1115 Plato Ter · Louisville, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$49,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This home is a 2 bedroom 1 bath with unfinished basement. Home has a living room, kitchen and full bath on the main level. Home is in need of repairs. Subject to court approval with 60-90 day closing. The property will be sold in ''as-is'' ''where-is'' condition.
Key facts
- 6,098 sq ft lot
- Built 1950
- Listed 60 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No monthly maintenance; No association fee
Exterior
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Natural gas service
- Home design: Single-family ranch-style home; One story; Built in 1950; 700 above-grade finished area
- Construction: Vinyl siding, aluminum siding, and wood frame construction; Shingle roof; 700 below-grade unfinished area
- Exterior features: Partial fencing; Located in the Westover Park subdivision
Interior
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the first floor
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the first floor
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Four total rooms; Three closets; Unfinished basement
- Laundry & utility: No first-floor laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $428 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($931 rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $48k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.6% vs local median 5.0% in Louisville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#333 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety D+, schools D-.
- Jefferson County (urban): math 19% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #121 of 165 in KY (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 140 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,836 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (1,558 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($32k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (33%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.86% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 36.77%
- DSCR
- 2.64
- GRM
- 4.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $77,700
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1004 S 45th St | 0.26mi | 2/1.0 | 700 (0%) | 2mo | $78,000 | $111 | 86 |
| 4401 Sunset Ave | 0.14mi | 2/1.0 | 800 (+14%) | 6mo | $24,500 | $31 | 64 |
| 1012 Woodway Ln | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 | 744 (+6%) | 14mo | $115,000 | $155 | 62 |
| 1023 S 40th St | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 | 737 (+5%) | 4mo | $110,000 | $149 | 60 |
| 1004 S 39th St | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 | 788 (+13%) | 18mo | $55,000 | $70 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.87% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 34.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.50×
- Total profit
- $20,956
- Equity at exit
- $7,440
- IRR
- 42.4%
- Equity multiple
- 5.36×
- Total profit
- $60,925
- Equity at exit
- $4,314
Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 40211
- Home prices YoY
- -33.4%
- Rents YoY
- 4.9%
- Active inventory
- 140
- Price-to-rent
- 4.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $931 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax from tax record
- −$25 /mo · $294/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$195
- Net cashflow
- $428
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $456 | -5% $442 | +0% $428 | +5% $414 | +10% $400 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $355 | -5% $391 | +0% $428 | +5% $465 | +10% $502 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $453 | -0.5pp $441 | base $428 | +0.5pp $415 | +1.0pp $402 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,475
- Closing costs
- $1,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4309 Elliott Ave Unit 1 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $650 | $0.87 | 4d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 4309 Elliott Ave Unit 1 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $695 | $0.93 | 24d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 3515 W Kentucky St Unit 3515-12 Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $695 | $0.99 | 24d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 2016 S 40th St Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $980 | $1.40 | 16d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 1804 Russell Lee Dr Louisville, KY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 810 | $1,124 | $1.39 | 2d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 4018 Vermont Ave Unit 1 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $699 | $1.00 | 4d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 691 Madelon Ct Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $675 | $1.04 | 12d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 1443 S 32nd St Unit 2 Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $780 | $1.42 | 24d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 832 Hazel St Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,095 | $1.52 | 4d | 1 | 1.34mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $49,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $49,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $49,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $49,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $49,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $49,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $49,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $49,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $49,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $49,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $49,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $49,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $49,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-05-16price $60,000
-
2026-05-01status Active
-
2026-05-01price $69,900
-
2026-02-04status Pending
-
2026-02-03historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-01-23$75,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $294 · $25/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $429 · $36/mo
- Expected delta
- +$135/yr (+$11/mo · 45.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,166
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,795
- − Property taxes
- −$294
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$893
- − Management
- −$893
- − Depreciation
- −$1,452
- Taxable income
- $4,589
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,101
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,036/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jefferson County
- NCES district ID
- 2102990
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,885
- Composite
- 23.45/100
- National rank
- #7884
- State rank
- #121 of 165 in KY
Livability — Louisville
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #333
- US rank
- #15887
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Louisville, KY
- County
- Jefferson County · 790,184 people
- City population
- 769,292
- Metro
- Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,407
- Household income
- $31,749
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1483.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 823,112 people
- By 2030
- 849,343 · +3.2%
- By 2040
- 895,696 · +8.8%
- By 2050
- 933,630 · +13.4%
- By 2075
- 1,028,262 · +24.9%
- By 2100
- 1,072,675 · +30.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 90% White 5% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+16.6) · D 57.4% · R 40.9% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.5pp toward D · 2008: 12.0pp · 2024: 16.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+16.6 2020: D+20.1 2016: D+13.3 2012: D+11.1 2008: D+12.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -88.22%
- Current HPI
- 176.337
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.87%
- Metro
- Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
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Price history
-20.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-16 Price Changed $60,000 Metro Search MLS
- 2026-05-01 Relisted — Metro Search MLS
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $69,900 Metro Search MLS
- 2026-02-04 Pending — Metro Search MLS
- 2026-02-03 Contingent — Metro Search MLS
- 2026-01-23 Listed $75,000 Metro Search MLS
Property tax history
+2.2%/yrLatest (2025): $294 · -12.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…