CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
4560 Briarcliff Ter
D Composite 43.98
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.8/30.0
  • Appreciation +6.2/10.0
  • DSCR +4.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.3/10.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$230,000

4560 Briarcliff Ter · Mount Pocono, PA 18466
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 835 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 26 Days on market
Built 1982 10,454 sqft lot $275/sqft · 72% above area Est $184k · 25% over $149/mo HOA · 7% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Discover this STR-friendly chalet in the desirable Pocono Country Place community! This inviting 3-bedroom, 2-bath home blends comfort, style, and convenience--perfect as a primary residence, vacation retreat, or investment property! The main level features a bedroom, a full bath, and a beautifully updated kitchen complete with quartz countertops, stainless steel appliances, and durable laminate flooring throughout. Step outside to a large deck--ideal for relaxing or entertaining. Upstairs, you'll find two additional bedrooms and another full bath, including a private balcony off one of the bedrooms--perfect for enjoying peaceful mornings or evening retreats. Upgrades include newer gutters

Key facts

  • Large deck
  • Private balcony
  • Hot water heater

Tags

UPDATED KITCHENLARGE DECKPRIVATE BALCONYNEWER GUTTERSHOT WATER HEATERSMART THERMOSTAT

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with annual fee (includes snow removal and security); Community amenities: gated entry, security, clubhouse, playground, tennis courts, pool

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Security: 24-hour security; Prewired for security
  • Utilities: Private water source; Private sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residential house
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Crawl space foundation; Built as a house (above-grade finished area listed)
  • Exterior features: Deck; Level, wooded lot; Paved private road frontage; Private maintained road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Stainless steel appliances; Water heater
  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 7
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Electric heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Kitchen island; Living room fireplace; Negotiable furnishings
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer (stacked); Laundry located on main level and in bathroom

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $230k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $106 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $213k (7.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $213k (7.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 5.2% in Mount Pocono — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#362 in PA, #3,166 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, commute F.
  • Pocono Mountain SD (rural): math 37% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #245 of 539 in PA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 358 active listings in the ZIP; 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (2.4% local appreciation)).
  • Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (2.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $64k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($227k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $130k; list at $230k implies a 77% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $213,139 (7.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.93%
Cap rate
6.85%
Cash-on-cash
1.98%
DSCR
1.09
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$183,774
List price
$230,000
Delta
25.15%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3050 Briarwood Dr 0.14mi 3/1.0 912 (+9%) 3mo $170,000 $186 71
209 Greenbriar Cir 0.33mi 3/1.0 864 (+4%) 12mo $210,000 $243 65
3174 Carobeth Dr 0.39mi 2/1.5 (-1) 739 (-12%) 8mo $235,000 $318 49
732 Edgewood Rd 0.56mi 2/1.0 (-1) 768 (-8%) 4mo $123,000 $160 48
6337 Ventnor Dr 0.73mi 3/1.0 744 (-11%) 4mo $76,000 $102 41
488 Country Place Dr 0.71mi 2/1.0 (-1) 744 (-11%) 4mo $180,000 $242 36
6309 Ventnor Dr 0.73mi 2/1.0 (-1) 913 (+9%) 9mo $165,000 $181 34
6331 Ventnor Dr 0.72mi 2/1.0 (-1) 864 (+4%) 24mo $139,500 $161 32
6269 Park Pl 0.72mi 2/1.0 (-1) 893 (+7%) 22mo $165,000 $185 27
6307 Ventnor Dr 0.73mi 3/1.0 960 (+15%) 13mo $175,000 $182 26

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.36% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.5%
Equity multiple
1.42×
Total profit
$26,749
Equity at exit
$95,190
10-year hold
IRR
10.6%
Equity multiple
2.49×
Total profit
$95,711
Equity at exit
$140,596

Cash invested: $64,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18466

Home prices YoY
1.2%
Active inventory
358
Price-to-rent
9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,131 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,206
Tax from tax record
$127 /mo · $1,522/yr
Insurance
$96
HOA
$149
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$448
Net cashflow
$106

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,997
Max offer price $230,000
Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $236 -5% $171 +0% $106 +5% $41 +10% $-24
Rent -10% $-62 -5% $22 +0% $106 +5% $190 +10% $274
Rate -1.0pp $222 -0.5pp $165 base $106 +0.5pp $46 +1.0pp $-14

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$57,500
Closing costs
$6,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$149 · $1,788/yr

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    status $230,000 Pending 26 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    days on market $230,000 Active 26 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $230,000 Active 25 DOM
  4. 2026-06-14
    days on market $230,000 Active 23 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $230,000 Active 22 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $230,000 Active 20 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $230,000 Active 19 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $230,000 Active 18 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    remarks 699-char remark
  10. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $230,000 Active 17 DOM
  11. 2026-05-15
    status Pending 1162-char remark
  12. 2026-04-29
    listed $230,000 Active 1162-char remark
  13. 2024-09-22
    historical
  14. 2024-04-18
    price $260,000
  15. 2024-04-18
    price $260,000
  16. 2023-12-19
    listed $265,000 Active
  17. 2023-12-05
    listed $265,000 Active
  18. 2022-09-28
    soldstatus $130,000
  19. 2022-09-28
    soldstatus Closed
  20. 2022-09-28
    soldstatus $130,000 Closed
  21. 2022-09-28
    soldstatus $130,000
  22. 2022-08-29
    historical
  23. 2022-08-25
    listed $127,500
  24. 2022-08-25
    listed $127,500
  25. 2022-08-25
    listed $127,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,522 · $127/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,578 · $215/mo
Expected delta
+$1,056/yr (+$88/mo · 69.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,577
− Mortgage interest
−$12,884
− Property taxes
−$1,522
− Insurance
−$1,150
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,046
− Management
−$2,046
− HOA
−$1,788
− Depreciation
−$6,691
Taxable loss
−$2,550
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$612
After-tax cash flow
$1,884/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pocono Mountain SD
NCES district ID
4219500
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$55,317
Composite
39.91/100
National rank
#3856
State rank
#245 of 539 in PA

Livability — Mount Pocono

Score
77/100
State rank
#362
US rank
#3166

Category grades

Amenities C Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
17,997

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
164,099 people
By 2030
161,412 · -1.6%
By 2040
154,616 · -5.8%
By 2050
146,710 · -10.6%
By 2075
140,830 · -14.2%
By 2100
138,472 · -15.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
Race & ethnicity
White 38% Hispanic / Latino 27% Black 24% Two or more races 17% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 12% Dominican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Portuguese 1% German 1%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada
Languages at home
77% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.1% · R 49.9%
2008→2024 swing
-17.1pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -0.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+0.8 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+16.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.36%
Current HPI
202.4134
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+80.4% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Pending PMAR
  • 2026-06-05 Relisted PMAR
  • 2026-05-15 Pending PMAR
  • 2026-04-29 Listed $230,000 PMAR
  • 2024-09-22 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-04-18 Price Changed $260,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-04-18 Price Changed $260,000 PMAR
  • 2023-12-19 Listed $265,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-12-05 Listed $265,000 PMAR
  • 2022-09-28 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
  • 2022-09-28 Sold (MLS) $130,000 PMAR
  • 2022-09-28 Sold (MLS) PWMLS
  • 2022-09-28 Sold (MLS) $130,000 PWMLS
  • 2022-08-29 Delisted PWMLS
  • 2022-08-25 Listed $127,500 PMAR
  • 2022-08-25 Listed $127,500 PWMLS
  • 2022-08-25 Listed $127,500 PWMLS

Property tax history

-5.4%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,522 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…