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B- Composite 68.11
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$42,000

706, 710, 714 S Calhoun · Magnolia, AR 71753
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 672 sqft · SingleFamily public records
Built 1980

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Great Opportunity for Investor. Current income $650.00 per month. Call Sondra at 870-904-7900 or Eiler Realty at 879-234-6621 and take a look.

Key facts

  • Built 1980

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $42k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $774 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $42k).
  • Cap rate 28.4% vs local median 3.1% in Magnolia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#144 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Magnolia School District (town): math 29% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #164 of 238 in AR (top 69%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Magnolia High School (math 21% / reading 33%, grade F, #164 of 292 statewide, top 61%, 780 students, 58% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 38 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 14 units permitted in Columbia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $290 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Columbia County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $42,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.14%
Cap rate
28.40%
Cash-on-cash
78.96%
DSCR
4.51
GRM
2.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
79.1%
Equity multiple
4.61×
Total profit
$42,485
Equity at exit
$6,262
10-year hold
IRR
82.6%
Equity multiple
9.54×
Total profit
$100,480
Equity at exit
$3,631

Cash invested: $11,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 71753

Home prices YoY
-31.1%
Active inventory
38
Price-to-rent
2.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,318 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$220
Tax from tax record
$29 /mo · $351/yr
Insurance
$18
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$277
Net cashflow
$774

Break-even live

Break-even rent $338
Max offer price $42,000
Occupancy floor 36%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $798 -5% $786 +0% $774 +5% $762 +10% $750
Rent -10% $670 -5% $722 +0% $774 +5% $826 +10% $878
Rate -1.0pp $795 -0.5pp $784 base $774 +0.5pp $763 +1.0pp $752

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$10,500
Closing costs
$1,260
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1032 Mullins St Magnolia, AR 4.0 1.0–1.5 712 $1,318 $1.85 44d 1 1.17mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2023-11-01
    soldstatus $42,000
  2. 2023-09-18
    historical
  3. 2023-09-09
    listed $42,000
  4. 2009-02-27
    soldstatus $16,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$351 · $29/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$351 · $29/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,810
− Mortgage interest
−$2,353
− Property taxes
−$351
− Insurance
−$210
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,265
− Management
−$1,265
− Depreciation
−$1,222
Taxable income
$9,145
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,195
After-tax cash flow
$7,091/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Magnolia School District
NCES district ID
0500044
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$35,467
Composite
23.58/100
National rank
#7850
State rank
#164 of 238 in AR

Livability — Magnolia

Score
65/100
State rank
#144
US rank
#12675

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing B Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Magnolia, AR
Population (ZIP)
16,089

Population outlook (Columbia County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
23,099 people
By 2030
22,536 · -2.4%
By 2040
21,489 · -7.0%
By 2050
20,536 · -11.1%
By 2075
20,459 · -11.4%
By 2100
19,797 · -14.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
White 57% Black 36% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Serbian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Columbia

2024 margin
Solid R (+36.5) · D 31.1% · R 67.6% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-12.4pp toward R · 2008: -24.1pp · 2024: -36.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+36.5 2020: R+31.2 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+23.6 2008: R+24.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -65.64%
Current HPI
145.3145
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+162.5% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2023-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $42,000 Public Records
  • 2023-09-18 Listing Removed CARMLS
  • 2023-09-09 Listed $42,000 CARMLS
  • 2009-02-27 Sold (Public Records) $16,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $351 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…