315 White Pine St · Trussville, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.1/10.0
- 1% rule +6.5/10.0
- Schools +5.5/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$195,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great opportunity for investment property or some TLC. 3 sided brick, Lr/Dr, kitchen with nice eat in area or den, 3 br's and 2 full baths on one level living. There is also an entrance to the kitchen from the carport. Basement has playroom and 1/2 bath. Detached garage, workshop, nice patio, large backyard.
Key facts
- Spacious kitchen
- Large lot
- Bonus room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $196k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $524 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $196k).
- Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 3.4% in Trussville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#7 in AL, #2,110 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: commute F.
- Trussville City (suburban): math 49% / reading 74% proficiency, ranked #5 of 129 in AL (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 7% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Magnolia Elementary School (math 62% / reading 82%, grade A-, #20 of 627 statewide, top 4%, 403 students, 20% FRL); Hewitttrussville High School (math 50% / reading 50%, grade D+, #15 of 305 statewide, top 5%, 1,573 students, 15% FRL).
- Market conditions: 344 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $55k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $90k; list at $196k implies a 118% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.50%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.46%
- DSCR
- 1.51
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $272,217
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 111 Kingstown Cir | 0.27mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,300 (+5%) | 10mo | $320,000 | $246 | 67 |
| 3648 Queenstown Rd | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,312 (+6%) | 9mo | $224,000 | $171 | 64 |
| 102 Lynn Dr | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,148 (-8%) | 8mo | $250,000 | $218 | 59 |
| 6478 S Chalkville Rd | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,256 (+1%) | 23mo | $275,000 | $219 | 58 |
| 120 Lynn Dr | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,330 (+7%) | 9mo | $245,000 | $184 | 52 |
| 6453 S Chalkville Rd | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,148 (-8%) | 6mo | $115,000 | $100 | 51 |
| 3520 Halcyon Way | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,418 (+14%) | 10mo | $349,900 | $247 | 51 |
| 3679 Halcyon Trce | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,413 (+14%) | 15mo | $356,545 | $252 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.03×
- Total profit
- $1,577
- Equity at exit
- $29,209
- IRR
- 10.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.81×
- Total profit
- $44,200
- Equity at exit
- $16,938
Cash invested: $54,852 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35173
- Home prices YoY
- -33.4%
- Active inventory
- 344
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,248 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,027
- Tax from tax record
- −$143 /mo · $1,718/yr
- Insurance
- −$82
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$472
- Net cashflow
- $524
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $48,975
- Closing costs
- $5,877
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3509 Halcyon Way Trussville, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1412 | $2,995 | $2.12 | 23d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 3129 Cedarbrook Ln Trussville, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1231 | $1,766 | $1.43 | 14d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 160 Morrow Ave Unit 208 Trussville, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $2,650 | $1.83 | 43d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 3539 Mary Taylor Rd Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 847 | $1,592 | $1.88 | 1d | 8 | 0.91mi |
| 318 Linden St Unit 100 Trussville, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 985 | $1,550 | $1.57 | 43d | 1 | 1.01mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-04-24status Pending
-
2026-04-16$195,900 Active
-
2017-07-20soldstatus $90,000
-
2017-07-11soldstatus $90,000 Sold 309-char remark
Show marketing remark (309 chars)
Great opportunity for investment property or some TLC. 3 sided brick, Lr/Dr, kitchen with nice eat in area or den, 3 br's and 2 full baths on one level living. There is also an entrance to the kitchen from the carport. Basement has playroom and 1/2 bath. Detached garage, workshop, nice patio, large backyard.
-
2017-05-26historical 309-char remark
Show marketing remark (309 chars)
Great opportunity for investment property or some TLC. 3 sided brick, Lr/Dr, kitchen with nice eat in area or den, 3 br's and 2 full baths on one level living. There is also an entrance to the kitchen from the carport. Basement has playroom and 1/2 bath. Detached garage, workshop, nice patio, large backyard.
-
2017-04-26$129,800 Active 309-char remark
Show marketing remark (309 chars)
Great opportunity for investment property or some TLC. 3 sided brick, Lr/Dr, kitchen with nice eat in area or den, 3 br's and 2 full baths on one level living. There is also an entrance to the kitchen from the carport. Basement has playroom and 1/2 bath. Detached garage, workshop, nice patio, large backyard.
-
1999-09-02soldstatus $79,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,718 · $143/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,718 · $143/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,973
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,973
- − Property taxes
- −$1,718
- − Insurance
- −$980
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,158
- − Management
- −$2,158
- − Depreciation
- −$5,699
- Taxable income
- $3,288
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$789
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,494/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Trussville City
- NCES district ID
- 0100013
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -27.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 74% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $83,473
- Composite
- 55.42/100
- National rank
- #1250
- State rank
- #5 of 129 in AL
Livability — Trussville
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #7
- US rank
- #2110
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Trussville, AL
- City population
- 51,725
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,125
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Black 10% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -104.75%
- Current HPI
- 208.5715
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+145.2% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Pending — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-04-16 Listed $195,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2017-07-20 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
- 2017-07-11 Sold (MLS) $90,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2017-05-26 Delisted — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2017-04-26 Listed $129,800 Greater Alabama MLS
- 1999-09-02 Sold (Public Records) $79,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,718 · -0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…