft; Finished garage with garage door opener; Garage includes storage and workshop space; Guest street parking
- Security: Smoke alarm
- Utilities: Public water; Municipal sewer connected; 200+ amp electric service; Electricity and natural gas connected
- Home design: Single family residence; Two levels; Residential property
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Covered patio; Patio; Mini barn; Lighting; Storage shed; Outbuilding; Full chain-link fence
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas oven; Microwave; Refrigerator; Disposal; Kitchen island; Pantry; Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms on the upper level; 8 total rooms
- Flooring: Hardwood floors
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (upper level); 1 half bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Attic access; Kitchen island; Hardwood floors; Eat-in kitchen; Pantry; Supplemental storage; Walk-in closets; Water softener (owned); Smoke alarm
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry located on the upper level; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $320k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-156 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $292k (8.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $243k (24.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $243k (24.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 3.8% in Brownsburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#61 in IN, #4,105 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Brownsburg Community School Corporation (suburban): math 72% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #2 of 301 in IN (top 1%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Eagle Elementary School (math 84% / reading 75%, grade A, #8 of 994 statewide, top 1%, 586 students, 28% FRL); Brownsburg High School (math 61% / reading 83%, grade B+, #12 of 369 statewide, top 4%, 3,177 students, 33% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.3%/yr); 328 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,294 units permitted in Hendricks County in 2024 (18 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hendricks County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.76% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.09%
- DSCR
- 0.91
- GRM
- 11.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $323,670
- List price
- $320,000
- Delta
- -1.13%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Daniel Cir | 0.00mi | 4/2.5 | 1,920 (0%) | 1mo | $323,000 | $168 | 99 |
| 1313 S Odell St | 0.43mi | 4/2.5 | 2,020 (+5%) | 3mo | $299,000 | $148 | 69 |
| 6292 Chelsea St | 0.40mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,886 (-2%) | 6mo | $314,000 | $166 | 68 |
| 1105 S Odell St | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,812 (-6%) | 0mo | $320,003 | $177 | 68 |
| 2 Lacy Ct | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,700 (-12%) | 4mo | $338,000 | $199 | 66 |
| 1108 Redwood Dr | 0.45mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,982 (+3%) | 3mo | $330,000 | $166 | 66 |
| 122 Prairie Pkwy | 0.49mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,840 (-4%) | 2mo | $255,000 | $139 | 60 |
| 918 Briarwood Dr | 0.55mi | 4/2.0 | 2,080 (+8%) | 1mo | $320,000 | $154 | 58 |
| 1319 Dogwood Ct | 0.50mi | 4/2.0 | 1,710 (-11%) | 6mo | $299,500 | $175 | 52 |
| 1418 Hornaday Rd | 0.66mi | 4/3.0 | 2,156 (+12%) | 1mo | $399,900 | $185 | 45 |
| 5 Roselawn Ave | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,059 (+7%) | 7mo | $350,000 | $170 | 43 |
| 747 Homestead Way | 0.60mi | 4/2.5 | 1,648 (-14%) | 6mo | $285,000 | $173 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.31% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.40×
- Total profit
- $-53,496
- Equity at exit
- $47,713
- IRR
- -3.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.74×
- Total profit
- $-22,918
- Equity at exit
- $27,668
Cash invested: $89,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46112
- Rents YoY
- 6.3%
- Active inventory
- 328
- Price-to-rent
- 11.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,426 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,678
- Tax from tax record
- −$246 /mo · $2,951/yr
- Insurance
- −$133
- HOA
- −$15
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$509
- Net cashflow
- $-156
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $25 | -5% $-65 | +0% $-156 | +5% $-247 | +10% $-337 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-348 | -5% $-252 | +0% $-156 | +5% $-60 | +10% $36 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $5 | -0.5pp $-75 | base $-156 | +0.5pp $-239 | +1.0pp $-323 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $80,000
- Closing costs
- $9,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Parkwood Dr Brownsburg, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1422 | $1,760 | $1.24 | 18d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 102 Murphy Ln Brownsburg, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1248 | $1,775 | $1.42 | 8d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 275 Lazy Hollow Dr Brownsburg, IN | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2190 | $2,571 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 443 N Odell St Brownsburg, IN | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1984 | $2,391 | $1.21 | 22d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 457 Sable Chase Brownsburg, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1408 | $2,185 | $1.55 | 4d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 460 Brookview Dr Brownsburg, IN | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2240 | $2,600 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 673 Hanover Rd Brownsburg, IN | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2444 | $2,300 | $0.94 | 24d | 1 | 1.38mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $15 · $180/yr
- Likely covers
- water
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-03status Pending 1058-char remark
-
2026-05-01$320,000 Active 1058-char remark
-
2005-12-20historical
-
2005-07-22soldstatus $142,900
Show marketing remark (352 chars)
Lovely, well maintained 2 story in popular Sugar Bush. Walk to schools! Parquet entry w/new storm door. Covered front porch. Finished, insulated garage has 4' bump plus service door to fenced backyard. Attic is floored over gar for extra storage. New garage door opener w/keyless entry. New KT sink. Newer dishwasher & water heater. 3 ceiling fans.
-
2005-06-06$144,900
Show marketing remark (352 chars)
Lovely, well maintained 2 story in popular Sugar Bush. Walk to schools! Parquet entry w/new storm door. Covered front porch. Finished, insulated garage has 4' bump plus service door to fenced backyard. Attic is floored over gar for extra storage. New garage door opener w/keyless entry. New KT sink. Newer dishwasher & water heater. 3 ceiling fans.
-
2004-12-06$145,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,951 · $246/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,951 · $246/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,108
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,925
- − Property taxes
- −$2,951
- − Insurance
- −$1,600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,329
- − Management
- −$2,329
- − HOA
- −$180
- − Depreciation
- −$9,309
- Taxable loss
- −$7,514
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,803
- After-tax cash flow
- $-69/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Brownsburg Community School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1801020
- Math proficiency
- 72% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 72% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $75,304
- Composite
- 63.45/100
- National rank
- #616
- State rank
- #2 of 301 in IN
Livability — Brownsburg
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #61
- US rank
- #4105
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Brownsburg, IN
- County
- Hendricks County · 143,373 people
- City population
- 44,220
- Metro
- Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 44,220
- Household income
- $112,565
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 614.0
Population outlook (Hendricks County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 187,418 people
- By 2030
- 201,494 · +7.5%
- By 2040
- 228,487 · +21.9%
- By 2050
- 253,068 · +35.0%
- By 2075
- 308,920 · +64.8%
- By 2100
- 336,510 · +79.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Black 10% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Iranian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hendricks
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.5) · D 38.4% · R 59.9% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.9pp toward D · 2008: -23.4pp · 2024: -21.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.5 2020: R+23.9 2016: R+34.2 2012: R+34.9 2008: R+23.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -135.99%
- Current HPI
- 217.3787
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.31%
- Metro
- Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+121.4% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Sold (MLS) $323,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-03 Pending — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-01 Listed $320,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-12-20 Listing Removed — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-07-22 Sold (MLS) $142,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-06-06 Listed $144,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-12-06 Listed $145,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+6.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,951 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…