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156 Chapel St
D Composite 44.23
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +10.4/30.0
  • Rent growth +4.4/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • DSCR +3.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$209,900

156 Chapel St · Pittsfield, MA 01201
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 962 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 35 Days on market
Built 1880 0.68 ac lot $218/sqft · 23% below area Est $272k · 23% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 156 Chapel Street, a cozy & charming country retreat that instantly feels like home. This well-loved property offers 2 bedrooms and 1 full bath, with a warm living room centered around a pellet stove-perfect for crisp Berkshire evenings. The dining room serves as the heart of the home, ideal for gathering. The country kitchen is full of character, with a heated sunroom just off the kitchen providing a bright, relaxing space year-round. The full bath includes first-floor laundry, & the foyer with French doors offers flexible use as an office, mudroom, or hobby space. Upstairs features two bedrooms plus an additional room currently used as a walk-in closet. Set on two co

Key facts

  • Country kitchen
  • Flexible use foyer
  • Heated sunroom

Tags

COUNTRY KITCHENHEATED SUNROOMFIRST-FLOOR LAUNDRYFLEXIBLE USE FOYERPRIVATE BACKYARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $210k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-112 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $190k (9.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $166k (20.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $166k (20.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 3.7% in Pittsfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#70 in MA, #3,820 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities D+, crime D.
  • Pittsfield (urban): math 19% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #272 of 302 in MA (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Stearns (math 32% / reading 52%, grade F, #462 of 938 statewide, top 52%, 234 students, 0% FRL); John T Reid Middle (math 7% / reading 17%, grade F, #283 of 305 statewide, top 93%, 450 students, 0% FRL); Taconic High (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #255 of 343 statewide, top 77%, 860 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 50% district-wide (50 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.7%/yr); 278 active listings in the ZIP; 130 units permitted in Berkshire County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Berkshire County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($204k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $166,191 (20.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.79%
Cap rate
5.65%
Cash-on-cash
-2.29%
DSCR
0.90
GRM
10.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$271,645
List price
$209,900
Delta
-22.73%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
12 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.72% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.0%
Equity multiple
0.44×
Total profit
$-32,871
Equity at exit
$31,297
10-year hold
IRR
-0.1%
Equity multiple
0.99×
Total profit
$-364
Equity at exit
$18,148

Cash invested: $58,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
20 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Massachusetts
20 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Cambridge / Boston historically rent-controlled (preempted 1994 but consideration ongoing); strong tenant protections; court backlogs.

ZIP-level market 01201

Rents YoY
7.7%
Active inventory
278
Price-to-rent
10.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,662 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,101
Tax from tax record
$237 /mo · $2,841/yr
Insurance
$87
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$349
Net cashflow
$-112

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,804
Max offer price $190,108
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $7 -5% $-53 +0% $-112 +5% $-171 +10% $-231
Rent -10% $-243 -5% $-178 +0% $-112 +5% $-46 +10% $19
Rate -1.0pp $-6 -0.5pp $-59 base $-112 +0.5pp $-166 +1.0pp $-222

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$52,475
Closing costs
$6,297
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 1 events

  1. 2026-04-22
    listed $209,900 Active 808-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,841 · $237/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,841 · $237/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 54% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,943
− Mortgage interest
−$11,758
− Property taxes
−$2,841
− Insurance
−$1,050
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,595
− Management
−$1,595
− Depreciation
−$6,106
Taxable loss
−$5,002
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,201
After-tax cash flow
$-144/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pittsfield
NCES district ID
2509630
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$44,032
Composite
22.67/100
National rank
#8046
State rank
#272 of 302 in MA

Livability — Pittsfield

Score
75/100
State rank
#70
US rank
#3820

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute A+ Cost of living B Crime D Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pittsfield, MA
County
Berkshire County · 44,848 people
City population
44,848
Metro
Pittsfield, MA
Population (ZIP)
44,848
Household income
$71,093
Rent vs Own
36.5% rent · 63.5% own
Severe rent burden
1580.0

Population outlook (Berkshire County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
119,723 people
By 2030
114,608 · -4.3%
By 2040
102,806 · -14.1%
By 2050
91,305 · -23.7%
By 2075
71,517 · -40.3%
By 2100
57,988 · -51.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 9% Black 5% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 8% Romanian 6% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Berkshire

2024 margin
Solid D (+39.9) · D 68.9% · R 29.0% · Other 2.1%
2008→2024 swing
-12.5pp toward R · 2008: 52.4pp · 2024: 39.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+39.9 2020: D+47.1 2016: D+41.5 2012: D+53.7 2008: D+52.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -199.88%
Current HPI
283.3421
Rent YoY
▲ 7.72%
Metro
Pittsfield, MA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.28%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Property tax history

+5.1%/yr

Latest (2023): $2,841 · +6.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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