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None 🏷️ Likely Rental
A- Composite 80.48
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$69,900

None · Union City, GA 30291
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,056 sqft · SingleFamily · 230 Days on market
Built 1974 $66/sqft · 56% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Turnkey investment opportunity! This 2-bedroom, 2-bath end-unit townhome is tenant-occupied, offering immediate rental income from day one. The home features an open- low-maintenance finishes, and a functional floor plan that appeals to long-term tenants.

Key facts

  • Built 1974
  • Listed 230 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $69,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$158,793) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $749 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $62k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#443 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Fulton County (suburban): math 49% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #12 of 174 in GA (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Gullatt Elementary School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #996 of 1,228 statewide, top 83%, 747 students, 100% FRL); Camp Creek Middle School (math 17% / reading 32%, grade F, #301 of 470 statewide, top 66%, 644 students, 100% FRL); Langston Hughes High School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #336 of 424 statewide, top 80%, 1,964 students, 65% FRL) — zoned schools average 88% FRL vs 41% district-wide (47 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 17% at this address vs 51% district-wide (-34 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Fulton County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 174 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 11,565 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (8,159 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($483 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Fulton County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 2.2% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 230 days — a 12% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 25 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $60k (46%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $57k; 23% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $61,512 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 230 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.23%
Cap rate
19.16%
Cash-on-cash
45.95%
DSCR
3.04
GRM
3.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$158,793
List price
$69,900
Delta
-55.98%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4987 Main St 0.58mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,091 (+3%) 14mo $194,000 $178 48
4674 Dodson Rd 0.60mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,056 (0%) 20mo $127,000 $120 48
4688 Brice Dr 0.51mi 2/1.0 900 (-15%) 10mo $186,900 $208 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 2.2% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
59.6%
Equity multiple
5.32×
Total profit
$84,577
Equity at exit
$62,971
10-year hold
IRR
52.8%
Equity multiple
11.69×
Total profit
$209,130
Equity at exit
$135,800

Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30291

Home prices YoY
11.1%
Rents YoY
2.2%
Active inventory
174
Price-to-rent
3.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,560 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax est. 1.5%
$87 /mo · $1,048/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$328
Net cashflow
$749

Break-even live

Break-even rent $611
Max offer price $69,900
Occupancy floor 47%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $798 -5% $774 +0% $749 +5% $725 +10% $701
Rent -10% $626 -5% $688 +0% $749 +5% $811 +10% $873
Rate -1.0pp $785 -0.5pp $767 base $749 +0.5pp $731 +1.0pp $713

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,475
Closing costs
$2,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 24 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5400 Oakley Commons Blvd Union City, GA 2.0 2.0 1258 $1,257 $1.00 45d 1 0.16mi
4701 Flat Shoals Rd Union City, GA 3.0 2.5–3.0 1600 $1,775 $1.11 4d 1 0.28mi
5150 Oakley Commons Blvd Union City, GA 3.0 2.5 1375 $1,675 $1.22 26d 1 0.35mi
4483 Flat Shoals Rd Union City, GA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.5 957 $1,495 $1.56 45d 1 0.40mi
6822 Shannon Pkwy Union City, GA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 868 $1,515 $1.75 0d 4 0.41mi
6425 Oakley Rd Union City, GA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1037 $1,326 $1.28 0d 17 0.42mi
3285 Oakley Pl Union City, GA 3.0 2.5 1350 $1,500 $1.11 45d 1 0.42mi
6350 Oakley Rd Union City, GA 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1360 $1,397 $1.03 0d 5 0.47mi
5201 Summer Brooke Ct Union City, GA 3.0 2.5 1484 $2,000 $1.35 3d 1 0.60mi
4312 Smithgall Ct Union City, GA 3.0 2.5 1433 $2,000 $1.40 20d 1 0.65mi
5205 Alexander St Union City, GA 3.0 2.0 1326 $1,681 $1.27 45d 1 0.67mi
5200 Alexander St Union City, GA 3.0 2.0 1221 $1,695 $1.39 45d 1 0.70mi
4128 Flat Trl Union City, GA 3.0 2.5 1450 $1,700 $1.17 45d 1 0.95mi
5058 Jonesboro Rd Union City, GA 2.0 1.0–1.5 997 $1,395 $1.40 22d 1 1.16mi
5058 Jonesboro Rd Unit E37 Union City, GA 2.0 1.5 997 $1,395 $1.40 6d 1 1.16mi
6341 Raymond Ter Union City, GA 2.0 1.0 798 $1,250 $1.57 7d 1 1.27mi
6410 Raymond Ter Union City, GA 2.0 1.0 783 $1,000 $1.28 45d 1 1.28mi
7000 Goodson Rd #69 Union City, GA 3.0 2.0 960 $1,400 $1.46 45d 1 1.28mi
5140 Highpoint Rd Apt 27 Union City, GA 2.0 2.5 1290 $1,295 $1.00 14d 1 1.28mi
5950 Stonewall Dr Unit 2 Union City, GA 3.0 1.5 1320 $1,495 $1.13 17d 1 1.37mi
5950 Stonewall Dr Unit 4 Union City, GA 3.0 1.0 1320 $1,425 $1.08 0d 1 1.37mi
4050 Morgan Rd Union City, GA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 988 $1,450 $1.47 7d 21 1.45mi
6510 Lower Dixie Lake Rd Union City, GA 2.0 1.0 800 $1,050 $1.31 46d 1 1.45mi
7190 Gotland St Union City, GA 2.0 2.5 1500 $1,450 $0.97 14d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $69,900 Active 230 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $69,900 Active 227 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $69,900 Active 226 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $69,900 Active 225 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $69,900 Active 224 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $69,900 Active 222 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $69,900 Active 218 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $69,900 Active 217 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $69,900 Active 216 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $69,900 Active 213 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $69,900 Active 212 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $69,900 Active 210 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $69,900 Active 209 DOM
  14. 2026-05-01
    historical
  15. 2026-04-23
    soldstatus $57,000 Closed 255-char remark
    Show marketing remark (255 chars)

    Turnkey investment opportunity! This 2-bedroom, 2-bath end-unit townhome is tenant-occupied, offering immediate rental income from day one. The home features an open- low-maintenance finishes, and a functional floor plan that appeals to long-term tenants.

  16. 2026-04-10
    status Pending 255-char remark
    Show marketing remark (255 chars)

    Turnkey investment opportunity! This 2-bedroom, 2-bath end-unit townhome is tenant-occupied, offering immediate rental income from day one. The home features an open- low-maintenance finishes, and a functional floor plan that appeals to long-term tenants.

  17. 2026-04-06
    historical Active Under Contract 255-char remark
    Show marketing remark (255 chars)

    Turnkey investment opportunity! This 2-bedroom, 2-bath end-unit townhome is tenant-occupied, offering immediate rental income from day one. The home features an open- low-maintenance finishes, and a functional floor plan that appeals to long-term tenants.

  18. 2026-04-05
    listed $130,000 Active
  19. 2026-03-24
    listed $70,000 Active 255-char remark
    Show marketing remark (255 chars)

    Turnkey investment opportunity! This 2-bedroom, 2-bath end-unit townhome is tenant-occupied, offering immediate rental income from day one. The home features an open- low-maintenance finishes, and a functional floor plan that appeals to long-term tenants.

  20. 2025-11-03
    listed $69,900 Active
  21. 2025-10-15
    historical
  22. 2025-10-14
    status Active
  23. 2025-10-02
    status Pending
  24. 2025-09-05
    price $98,000
  25. 2025-08-15
    listed $110,000 Active
  26. 2025-08-13
    historical
  27. 2025-07-06
    listed $113,500 Active
  28. 2024-12-04
    historical
  29. 2024-10-04
    listed $75,000 Active
  30. 2024-02-22
    soldstatus $95,000 Closed
  31. 2024-02-13
    status Pending
  32. 2024-02-07
    historical Active Under Contract
  33. 2024-02-02
    status Active
  34. 2024-01-29
    soldstatus $108,000 Sold
  35. 2024-01-09
    status Pending
  36. 2024-01-03
    historical Active Under Contract
  37. 2023-12-30
    status Under Contract
  38. 2023-12-28
    listed $99,000 Active
  39. 2023-12-19
    price $120,000
  40. 2023-12-05
    status Back On Market
  41. 2023-10-02
    status Under Contract
  42. 2023-09-27
    listed $150,000 New
  43. 2023-09-05
    soldstatus $91,500 Sold
  44. 2023-08-22
    status Under Contract
  45. 2023-08-11
    price $84,990
  46. 2023-08-11
    listed $9,130 New
  47. 2020-07-21
    soldstatus $55,000 Sold
  48. 2020-07-17
    status Under Contract
  49. 2020-06-28
    listed $64,900 New
  50. 2020-02-26
    historical

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,721
− Mortgage interest
−$3,915
− Property taxes
−$1,048
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,498
− Management
−$1,498
− Depreciation
−$2,033
Taxable income
$8,379
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,011
After-tax cash flow
$6,982/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fulton County
NCES district ID
1302280
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$68,035
Composite
45.33/100
National rank
#2640
State rank
#12 of 174 in GA

Livability — Union City

Score
58/100
State rank
#443
US rank
#21281

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Union City, GA
County
Fulton County · 1,094,430 people
City population
25,130
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
Population (ZIP)
25,130
Household income
$48,184
Rent vs Own
61.3% rent · 38.7% own
Severe rent burden
1778.0

Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,203,707 people
By 2030
1,299,706 · +8.0%
By 2040
1,488,256 · +23.6%
By 2050
1,664,580 · +38.3%
By 2075
2,036,072 · +69.2%
By 2100
2,222,402 · +84.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (86%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 86% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% White 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Italian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Fulton

2024 margin
Solid D (+44.9) · D 71.9% · R 27.0% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+9.8pp toward D · 2008: 35.0pp · 2024: 44.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+44.9 2020: D+46.4 2016: D+42.1 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+35.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 23.98%
Current HPI
239.3471
Rent YoY
▲ 2.20%
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+118.2% since first listed
69 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Listing Removed FMLS
  • 2026-04-23 Sold (MLS) $57,000 FMLS
  • 2026-04-10 Pending FMLS
  • 2026-04-06 Contingent FMLS
  • 2026-04-05 Listed $130,000 FMLS
  • 2026-03-24 Listed $70,000 FMLS
  • 2025-11-03 Listed $69,900 ForSaleByOwner.com
  • 2025-10-15 Listing Removed FMLS
  • 2025-10-14 Relisted FMLS
  • 2025-10-02 Pending FMLS
  • 2025-09-05 Price Changed $98,000 FMLS
  • 2025-08-15 Listed $110,000 FMLS
  • 2025-08-13 Listing Removed FMLS
  • 2025-07-06 Listed $113,500 FMLS
  • 2024-12-04 Listing Removed FMLS
  • 2024-10-04 Listed $75,000 FMLS
  • 2024-02-22 Sold (MLS) $95,000 FMLS
  • 2024-02-13 Pending FMLS
  • 2024-02-07 Contingent FMLS
  • 2024-02-02 Relisted FMLS
  • 2024-01-29 Sold (MLS) $108,000 GAMLS
  • 2024-01-09 Pending FMLS
  • 2024-01-03 Contingent FMLS
  • 2023-12-30 Pending GAMLS
  • 2023-12-28 Listed $99,000 FMLS
  • 2023-12-19 Price Changed $120,000 GAMLS
  • 2023-12-05 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2023-10-02 Pending GAMLS
  • 2023-09-27 Listed $150,000 GAMLS
  • 2023-09-05 Sold (MLS) $91,500 GAMLS
  • 2023-08-22 Pending GAMLS
  • 2023-08-11 Price Changed $84,990 GAMLS
  • 2023-08-11 Listed $9,130 GAMLS
  • 2020-07-21 Sold (MLS) $55,000 GAMLS
  • 2020-07-17 Pending GAMLS
  • 2020-06-28 Listed $64,900 GAMLS
  • 2020-02-26 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2020-01-30 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2020-01-21 Pending GAMLS
  • 2020-01-13 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2019-09-07 Pending GAMLS
  • 2019-08-26 Listed $67,500 GAMLS
  • 2019-08-12 Sold (MLS) $48,000 GAMLS
  • 2019-08-09 Pending GAMLS
  • 2019-07-16 Sold (MLS) $50,000 FMLS
  • 2019-07-10 Price Changed $55,000 GAMLS
  • 2019-07-05 Pending FMLS
  • 2019-06-04 Relisted FMLS
  • 2019-06-02 Pending FMLS
  • 2019-04-30 Relisted FMLS
  • 2019-04-23 Pending FMLS
  • 2019-04-17 Listed $60,000 GAMLS
  • 2019-04-16 Price Changed $55,000 FMLS
  • 2019-03-26 Relisted FMLS
  • 2019-02-26 Pending FMLS
  • 2019-02-12 Price Changed $58,500 FMLS
  • 2019-01-14 Listed $61,000 FMLS
  • 2018-04-12 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2018-02-02 Sold (MLS) $22,000 GAMLS
  • 2018-01-22 Pending GAMLS
  • 2018-01-13 Listed $29,900 GAMLS
  • 2018-01-11 Pending GAMLS
  • 2018-01-05 Price Changed $24,999 GAMLS
  • 2018-01-03 Listed $69,999 GAMLS
  • 2017-12-12 Listed $28,500 GAMLS
  • 2017-01-01 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2016-12-05 Listed $39,000 GAMLS
  • 2016-02-10 Price Changed $24,000 FMLS
  • 2015-10-23 Price Changed $26,121 FMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…