4560 Briarcliff Ter · Mount Pocono, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 89°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 8.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.8/30.0
- Appreciation +6.2/10.0
- DSCR +4.9/10.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$230,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Discover this STR-friendly chalet in the desirable Pocono Country Place community! This inviting 3-bedroom, 2-bath home blends comfort, style, and convenience--perfect as a primary residence, vacation retreat, or investment property! The main level features a bedroom, a full bath, and a beautifully updated kitchen complete with quartz countertops, stainless steel appliances, and durable laminate flooring throughout. Step outside to a large deck--ideal for relaxing or entertaining. Upstairs, you'll find two additional bedrooms and another full bath, including a private balcony off one of the bedrooms--perfect for enjoying peaceful mornings or evening retreats. Upgrades include newer gutters
Key facts
- Large deck
- Private balcony
- Hot water heater
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with annual fee (includes snow removal and security); Community amenities: gated entry, security, clubhouse, playground, tennis courts, pool
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Security: 24-hour security; Prewired for security
- Utilities: Private water source; Private sewer
- Home design: Single-family residential house
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Crawl space foundation; Built as a house (above-grade finished area listed)
- Exterior features: Deck; Level, wooded lot; Paved private road frontage; Private maintained road
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Stainless steel appliances; Water heater
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 7
- Flooring: Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Electric heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: Kitchen island; Living room fireplace; Negotiable furnishings
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer (stacked); Laundry located on main level and in bathroom
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $230k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $106 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $213k (7.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $213k (7.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 5.2% in Mount Pocono — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#362 in PA, #3,166 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, commute F.
- Pocono Mountain SD (rural): math 37% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #245 of 539 in PA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 358 active listings in the ZIP; 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $7k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (2.4% local appreciation)).
- Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (2.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $64k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($227k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $130k; list at $230k implies a 77% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.98%
- DSCR
- 1.09
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $183,774
- List price
- $230,000
- Delta
- 25.15%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3050 Briarwood Dr | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 | 912 (+9%) | 3mo | $170,000 | $186 | 71 |
| 209 Greenbriar Cir | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 | 864 (+4%) | 12mo | $210,000 | $243 | 65 |
| 3174 Carobeth Dr | 0.39mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 739 (-12%) | 8mo | $235,000 | $318 | 49 |
| 732 Edgewood Rd | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 768 (-8%) | 4mo | $123,000 | $160 | 48 |
| 6337 Ventnor Dr | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 744 (-11%) | 4mo | $76,000 | $102 | 41 |
| 488 Country Place Dr | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 744 (-11%) | 4mo | $180,000 | $242 | 36 |
| 6309 Ventnor Dr | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 913 (+9%) | 9mo | $165,000 | $181 | 34 |
| 6331 Ventnor Dr | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 864 (+4%) | 24mo | $139,500 | $161 | 32 |
| 6269 Park Pl | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 893 (+7%) | 22mo | $165,000 | $185 | 27 |
| 6307 Ventnor Dr | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (+15%) | 13mo | $175,000 | $182 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.36% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.42×
- Total profit
- $26,749
- Equity at exit
- $95,190
- IRR
- 10.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.49×
- Total profit
- $95,711
- Equity at exit
- $140,596
Cash invested: $64,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18466
- Home prices YoY
- 1.2%
- Active inventory
- 358
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,131 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,206
- Tax from tax record
- −$127 /mo · $1,522/yr
- Insurance
- −$96
- HOA
- −$149
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$448
- Net cashflow
- $106
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $236 | -5% $171 | +0% $106 | +5% $41 | +10% $-24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-62 | -5% $22 | +0% $106 | +5% $190 | +10% $274 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $222 | -0.5pp $165 | base $106 | +0.5pp $46 | +1.0pp $-14 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $57,500
- Closing costs
- $6,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $149 · $1,788/yr
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-17status $230,000 Pending 26 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $230,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $230,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $230,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $230,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $230,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $230,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $230,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $230,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-15status Pending 1162-char remark
-
2026-04-29$230,000 Active 1162-char remark
-
2024-09-22historical
-
2024-04-18price $260,000
-
2024-04-18price $260,000
-
2023-12-19$265,000 Active
-
2023-12-05$265,000 Active
-
2022-09-28soldstatus $130,000
-
2022-09-28soldstatus Closed
-
2022-09-28soldstatus $130,000 Closed
-
2022-09-28soldstatus $130,000
-
2022-08-29historical
-
2022-08-25$127,500
-
2022-08-25$127,500
-
2022-08-25$127,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,522 · $127/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,578 · $215/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,056/yr (+$88/mo · 69.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,577
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,884
- − Property taxes
- −$1,522
- − Insurance
- −$1,150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,046
- − Management
- −$2,046
- − HOA
- −$1,788
- − Depreciation
- −$6,691
- Taxable loss
- −$2,550
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$612
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,884/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pocono Mountain SD
- NCES district ID
- 4219500
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,317
- Composite
- 39.91/100
- National rank
- #3856
- State rank
- #245 of 539 in PA
Livability — Mount Pocono
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #362
- US rank
- #3166
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,997
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 164,099 people
- By 2030
- 161,412 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 154,616 · -5.8%
- By 2050
- 146,710 · -10.6%
- By 2075
- 140,830 · -14.2%
- By 2100
- 138,472 · -15.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 38% Hispanic / Latino 27% Black 24% Two or more races 17% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 12% Dominican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Portuguese 1% German 1%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.1% · R 49.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.1pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+0.8 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+16.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.36%
- Current HPI
- 202.4134
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+80.4% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Pending — PMAR
- 2026-06-05 Relisted — PMAR
- 2026-05-15 Pending — PMAR
- 2026-04-29 Listed $230,000 PMAR
- 2024-09-22 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-04-18 Price Changed $260,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-04-18 Price Changed $260,000 PMAR
- 2023-12-19 Listed $265,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-12-05 Listed $265,000 PMAR
- 2022-09-28 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
- 2022-09-28 Sold (MLS) $130,000 PMAR
- 2022-09-28 Sold (MLS) — PWMLS
- 2022-09-28 Sold (MLS) $130,000 PWMLS
- 2022-08-29 Delisted — PWMLS
- 2022-08-25 Listed $127,500 PMAR
- 2022-08-25 Listed $127,500 PWMLS
- 2022-08-25 Listed $127,500 PWMLS
Property tax history
-5.4%/yrLatest (2026): $1,522 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…