1455 S State #206 · Hemet, CA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +11.6/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Livability +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$104,988
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this beautifully updated turnkey mobile home located in a desirable all-ages community with incredibly low land lease dues and amazing community amenities! This spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath home features an open floor plan with an inviting open-concept layout perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. Enjoy a fully upgraded kitchen with modern finishes, upgraded bathrooms, and tasteful improvements throughout the home that truly make it move-in ready. Step outside to a relaxing patio deck area perfect for morning coffee, family gatherings, or simply enjoying the beautiful surrounding views. The property also offers ample parking space for 2 vehicles for added convenience
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Ample parking space
- Community amenities
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: 0–1 unit/acre lot classification; Accessibility features including multiple access exits, parking, and a main-level ramp
- Financial info: Land lease of $850
- HOA & community: Playground; Pool; Clubhouse; Spa; Security; Picnic area; Curbs and sidewalks; Hiking and foothill access; Park name: Santa Rosa; Pets allowed (per park rules); Manager approval required
Exterior
- Parking: Three-car garage; Two carport spaces; Driveway; Built-in storage; Total of five parking spaces
- Security: Resident manager; Association-provided security
- Utilities: Standard electric; Public/district water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story; Entry on level 2 (entry level listed as 2); Mobile home dimensions approximately 12' x 48'; Turnkey condition
- Construction: Roof described in remarks; Foundation details described in remarks; Year built referenced in remarks
- Exterior features: Front porch; Wood porch; Patio; Deck; Privacy fencing; Community pool
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Gas oven; Kitchen open to family room
- Bedrooms: Primary suite (listed as a room type)
- Flooring: Laminated
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Walk-in shower; Bathtub
- Heating & cooling: Central furnace heating; Central cooling
- Interior features: Laminate counters; Ceiling fan; Pantry; Two staircases; Open floor plan; Double-pane windows; Resident manager; Community spa; Has view
- Laundry & utility: Laundry area
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $105k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $987 ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $105k).
- Recommended offer: $102k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.6% vs local median 4.8% in Hemet — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 51/100 on livability (#1,056 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
- San Jacinto Unified (suburban): math 13% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #421 of 517 in CA (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Park Hill Elementary (890 students, 87% FRL); North Mountain Middle (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #277 of 498 statewide, top 73%, 844 students, 90% FRL); San Jacinto High (math 14% / reading 38%, grade F, #807 of 1,170 statewide, top 69%, 2,617 students, 85% FRL) — zoned schools average 87% FRL vs 68% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 273 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,168/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($49k/yr) (locally 2144% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.8% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($102k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 40.28%
- DSCR
- 2.79
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $115,536
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1536 S State #213 | 0.05mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (-3%) | 2mo | $125,000 | $93 | 90 |
| 1455 S State St #241 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (-3%) | 3mo | $100,000 | $74 | 87 |
| 1455 S State St #238 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,248 (-10%) | 4mo | $145,000 | $116 | 75 |
| 1455 S State St #271 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,224 (-12%) | 9mo | $140,000 | $114 | 67 |
| 1097 N State St #515 | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (-3%) | 8mo | $140,000 | $104 | 65 |
| 999 S Santa Fe #90 | 0.72mi | 2/2.0 | 1,404 (+1%) | 16mo | $45,000 | $32 | 52 |
| 1097 N State St #548 | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,248 (-10%) | 12mo | $140,000 | $112 | 50 |
| 1097 N State St #213 | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,248 (-10%) | 13mo | $90,000 | $72 | 48 |
| 1600 S San Jacinto Ave #182 | 0.67mi | 2/2.0 | 1,272 (-9%) | 10mo | $41,100 | $32 | 46 |
| 913 S Grand Ave #134 | 0.51mi | 2/2.0 | 1,248 (-10%) | 17mo | $104,000 | $83 | 44 |
| 913 S Grand Ave #25 | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,248 (-10%) | 17mo | $80,000 | $64 | 40 |
| 999 S Santa Fe Ave #92 | 0.72mi | 2/2.0 | 1,248 (-10%) | 18mo | $11,700 | $9 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.76% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 35.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.47×
- Total profit
- $43,199
- Equity at exit
- $15,654
- IRR
- 41.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.67×
- Total profit
- $107,988
- Equity at exit
- $9,077
Cash invested: $29,397 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92543
- Home prices YoY
- -26.7%
- Rents YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 273
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,168 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$551
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$131 /mo · $1,575/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$455
- Net cashflow
- $987
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,059 | -5% $1,023 | +0% $987 | +5% $951 | +10% $914 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $816 | -5% $901 | +0% $987 | +5% $1,072 | +10% $1,158 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,040 | -0.5pp $1,014 | base $987 | +0.5pp $960 | +1.0pp $932 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,247
- Closing costs
- $3,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 34 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N Santa Fe St GLMN HOT SPGS, CA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1053 | $2,350 | $2.23 | 0d | 2 | 0.51mi |
| 1555 S Santa Fe Ave San Jacinto, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1161 | $2,300 | $1.98 | 26d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 1775 S Santa Fe Ave San Jacinto, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,850 | $2.19 | 0d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 1569 Willowcreek Loop San Jacinto, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 921 | $2,100 | $2.28 | 26d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 289 Brown St San Jacinto, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $2,300 | $1.64 | 45d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1106 Don Carlos Ct San Jacinto, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1389 | $2,999 | $2.16 | 45d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 828 Coramdeo Ct Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1543 | $3,000 | $1.94 | 45d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1066 Birch Ln San Jacinto, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1785 | $2,600 | $1.46 | 6d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1354 Yorktown Cir San Jacinto, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1106 | $2,100 | $1.90 | 45d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 148 N Palomar Ave San Jacinto, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1368 | $1,152 | $0.84 | 26d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 795 Minor St Unit A San Jacinto, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 878 | $1,700 | $1.94 | 26d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 800 Minor St San Jacinto, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 878 | $1,600 | $1.82 | 0d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 344 E 6th St San Jacinto, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,900 | $2.11 | 26d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 784 Minor St Unit B San Jacinto, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 878 | $1,700 | $1.94 | 26d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 748 Minor St Apt F San Jacinto, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 878 | $1,600 | $1.82 | 45d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 700 Minor St San Jacinto, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 878 | $1,700 | $1.94 | 26d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 700 Minor St San Jacinto, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 878 | $1,600 | $1.82 | 45d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 419 Angela Way San Jacinto, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 988 | $2,150 | $2.18 | 16d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 1559 Park Meadows Dr San Jacinto, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1644 | $2,675 | $1.63 | 45d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 663 Mariposa Dr Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,500 | $1.04 | 26d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 1700 Walden Ln Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1430 | $2,670 | $1.87 | 26d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 621 S Mistletoe Ave San Jacinto, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,000 | $1.33 | 45d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 1410 Cottonwood Ave San Jacinto, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1257 | $2,300 | $1.83 | 45d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 910 E Campus Way Unit 910 Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 940 | $1,550 | $1.65 | 45d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1118 E Campus Way Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $2,200 | $2.44 | 26d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 165 Tiger Ln San Jacinto, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1339 | $2,150 | $1.61 | 4d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 2014 Iris Way Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1192 | $2,850 | $2.39 | 45d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 446 N Elk St Unit D Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $1,675 | $1.71 | 26d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 1844 Paradise Way San Jacinto, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1540 | $3,000 | $1.95 | 45d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 249 Idyllwild Dr San Jacinto, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1025 | $2,300 | $2.24 | 45d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 543 La Cresta Dr Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1544 | $1,595 | $1.03 | 45d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 2208 El Grande St Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1327 | $2,100 | $1.58 | 19d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 2208 El Grande St Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1327 | $2,000 | $1.51 | 1d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 1270 Rosalia Ave Unit 1 Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,800 | $2.00 | 45d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $104,988 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-18pricedays on market $104,988 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $109,988 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $109,988 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $109,988 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $109,988 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $109,988 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $109,988 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $109,988 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $109,988 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $109,988 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $109,988 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $109,988 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $109,988 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $109,988 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-20$109,988 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,010
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,881
- − Property taxes
- −$1,575
- − Insurance
- −$525
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,081
- − Management
- −$2,081
- − Depreciation
- −$3,054
- Taxable income
- $10,814
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,595
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,246/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- San Jacinto Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0634440
- Math proficiency
- 13% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,560
- Composite
- 20.94/100
- National rank
- #8478
- State rank
- #421 of 517 in CA
Livability — Hemet
- Score
- 51/100
- State rank
- #1056
- US rank
- #25208
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hemet, CA
- County
- Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
- City population
- 137,670
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,937
- Household income
- $49,396
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2144.0
Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,664,475 people
- By 2030
- 2,802,692 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 3,050,904 · +14.5%
- By 2050
- 3,256,783 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 3,655,058 · +37.2%
- By 2100
- 3,766,594 · +41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 54% White 30% Two or more races 18% Black 10% Native American 2% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 48% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Romanian 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 21% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 59% English-only · Spanish 38% Arabic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Riverside
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -147.46%
- Current HPI
- 405.1277
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.76%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
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Price history
-4.5% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Price Changed $104,988 CRMLS
- 2026-05-20 Listed $109,988 CRMLS
Property tax history
-6.2%/yrLatest (2025): $113 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…