2320 Dalis Dr · Concord, CA
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 18 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.5/30.0
- DSCR +9.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.1/10.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$215,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautiful remodeled and updated home. All kitchen appliances 3-years young. New HVAV system. This home has beautiful floors and shows like a Model Home. Park has lots of amenities such as walking paths, large swimming pool with separate hot tub, renovated club house and more!
Key facts
- Kitchen appliances
- Renovated club house
- Walking paths
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Park named DALIS GARDENS; Senior community; Clubhouse; Fitness center; BBQ area; Picnic area; Rec room with fireplace; Trails; RV storage; Activities available; Electric and gas metered
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage space; Carport for 2 or more (covered spaces); Guest parking available in community
- Security: Park interview required (community)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Individual electric meter; Individual gas meter; Cable available; Internet available
- Home design: Manufactured in-park (mobile home); Double-wide model (Signature); Faces south
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Built as a manufactured double-wide
- Exterior features: Covered deck; Back yard; Automatic sprinklers; Community pool; Community spa
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Self-cleaning oven; Disposal; Updated kitchen with solid-surface counters
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (main entry/street level)
- Flooring: Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Primary bath with stall shower; Additional bath with shower-over-tub
- Heating & cooling: Forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Solid-surface counters; Updated kitchen; Dining area; Family room; Double-pane windows with window coverings; Accessible full bathroom; Stair lift
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer (inside); Laundry closet; 220V outlet; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $215k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $499 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $215k).
- Recommended offer: $212k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 2.8% in Concord — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#397 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, health & safety A+, housing B; Watch: schools C-, crime F, amenities F.
- Mt. Diablo Unified (suburban): math 36% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #202 of 517 in CA (top 39%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 116 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,169 units permitted in Contra Costa County in 2024 (896 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($82k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Contra Costa County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($212k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.28%
- DSCR
- 1.50
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $171,600
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006 Dalis Dr #256 | 0.17mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (+2%) | 13mo | $199,000 | $148 | 78 |
| 1027 Peralta Rd #12 | 0.10mi | 2/2.0 | 1,248 (-6%) | 11mo | $195,000 | $156 | 77 |
| 2113 Dalis Dr #87 | 0.16mi | 2/2.0 | 1,248 (-6%) | 9mo | $162,500 | $130 | 76 |
| 2161 Dalis Dr #107 | 0.22mi | 2/2.0 | 1,248 (-6%) | 7mo | $125,000 | $100 | 75 |
| 2259 Dalis Dr | 0.11mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+9%) | 6mo | $150,000 | $104 | 75 |
| 2122 Dalis Dr #236 | 0.20mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+9%) | 3mo | $217,000 | $151 | 73 |
| 2227 Dalis Dr #159 | 0.20mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+9%) | 4mo | $129,950 | $90 | 72 |
| 2019 Dalis Dr #42 | 0.09mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+9%) | 11mo | $140,000 | $97 | 72 |
| 2110 Dalis #238 | 0.19mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+9%) | 11mo | $160,000 | $111 | 67 |
| 83 A St | 0.22mi | 2/2.0 | 1,140 (-14%) | 4mo | $205,000 | $180 | 64 |
| 2031 Dalis Dr #48 | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,488 (+13%) | 6mo | $218,000 | $147 | 62 |
| 2137 Dalis Dr #95 | 0.22mi | 2/2.0 | 1,500 (+14%) | 11mo | $150,000 | $100 | 58 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.59% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.89×
- Total profit
- $-6,592
- Equity at exit
- $32,057
- IRR
- 5.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.35×
- Total profit
- $21,040
- Equity at exit
- $18,589
Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 94520
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 116
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,597 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,127
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$269 /mo · $3,225/yr
- Insurance
- −$90
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$545
- Net cashflow
- $499
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $648 | -5% $574 | +0% $499 | +5% $425 | +10% $351 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $294 | -5% $397 | +0% $499 | +5% $602 | +10% $704 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $608 | -0.5pp $554 | base $499 | +0.5pp $444 | +1.0pp $387 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $53,750
- Closing costs
- $6,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2069 Olivera Rd Concord, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 975 | $2,450 | $2.51 | 25d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 2007 Olivera Rd Unit C Concord, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 975 | $2,700 | $2.77 | 6d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 2225 Hillsborough Ct Apt 2 Concord, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 962 | $2,200 | $2.29 | 6d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 2838 Loma Vista Ave Concord, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1260 | $2,995 | $2.38 | 25d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 2451 Olivera Rd Concord, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 815 | $2,475 | $3.04 | 2d | 6 | 0.82mi |
| 3412 Flamingo Dr #3410 Concord, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1062 | $4,000 | $3.77 | 25d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 2756 Argyll Ave Unit C Concord, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,000 | $2.22 | 25d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 3378 Moretti Dr Concord, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1242 | $3,695 | $2.98 | 25d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $215,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $215,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $215,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $215,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $215,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $215,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $215,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $215,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $215,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $215,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $215,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $215,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $215,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $215,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-28$215,000 Active
-
2021-08-25soldstatus $200,000 Sold 278-char remark
Show marketing remark (278 chars)
Beautiful remodeled and updated home. All kitchen appliances 3-years young. New HVAV system. This home has beautiful floors and shows like a Model Home. Park has lots of amenities such as walking paths, large swimming pool with separate hot tub, renovated club house and more!
-
2021-07-30status Pending 278-char remark
Show marketing remark (278 chars)
Beautiful remodeled and updated home. All kitchen appliances 3-years young. New HVAV system. This home has beautiful floors and shows like a Model Home. Park has lots of amenities such as walking paths, large swimming pool with separate hot tub, renovated club house and more!
-
2021-07-30$200,000 New 278-char remark
Show marketing remark (278 chars)
Beautiful remodeled and updated home. All kitchen appliances 3-years young. New HVAV system. This home has beautiful floors and shows like a Model Home. Park has lots of amenities such as walking paths, large swimming pool with separate hot tub, renovated club house and more!
-
2016-12-16soldstatus $138,000 Sold 304-char remark
Show marketing remark (304 chars)
Senior Park. Age 55+. This home was beautifully remodeled a few years ago.Complete sheet rock, updated baths & plumbing ,new floors,new doors, mirror closet doors,duel pane windows,counter tops, vanities, shower, A/C, Wait till you see this. Just move in, UNPACK. Work's been done. Great Yard. Enjoy
-
2016-09-11status Pending - Subject to Lender Approval 304-char remark
Show marketing remark (304 chars)
Senior Park. Age 55+. This home was beautifully remodeled a few years ago.Complete sheet rock, updated baths & plumbing ,new floors,new doors, mirror closet doors,duel pane windows,counter tops, vanities, shower, A/C, Wait till you see this. Just move in, UNPACK. Work's been done. Great Yard. Enjoy
-
2016-07-07$139,950 New 304-char remark
Show marketing remark (304 chars)
Senior Park. Age 55+. This home was beautifully remodeled a few years ago.Complete sheet rock, updated baths & plumbing ,new floors,new doors, mirror closet doors,duel pane windows,counter tops, vanities, shower, A/C, Wait till you see this. Just move in, UNPACK. Work's been done. Great Yard. Enjoy
-
2009-01-11historical
-
2008-12-04price
-
2008-11-12historical
-
2008-10-14
-
2008-10-14
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 18 unhealthy d/yr today · 19 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,163
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,043
- − Property taxes
- −$3,225
- − Insurance
- −$1,872
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,493
- − Management
- −$2,493
- − Depreciation
- −$6,255
- Taxable income
- $2,782
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$668
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,324/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mt. Diablo Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0626370
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $77,494
- Composite
- 37.5/100
- National rank
- #4401
- State rank
- #202 of 517 in CA
Livability — Concord
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #397
- US rank
- #13519
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Concord, CA
- County
- Contra Costa County · 1,059,880 people
- City population
- 125,693
- Metro
- San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,381
- Household income
- $82,479
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2649.0
Population outlook (Contra Costa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,287,720 people
- By 2030
- 1,364,937 · +6.0%
- By 2040
- 1,506,209 · +17.0%
- By 2050
- 1,624,373 · +26.1%
- By 2075
- 1,853,193 · +43.9%
- By 2100
- 1,901,231 · +47.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 51% White 28% Two or more races 20% Asian 10% Black 4% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 35% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Russian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 35% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 43% English-only · Spanish 43% Tagalog/Filipino 3% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Contra Costa
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+38.0) · D 67.3% · R 29.4% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.2pp no change · 2008: 37.8pp · 2024: 38.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+38.0 2020: D+45.3 2016: D+43.5 2012: D+33.7 2008: D+37.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -551.74%
- Current HPI
- 440.2872
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- Metro
- San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
||
Price history
+53.6% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Listed $215,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2021-08-25 Sold (MLS) $200,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2021-07-30 Pending — bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2021-07-30 Listed $200,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2016-12-16 Sold (MLS) $138,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2016-09-11 Pending — bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2016-07-07 Listed $139,950 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2009-01-11 Listing Removed — bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2008-12-04 Price Changed — bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2008-11-12 Listing Removed — bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2008-10-14 Listed — bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2008-10-14 Listed — bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
Property tax history
+3.8%/yrLatest (2025): $118 · +4.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…