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1455 S State #206
B Composite 71.69
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.6/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Livability +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$104,988

1455 S State #206 · Hemet, CA 92543
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,392 sqft · Manufactured public records · 32 Days on market
Built 1970 Est $116k · 9% under ↓ 5% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this beautifully updated turnkey mobile home located in a desirable all-ages community with incredibly low land lease dues and amazing community amenities! This spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath home features an open floor plan with an inviting open-concept layout perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. Enjoy a fully upgraded kitchen with modern finishes, upgraded bathrooms, and tasteful improvements throughout the home that truly make it move-in ready. Step outside to a relaxing patio deck area perfect for morning coffee, family gatherings, or simply enjoying the beautiful surrounding views. The property also offers ample parking space for 2 vehicles for added convenience

Key facts

  • Open floor plan
  • Ample parking space
  • Community amenities

Tags

OPEN FLOOR PLANFULLY UPGRADED KITCHENRELAXING PATIO DECKAMPLE PARKING SPACECOMMUNITY AMENITIES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: 0–1 unit/acre lot classification; Accessibility features including multiple access exits, parking, and a main-level ramp
  • Financial info: Land lease of $850
  • HOA & community: Playground; Pool; Clubhouse; Spa; Security; Picnic area; Curbs and sidewalks; Hiking and foothill access; Park name: Santa Rosa; Pets allowed (per park rules); Manager approval required

Exterior

  • Parking: Three-car garage; Two carport spaces; Driveway; Built-in storage; Total of five parking spaces
  • Security: Resident manager; Association-provided security
  • Utilities: Standard electric; Public/district water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story; Entry on level 2 (entry level listed as 2); Mobile home dimensions approximately 12' x 48'; Turnkey condition
  • Construction: Roof described in remarks; Foundation details described in remarks; Year built referenced in remarks
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Wood porch; Patio; Deck; Privacy fencing; Community pool

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave; Gas oven; Kitchen open to family room
  • Bedrooms: Primary suite (listed as a room type)
  • Flooring: Laminated
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Walk-in shower; Bathtub
  • Heating & cooling: Central furnace heating; Central cooling
  • Interior features: Laminate counters; Ceiling fan; Pantry; Two staircases; Open floor plan; Double-pane windows; Resident manager; Community spa; Has view
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry area

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $105k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $987 ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $105k).
  • Recommended offer: $102k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 17.6% vs local median 4.8% in Hemet — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 51/100 on livability (#1,056 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • San Jacinto Unified (suburban): math 13% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #421 of 517 in CA (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Park Hill Elementary (890 students, 87% FRL); North Mountain Middle (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #277 of 498 statewide, top 73%, 844 students, 90% FRL); San Jacinto High (math 14% / reading 38%, grade F, #807 of 1,170 statewide, top 69%, 2,617 students, 85% FRL) — zoned schools average 87% FRL vs 68% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 273 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,168/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($49k/yr) (locally 2144% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.8% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($102k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $101,838 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.06%
Cap rate
17.57%
Cash-on-cash
40.28%
DSCR
2.79
GRM
4.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$115,536
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1536 S State #213 0.05mi 2/2.0 1,344 (-3%) 2mo $125,000 $93 90
1455 S State St #241 0.00mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,344 (-3%) 3mo $100,000 $74 87
1455 S State St #238 0.00mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,248 (-10%) 4mo $145,000 $116 75
1455 S State St #271 0.00mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,224 (-12%) 9mo $140,000 $114 67
1097 N State St #515 0.37mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,344 (-3%) 8mo $140,000 $104 65
999 S Santa Fe #90 0.72mi 2/2.0 1,404 (+1%) 16mo $45,000 $32 52
1097 N State St #548 0.37mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,248 (-10%) 12mo $140,000 $112 50
1097 N State St #213 0.41mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,248 (-10%) 13mo $90,000 $72 48
1600 S San Jacinto Ave #182 0.67mi 2/2.0 1,272 (-9%) 10mo $41,100 $32 46
913 S Grand Ave #134 0.51mi 2/2.0 1,248 (-10%) 17mo $104,000 $83 44
913 S Grand Ave #25 0.51mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,248 (-10%) 17mo $80,000 $64 40
999 S Santa Fe Ave #92 0.72mi 2/2.0 1,248 (-10%) 18mo $11,700 $9 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.76% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
35.3%
Equity multiple
2.47×
Total profit
$43,199
Equity at exit
$15,654
10-year hold
IRR
41.4%
Equity multiple
4.67×
Total profit
$107,988
Equity at exit
$9,077

Cash invested: $29,397 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92543

Home prices YoY
-26.7%
Rents YoY
1.8%
Active inventory
273
Price-to-rent
4.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,168 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$551
Tax est. 1.5%
$131 /mo · $1,575/yr
Insurance
$44
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$455
Net cashflow
$987

Break-even live

Break-even rent $918
Max offer price $104,988
Occupancy floor 49%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,059 -5% $1,023 +0% $987 +5% $951 +10% $914
Rent -10% $816 -5% $901 +0% $987 +5% $1,072 +10% $1,158
Rate -1.0pp $1,040 -0.5pp $1,014 base $987 +0.5pp $960 +1.0pp $932

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,247
Closing costs
$3,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 34 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
N Santa Fe St GLMN HOT SPGS, CA 2.0–3.0 2.0 1053 $2,350 $2.23 0d 2 0.51mi
1555 S Santa Fe Ave San Jacinto, CA 3.0 2.0 1161 $2,300 $1.98 26d 1 0.54mi
1775 S Santa Fe Ave San Jacinto, CA 3.0 2.0 1300 $2,850 $2.19 0d 1 0.54mi
1569 Willowcreek Loop San Jacinto, CA 2.0 1.5 921 $2,100 $2.28 26d 1 0.57mi
289 Brown St San Jacinto, CA 2.0 1.0 1400 $2,300 $1.64 45d 1 0.99mi
1106 Don Carlos Ct San Jacinto, CA 3.0 2.0 1389 $2,999 $2.16 45d 1 1.01mi
828 Coramdeo Ct Hemet, CA 3.0 2.0 1543 $3,000 $1.94 45d 1 1.02mi
1066 Birch Ln San Jacinto, CA 3.0 2.0 1785 $2,600 $1.46 6d 1 1.06mi
1354 Yorktown Cir San Jacinto, CA 2.0 2.0 1106 $2,100 $1.90 45d 1 1.11mi
148 N Palomar Ave San Jacinto, CA 2.0 2.0 1368 $1,152 $0.84 26d 1 1.13mi
795 Minor St Unit A San Jacinto, CA 2.0 1.0 878 $1,700 $1.94 26d 1 1.16mi
800 Minor St San Jacinto, CA 2.0 1.0 878 $1,600 $1.82 0d 1 1.17mi
344 E 6th St San Jacinto, CA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,900 $2.11 26d 1 1.17mi
784 Minor St Unit B San Jacinto, CA 2.0 1.0 878 $1,700 $1.94 26d 1 1.17mi
748 Minor St Apt F San Jacinto, CA 2.0 1.0 878 $1,600 $1.82 45d 1 1.18mi
700 Minor St San Jacinto, CA 2.0 1.0 878 $1,700 $1.94 26d 1 1.20mi
700 Minor St San Jacinto, CA 2.0 1.0 878 $1,600 $1.82 45d 1 1.20mi
419 Angela Way San Jacinto, CA 3.0 1.0 988 $2,150 $2.18 16d 1 1.20mi
1559 Park Meadows Dr San Jacinto, CA 3.0 2.0 1644 $2,675 $1.63 45d 1 1.30mi
663 Mariposa Dr Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 1440 $1,500 $1.04 26d 1 1.30mi
1700 Walden Ln Hemet, CA 3.0 2.0 1430 $2,670 $1.87 26d 1 1.30mi
621 S Mistletoe Ave San Jacinto, CA 2.0 2.0 1500 $2,000 $1.33 45d 1 1.32mi
1410 Cottonwood Ave San Jacinto, CA 2.0 1.5 1257 $2,300 $1.83 45d 1 1.35mi
910 E Campus Way Unit 910 Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 940 $1,550 $1.65 45d 1 1.35mi
1118 E Campus Way Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 900 $2,200 $2.44 26d 1 1.38mi
165 Tiger Ln San Jacinto, CA 2.0 2.0 1339 $2,150 $1.61 4d 1 1.40mi
2014 Iris Way Hemet, CA 3.0 2.0 1192 $2,850 $2.39 45d 1 1.41mi
446 N Elk St Unit D Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 980 $1,675 $1.71 26d 1 1.43mi
1844 Paradise Way San Jacinto, CA 3.0 2.0 1540 $3,000 $1.95 45d 1 1.44mi
249 Idyllwild Dr San Jacinto, CA 3.0 2.0 1025 $2,300 $2.24 45d 1 1.46mi
543 La Cresta Dr Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 1544 $1,595 $1.03 45d 1 1.46mi
2208 El Grande St Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 1327 $2,100 $1.58 19d 1 1.46mi
2208 El Grande St Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 1327 $2,000 $1.51 1d 1 1.46mi
1270 Rosalia Ave Unit 1 Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,800 $2.00 45d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $104,988 Active 32 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    pricedays on market $104,988 Active 29 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $109,988 Active 28 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $109,988 Active 27 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $109,988 Active 26 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $109,988 Active 24 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $109,988 Active 23 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $109,988 Active 20 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $109,988 Active 19 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $109,988 Active 18 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $109,988 Active 15 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $109,988 Active 14 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $109,988 Active 13 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $109,988 Active 12 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $109,988 Active 11 DOM
  16. 2026-05-20
    listed $109,988 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,010
− Mortgage interest
−$5,881
− Property taxes
−$1,575
− Insurance
−$525
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,081
− Management
−$2,081
− Depreciation
−$3,054
Taxable income
$10,814
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,595
After-tax cash flow
$9,246/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
San Jacinto Unified
NCES district ID
0634440
Math proficiency
13% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$43,560
Composite
20.94/100
National rank
#8478
State rank
#421 of 517 in CA

Livability — Hemet

Score
51/100
State rank
#1056
US rank
#25208

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime D+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hemet, CA
County
Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
City population
137,670
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
39,937
Household income
$49,396
Rent vs Own
42.8% rent · 57.2% own
Severe rent burden
2144.0

Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,664,475 people
By 2030
2,802,692 · +5.2%
By 2040
3,050,904 · +14.5%
By 2050
3,256,783 · +22.2%
By 2075
3,655,058 · +37.2%
By 2100
3,766,594 · +41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 54% White 30% Two or more races 18% Black 10% Native American 2% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 48% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Romanian 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
21% · Canada
Languages at home
59% English-only · Spanish 38% Arabic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Riverside

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -147.46%
Current HPI
405.1277
Rent YoY
▲ 1.76%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-4.5% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-18 Price Changed $104,988 CRMLS
  • 2026-05-20 Listed $109,988 CRMLS

Property tax history

-6.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $113 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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