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1135 E Johns Ave
C+ Composite 64.98
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$64,900

1135 E Johns Ave · Decatur, IL 62521
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,008 sqft · SingleFamily · 4 Days on market
Built 1966 6,700 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

BACK ON MARKET, FINANCING FELL THRU. spacious living room and kitchen with lots of cabinets for storage. both bedrooms have original hardwood floors.Roof appox 3 years old.Back yard backs up to Pigott field. NO CFD CONTRACTS

Key facts

  • Spacious kitchen
  • Convenient location
  • Fenced backyard

Tags

SPACIOUS KITCHENFENCED BACKYARDDETACHED GARAGECONVENIENT LOCATION

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One-story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Asphalt road access; Shingle roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Range, Refrigerator; Gas water heater; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and Dryer; Laundry located on main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $296 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($917 rent vs $65k).
  • Cap rate 11.8% vs local median 7.0% in Decatur — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,076 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Decatur SD 61 (urban): math 3% / reading 6% proficiency, ranked #605 of 620 in IL (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 193 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 86% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 63 units permitted in Macon County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Macon County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $55k; 18% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $64,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.41%
Cap rate
11.77%
Cash-on-cash
19.55%
DSCR
1.87
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$37,296
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1220 E Decatur St 0.12mi 2/1.0 1,056 (+5%) 5mo $40,000 $38 83
905 E Clay St 0.20mi 2/1.0 1,064 (+6%) 1mo $75,000 $70 81
1536 E Main St 0.38mi 2/1.0 972 (-4%) 1mo $35,000 $36 76
125 S 16 St 0.37mi 2/1.0 988 (-2%) 4mo $31,000 $31 76
1252 E Whitmer St 0.24mi 2/1.0 861 (-15%) 0mo $26,000 $30 64
1511 E Main St 0.34mi 2/1.0 883 (-12%) 5mo $20,500 $23 59
425 N 18th St 0.67mi 2/1.0 1,056 (+5%) 4mo $40,000 $38 58
1714 Lawrence St 0.44mi 2/1.0 867 (-14%) 1mo $33,000 $38 55
1705 North St 0.60mi 2/1.0 892 (-12%) 1mo $33,000 $37 52
1105 S Jasper St 0.59mi 2/1.0 887 (-12%) 1mo $34,500 $39 52
1872 Shady Crest St 0.71mi 3/1.0 (+1) 947 (-6%) 4mo $25,000 $26 49
1958 E Main St 0.65mi 3/1.0 (+1) 909 (-10%) 1mo $30,000 $33 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.6%
Equity multiple
1.46×
Total profit
$8,343
Equity at exit
$9,677
10-year hold
IRR
20.6%
Equity multiple
2.74×
Total profit
$31,554
Equity at exit
$5,611

Cash invested: $18,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62521

Home prices YoY
-9.0%
Active inventory
193
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$917 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$340
Tax from tax record
$61 /mo · $729/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$193
Net cashflow
$296

Break-even live

Break-even rent $542
Max offer price $64,900
Occupancy floor 63%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $333 -5% $314 +0% $296 +5% $278 +10% $259
Rent -10% $224 -5% $260 +0% $296 +5% $332 +10% $369
Rate -1.0pp $329 -0.5pp $313 base $296 +0.5pp $279 +1.0pp $262

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,225
Closing costs
$1,947
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 21 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1237 E Johns Ave Decatur, IL 2.0 1.0 1000 $895 $0.90 45d 1 0.08mi
1245 Sedgwick St Decatur, IL 2.0 1.0 1055 $895 $0.85 45d 1 0.12mi
1304 E Lawrence St Decatur, IL 2.0 1.0 850 $850 $1.00 45d 1 0.21mi
165 S East Ave Unit NA Decatur, IL 2.0 1.0 850 $800 $0.94 45d 1 0.28mi
698 S Stone St Decatur, IL 2.0 1.0 900 $795 $0.88 45d 1 0.30mi
1455 E Whitmer St Decatur, IL 2.0 1.0 1050 $915 $0.87 45d 1 0.35mi
759 E Lawrence St Decatur, IL 3.0 1.0 1080 $695 $0.64 45d 1 0.39mi
1524 E Prairie St Decatur, IL 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,250 $0.89 45d 1 0.39mi
803 E Whitmer St Decatur, IL 3.0 1.0 900 $935 $1.04 45d 1 0.41mi
347 N Stone St Decatur, IL 2.0 1.0 850 $875 $1.03 45d 1 0.43mi
249 N 17th St Decatur, IL 3.0 2.0 700 $995 $1.42 45d 1 0.48mi
1718 E Cantrell St Decatur, IL 3.0 2.0 900 $1,000 $1.11 45d 1 0.54mi
2135 E Prairie St Decatur, IL 2.0 1.0 1127 $1,100 $0.98 45d 1 0.79mi
2032 E North St Decatur, IL 2.0 1.0 754 $900 $1.19 45d 1 0.79mi
520 S Church St Decatur, IL 3.0 1.5 1250 $1,199 $0.96 15d 1 0.83mi
150 W Wood St Decatur, IL 1.0 1.0 1228 $1,100 $0.90 45d 1 0.84mi
1035 S Main St Decatur, IL 2.0 1.0 847 $880 $1.04 15d 7 0.99mi
2448 E Wood St Decatur, IL 3.0 1.0 800 $995 $1.24 15d 1 1.20mi
853 N College St Decatur, IL 2.0 1.0 936 $925 $0.99 45d 1 1.34mi
1245 N Union St Decatur, IL 3.0 2.0 1111 $995 $0.90 45d 1 1.44mi
1729 N Woodford St Decatur, IL 2.0 1.0 728 $825 $1.13 45d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $64,900 Active 4 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $64,900 Active 3 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $64,900 Active 2 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    remarks 699-char remark
  5. 2026-06-15
    listed $64,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$729 · $61/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,101 · $92/mo
Expected delta
+$372/yr (+$31/mo · 51.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,001
− Mortgage interest
−$3,635
− Property taxes
−$729
− Insurance
−$324
− Repairs & maintenance
−$880
− Management
−$880
− Depreciation
−$1,888
Taxable income
$2,664
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$639
After-tax cash flow
$2,914/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Decatur SD 61
NCES district ID
1711850
Math proficiency
3% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
6% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$38,864
Composite
3.99/100
National rank
#10059
State rank
#605 of 620 in IL

Livability — Decatur

Score
59/100
State rank
#1076
US rank
#20533

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Decatur, IL
County
Macon County · 78,333 people
City population
78,333
Metro
Decatur, IL
Population (ZIP)
32,665
Household income
$66,337
Rent vs Own
25.5% rent · 74.5% own
Severe rent burden
640.0

Population outlook (Macon County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
99,568 people
By 2030
94,973 · -4.6%
By 2040
85,250 · -14.4%
By 2050
75,920 · -23.8%
By 2075
55,962 · -43.8%
By 2100
36,468 · -63.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Black 17% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Macon

2024 margin
R (+18.9) · D 39.8% · R 58.7% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-20.0pp toward R · 2008: 1.1pp · 2024: -18.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+18.9 2020: R+17.7 2016: R+18.1 2012: R+5.2 2008: D+1.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -17.96%
Current HPI
180.9274
Rent YoY
Metro
Decatur, IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+18.0% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-15 Listed $64,900 CIBR
  • 2023-10-04 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
  • 2023-10-03 Sold (MLS) $55,000 CIBR
  • 2023-10-03 Sold (MLS) $55,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-09-25 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-09-25 Pending CIBR
  • 2023-08-31 Relisted CIBR
  • 2023-08-31 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-08-20 Delisted CIBR
  • 2023-07-17 Pending CIBR
  • 2023-07-17 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-07-13 Listed $55,000 CIBR
  • 2023-07-13 Listed $55,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-2.7%/yr

Latest (2024): $729 · -32.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…