853 Stroupe Mountain Rd · Wytheville, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 5 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.3/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +6.0/10.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to 853 Stroupe Mountain Rd in Wytheville, VA, offering 4 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, and 1,850 SQFT of living space. The home is in good overall condition and simply needs updating to reach its full potential. The foundation is solid and well-maintained. Electrical and plumbing systems are both in working order with no known issues. This property presents a great opportunity for customization in a desirable setting. Property sold AS-IS
Key facts
- 0.79 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1991
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 1 space
- Utilities: Private well water; Septic tank
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level
- Construction: Frame construction with vinyl siding; Below-grade finished area
- Exterior features: Shingle roof; Irregular, wooded lot
Interior
- Flooring: Carpet; Wood
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air; Ceiling fans; Electric heating
- Interior features: Insulated windows; Wood burning fireplace; Basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $63 ($753/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $141k (19.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $141k (19.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 4.3% in Wytheville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#116 in VA, #3,571 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime B+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Wythe County Public School District (rural): math 67% / reading 77% proficiency, ranked #20 of 131 in VA (top 15%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Zoned schools: Speedwell Elementary (math 52% / reading 72%, grade B, #480 of 1,108 statewide, top 46%, 158 students, 73% FRL); Rural Retreat Middle (math 73% / reading 80%, grade A, #40 of 342 statewide, top 12%, 231 students, 75% FRL); Rural Retreat High (math 67% / reading 87%, grade A-, #90 of 319 statewide, top 30%, 312 students, 74% FRL) — zoned schools average 74% FRL vs 41% district-wide (33 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 155 active listings in the ZIP; 63 units permitted in Wythe County in 2024 (12 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wythe County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $126k; 39% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.54%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 10.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.50×
- Total profit
- $-24,436
- Equity at exit
- $26,093
- IRR
- -5.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.66×
- Total profit
- $-16,437
- Equity at exit
- $15,131
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24382
- Home prices YoY
- -25.7%
- Active inventory
- 155
- Price-to-rent
- 10.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,412 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax from tax record
- −$62 /mo · $748/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$297
- Net cashflow
- $63
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $162 | -5% $112 | +0% $63 | +5% $13 | +10% $-36 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-49 | -5% $7 | +0% $63 | +5% $119 | +10% $174 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $151 | -0.5pp $107 | base $63 | +0.5pp $17 | +1.0pp $-29 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $175,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $175,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $175,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $175,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $175,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $175,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-12remarks 444-char remark
-
2026-06-12$175,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $748 · $62/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,435 · $120/mo
- Expected delta
- +$687/yr (+$57/mo · 91.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 2/10 Low 5 d/yr ≥92°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,947
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$748
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,356
- − Management
- −$1,356
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable loss
- −$2,281
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$547
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,300/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wythe County Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5104110
- Math proficiency
- 67% ▼ -23.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 77% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,665
- Composite
- 60.19/100
- National rank
- #863
- State rank
- #20 of 131 in VA
Livability — Wytheville
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #116
- US rank
- #3571
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 14,751
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,751
Population outlook (Wythe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 29,176 people
- By 2030
- 28,993 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 28,273 · -3.1%
- By 2050
- 27,055 · -7.3%
- By 2075
- 23,668 · -18.9%
- By 2100
- 18,904 · -35.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Black 4% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wythe
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+59.5) · D 19.9% · R 79.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.7pp toward R · 2008: -32.8pp · 2024: -59.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+59.5 2020: R+57.0 2016: R+54.9 2012: R+36.8 2008: R+32.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -66.18%
- Current HPI
- 191.6387
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+34.7% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $175,000 SWVAR
- 2018-07-13 Sold (Public Records) $125,500 Public Records
- 2018-07-13 Sold (MLS) $125,500 SWVAR
- 2018-05-22 Listed $127,500 SWVAR
- 2017-05-05 Listed $129,900 SWVAR
- 2017-05-04 Listed $129,900 NRVMLS
Property tax history
+4.2%/yrLatest (2025): $748 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…