🏷️ Likely Rental
217 Creedle Dr · Clarksville, VA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.4/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$2,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
FURNISHED LIVING IN CLARKSVILLE NOT FAR FROM DOWNTOWN with 2 bed/1 bath with full kitchen and living area. Fully furnished. Just bring your clothes and personal items. If you prefer not to have it furnished, rent will be $1800/month. Utilities included in rental amount. Close to Occoneechee State Park and Rudd's Creek. Corner lot - downstairs unit (Unit A)
Key facts
- Full kitchen
- Furnished living
- Living area
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $2k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $662 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($855 rent vs $2k).
- Recommended offer: $2k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 403.3% vs local median 1.5% in Clarksville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#179 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Mecklenburg County Public School District (rural): math 57% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #49 of 131 in VA (top 37%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 176 active listings in the ZIP; 153 units permitted in Mecklenburg County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $14 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $60 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Mecklenburg County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $560 cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 376 days — a 12% lower offer ($2k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 376 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 42.76% ✓
- Cap rate
- 403.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1418.05%
- DSCR
- 64.10
- GRM
- 0.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $166,500
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13575 Highway 58 | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 | 976 (+8%) | 5mo | $152,000 | $156 | 67 |
| 13493 Highway 58 | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 864 (-4%) | 17mo | $160,000 | $185 | 63 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 75.71×
- Total profit
- $41,836
- Equity at exit
- $298
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 163.06×
- Total profit
- $90,754
- Equity at exit
- $173
Cash invested: $560 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 23927
- Home prices YoY
- -23.4%
- Active inventory
- 176
- Price-to-rent
- 0.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $855 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$10
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$2 /mo · $30/yr
- Insurance
- −$1
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$180
- Net cashflow
- $662
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $663 | -5% $662 | +0% $662 | +5% $661 | +10% $660 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $594 | -5% $628 | +0% $662 | +5% $696 | +10% $729 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $663 | -0.5pp $662 | base $662 | +0.5pp $661 | +1.0pp $661 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $500
- Closing costs
- $60
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 31 events
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2026-06-17days on market $2,000 Active 376 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $2,000 Active 375 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $2,000 Active 374 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $2,000 Active 372 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $2,000 Active 371 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $2,000 Active 369 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $2,000 Active 368 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $2,000 Active 367 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $2,000 Active 366 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $2,000 Active 363 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $2,000 Active 362 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $2,000 Active 361 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $2,000 Active 360 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $2,000 Active 359 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $2,000 Active 358 DOM
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2025-07-17price $2,000 358-char remark
Show marketing remark (358 chars)
FURNISHED LIVING IN CLARKSVILLE NOT FAR FROM DOWNTOWN with 2 bed/1 bath with full kitchen and living area. Fully furnished. Just bring your clothes and personal items. If you prefer not to have it furnished, rent will be $1800/month. Utilities included in rental amount. Close to Occoneechee State Park and Rudd's Creek. Corner lot - downstairs unit (Unit A)
-
2025-06-07$2,100 Active 358-char remark
Show marketing remark (358 chars)
FURNISHED LIVING IN CLARKSVILLE NOT FAR FROM DOWNTOWN with 2 bed/1 bath with full kitchen and living area. Fully furnished. Just bring your clothes and personal items. If you prefer not to have it furnished, rent will be $1800/month. Utilities included in rental amount. Close to Occoneechee State Park and Rudd's Creek. Corner lot - downstairs unit (Unit A)
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2025-05-09$2,200 Active
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2024-10-25soldstatus $312,500 Sold
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2024-10-25soldstatus $312,500 Closed
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2024-10-25soldstatus $312,500 Closed
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2024-10-10status Pending
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2024-10-07historical Active Under Contract
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2024-06-25$325,000 Active
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2024-06-25$325,000 Active
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2024-06-25$325,000 Active
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2024-05-13soldstatus $240,000 Closed
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2023-11-30historical Active Under Contract
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2023-08-30status Active
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2023-08-13historical
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2023-03-01$250,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,262
- − Mortgage interest
- −$112
- − Property taxes
- −$30
- − Insurance
- −$10
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$821
- − Management
- −$821
- − Depreciation
- −$58
- Taxable income
- $8,410
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,018
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,923/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mecklenburg County Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5102460
- Math proficiency
- 57% ▼ -29.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 72% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,491
- Composite
- 53.55/100
- National rank
- #1446
- State rank
- #49 of 131 in VA
Livability — Clarksville
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #179
- US rank
- #5434
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,715
Population outlook (Mecklenburg County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 28,332 people
- By 2030
- 26,742 · -5.6%
- By 2040
- 23,502 · -17.0%
- By 2050
- 20,851 · -26.4%
- By 2075
- 17,525 · -38.1%
- By 2100
- 14,524 · -48.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Black 22% Hispanic / Latino 1% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Scottish 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Mecklenburg
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.8) · D 39.4% · R 60.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.2pp toward R · 2008: -4.6pp · 2024: -20.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.8 2020: R+15.2 2016: R+11.3 2012: R+7.2 2008: R+4.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -59.55%
- Current HPI
- 195.4356
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
-99.2% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2025-07-17 Price Changed $2,000 SPLLAR
- 2025-06-07 Listed $2,100 SPLLAR
- 2025-05-09 Listed $2,200 SPLLAR
- 2024-10-25 Sold (MLS) $312,500 SPLLAR
- 2024-10-25 Sold (MLS) $312,500 RVLG
- 2024-10-25 Sold (MLS) $312,500 TMLS
- 2024-10-10 Pending — RVLG
- 2024-10-07 Contingent — SPLLAR
- 2024-06-25 Listed $325,000 RVLG
- 2024-06-25 Listed $325,000 TMLS
- 2024-06-25 Listed $325,000 SPLLAR
- 2024-05-13 Sold (MLS) $240,000 SPLLAR
- 2023-11-30 Contingent — SPLLAR
- 2023-08-30 Relisted — SPLLAR
- 2023-08-13 Delisted — SPLLAR
- 2023-03-01 Listed $250,000 SPLLAR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…