1135 E Johns Ave · Decatur, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$64,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
BACK ON MARKET, FINANCING FELL THRU. spacious living room and kitchen with lots of cabinets for storage. both bedrooms have original hardwood floors.Roof appox 3 years old.Back yard backs up to Pigott field. NO CFD CONTRACTS
Key facts
- Spacious kitchen
- Convenient location
- Fenced backyard
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 1-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One-story
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Asphalt road access; Shingle roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Range, Refrigerator; Gas water heater; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer and Dryer; Laundry located on main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $296 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($917 rent vs $65k).
- Cap rate 11.8% vs local median 7.0% in Decatur — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,076 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Decatur SD 61 (urban): math 3% / reading 6% proficiency, ranked #605 of 620 in IL (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 193 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 86% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 63 units permitted in Macon County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Macon County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $55k; 18% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.41% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.77%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.55%
- DSCR
- 1.87
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $37,296
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1220 E Decatur St | 0.12mi | 2/1.0 | 1,056 (+5%) | 5mo | $40,000 | $38 | 83 |
| 905 E Clay St | 0.20mi | 2/1.0 | 1,064 (+6%) | 1mo | $75,000 | $70 | 81 |
| 1536 E Main St | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 | 972 (-4%) | 1mo | $35,000 | $36 | 76 |
| 125 S 16 St | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 | 988 (-2%) | 4mo | $31,000 | $31 | 76 |
| 1252 E Whitmer St | 0.24mi | 2/1.0 | 861 (-15%) | 0mo | $26,000 | $30 | 64 |
| 1511 E Main St | 0.34mi | 2/1.0 | 883 (-12%) | 5mo | $20,500 | $23 | 59 |
| 425 N 18th St | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 | 1,056 (+5%) | 4mo | $40,000 | $38 | 58 |
| 1714 Lawrence St | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 | 867 (-14%) | 1mo | $33,000 | $38 | 55 |
| 1705 North St | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 | 892 (-12%) | 1mo | $33,000 | $37 | 52 |
| 1105 S Jasper St | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 | 887 (-12%) | 1mo | $34,500 | $39 | 52 |
| 1872 Shady Crest St | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 947 (-6%) | 4mo | $25,000 | $26 | 49 |
| 1958 E Main St | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 909 (-10%) | 1mo | $30,000 | $33 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.46×
- Total profit
- $8,343
- Equity at exit
- $9,677
- IRR
- 20.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.74×
- Total profit
- $31,554
- Equity at exit
- $5,611
Cash invested: $18,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62521
- Home prices YoY
- -9.0%
- Active inventory
- 193
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $917 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$340
- Tax from tax record
- −$61 /mo · $729/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$193
- Net cashflow
- $296
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $333 | -5% $314 | +0% $296 | +5% $278 | +10% $259 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $224 | -5% $260 | +0% $296 | +5% $332 | +10% $369 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $329 | -0.5pp $313 | base $296 | +0.5pp $279 | +1.0pp $262 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,225
- Closing costs
- $1,947
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1237 E Johns Ave Decatur, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $895 | $0.90 | 45d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 1245 Sedgwick St Decatur, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1055 | $895 | $0.85 | 45d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 1304 E Lawrence St Decatur, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $850 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 165 S East Ave Unit NA Decatur, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $800 | $0.94 | 45d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 698 S Stone St Decatur, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $795 | $0.88 | 45d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 1455 E Whitmer St Decatur, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $915 | $0.87 | 45d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 759 E Lawrence St Decatur, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $695 | $0.64 | 45d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 1524 E Prairie St Decatur, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,250 | $0.89 | 45d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 803 E Whitmer St Decatur, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $935 | $1.04 | 45d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 347 N Stone St Decatur, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $875 | $1.03 | 45d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 249 N 17th St Decatur, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 700 | $995 | $1.42 | 45d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 1718 E Cantrell St Decatur, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,000 | $1.11 | 45d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 2135 E Prairie St Decatur, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1127 | $1,100 | $0.98 | 45d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 2032 E North St Decatur, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 754 | $900 | $1.19 | 45d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 520 S Church St Decatur, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1250 | $1,199 | $0.96 | 15d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 150 W Wood St Decatur, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1228 | $1,100 | $0.90 | 45d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1035 S Main St Decatur, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 847 | $880 | $1.04 | 15d | 7 | 0.99mi |
| 2448 E Wood St Decatur, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $995 | $1.24 | 15d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 853 N College St Decatur, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $925 | $0.99 | 45d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 1245 N Union St Decatur, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1111 | $995 | $0.90 | 45d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 1729 N Woodford St Decatur, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 728 | $825 | $1.13 | 45d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $64,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $64,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $64,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-15remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-15$64,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $729 · $61/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,101 · $92/mo
- Expected delta
- +$372/yr (+$31/mo · 51.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,001
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,635
- − Property taxes
- −$729
- − Insurance
- −$324
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$880
- − Management
- −$880
- − Depreciation
- −$1,888
- Taxable income
- $2,664
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$639
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,914/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Decatur SD 61
- NCES district ID
- 1711850
- Math proficiency
- 3% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 6% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,864
- Composite
- 3.99/100
- National rank
- #10059
- State rank
- #605 of 620 in IL
Livability — Decatur
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #1076
- US rank
- #20533
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Decatur, IL
- County
- Macon County · 78,333 people
- City population
- 78,333
- Metro
- Decatur, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,665
- Household income
- $66,337
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 640.0
Population outlook (Macon County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 99,568 people
- By 2030
- 94,973 · -4.6%
- By 2040
- 85,250 · -14.4%
- By 2050
- 75,920 · -23.8%
- By 2075
- 55,962 · -43.8%
- By 2100
- 36,468 · -63.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Black 17% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Macon
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.9) · D 39.8% · R 58.7% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.0pp toward R · 2008: 1.1pp · 2024: -18.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.9 2020: R+17.7 2016: R+18.1 2012: R+5.2 2008: D+1.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -17.96%
- Current HPI
- 180.9274
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Decatur, IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+18.0% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Listed $64,900 CIBR
- 2023-10-04 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
- 2023-10-03 Sold (MLS) $55,000 CIBR
- 2023-10-03 Sold (MLS) $55,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-09-25 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-09-25 Pending — CIBR
- 2023-08-31 Relisted — CIBR
- 2023-08-31 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-08-20 Delisted — CIBR
- 2023-07-17 Pending — CIBR
- 2023-07-17 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-07-13 Listed $55,000 CIBR
- 2023-07-13 Listed $55,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-2.7%/yrLatest (2024): $729 · -32.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…