8126 River Rd · Pound, VA
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.8/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- Appreciation +6.3/10.0
- Schools +6.3/10.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +1.0/5.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Cash Investors here is a chance to own two rental properties with tenants already in place. Selling As Is Inspections are allowed for information purposes only. Information taken from seller and public records should be verified by buyer and buyers agent. Subject to E & O.
Key facts
- 3.2 acres
- Fenced in yards
- 3.2 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Level, partly wooded, and sloped topography; Approximately 3.2 acres (irregular lot); Zoned residential
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; 1-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer
- Home design: Residential single-family manufactured house; Double wide manufactured body; Property listed as fixer condition
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof
- Exterior features: Deck; Front porch; Front yard fencing; Garage(s) on the property
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Hardwood
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Propane heating; Has cooling (type: Other)
- Interior features: Electric range and refrigerator included; Hardwood flooring; Six total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $85k. Condition is rated poor.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $46 ($554/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($872 rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $84k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#242 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Wise County Public School District (town): math 74% / reading 79% proficiency, ranked #11 of 131 in VA (top 8%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Zoned schools: J.W. Adams Combined (math 83% / reading 85%, grade A+, #87 of 1,108 statewide, top 8%, 504 students, 83% FRL); Central High (math 87% / reading 87%, grade A, #16 of 319 statewide, top 5%, 674 students, 81% FRL) — zoned schools average 82% FRL vs 55% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP; 17 units permitted in Wise County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($588 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.5% local appreciation)).
- Wise County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (2.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $48k; list at $85k implies a 78% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.13%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.55% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.47×
- Total profit
- $11,229
- Equity at exit
- $36,094
- IRR
- 11.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.62×
- Total profit
- $38,462
- Equity at exit
- $54,025
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24279
- Home prices YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 17
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $872 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$106 /mo · $1,275/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$183
- Net cashflow
- $46
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $105 | -5% $76 | +0% $46 | +5% $17 | +10% $-13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-23 | -5% $12 | +0% $46 | +5% $81 | +10% $115 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $89 | -0.5pp $68 | base $46 | +0.5pp $24 | +1.0pp $2 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $85,000 Active 23 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $85,000 Active 22 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $85,000 Active 21 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $85,000 Active 20 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $85,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $85,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $85,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $85,000 Active 14 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $85,000 Active 13 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $85,000 Active 12 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $85,000 Active 11 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $85,000 Active 8 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $85,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $85,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $85,000 Active 5 DOM
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2026-05-27$85,000 Active
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2025-01-27price $87,500
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2022-11-14soldstatus $47,750 278-char remark
Show marketing remark (278 chars)
Cash Investors here is a chance to own two rental properties with tenants already in place. Selling As Is Inspections are allowed for information purposes only. Information taken from seller and public records should be verified by buyer and buyers agent. Subject to E & O.
-
2022-08-02$66,000 278-char remark
Show marketing remark (278 chars)
Cash Investors here is a chance to own two rental properties with tenants already in place. Selling As Is Inspections are allowed for information purposes only. Information taken from seller and public records should be verified by buyer and buyers agent. Subject to E & O.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,468
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$1,275
- − Insurance
- −$1,092
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$837
- − Management
- −$837
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable loss
- −$808
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$194
- After-tax cash flow
- $748/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This property requires extensive repairs and maintenance, including a new roof, siding, and landscaping. Significant investment is needed to bring it up to a livable condition.
Repairs flagged
- Major roof — Significant damage
- Major exterior siding — Worn and peeling
- Major flooring — Worn and damaged
- Major interior walls — Painted walls with visible wear
- Major landscaping — Overgrown yard with debris
Value-add opportunities
- Both New roof — Improves both resale and rental value
- Both New siding and paint — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both New flooring — Improves living space and rental appeal
- Both Landscaping and yard maintenance — Enhances curb appeal and rental value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| roof · Significant damage | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| exterior siding · Worn and peeling | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| flooring · Worn and damaged | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| interior walls · Painted walls with visible wear | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| landscaping · Overgrown yard with debris | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 5 items | $75,000–250,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both New roof — Improves both resale and rental value ↑
- Both New siding and paint — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both New flooring — Improves living space and rental appeal ↑
- Both Landscaping and yard maintenance — Enhances curb appeal and rental value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wise County Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5104080
- Math proficiency
- 74% ▼ -20.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 79% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,624
- Composite
- 63.37/100
- National rank
- #625
- State rank
- #11 of 131 in VA
Livability — Pound
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #242
- US rank
- #8153
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pound, VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,679
Population outlook (Wise County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 35,714 people
- By 2030
- 33,742 · -5.5%
- By 2040
- 29,870 · -16.4%
- By 2050
- 26,233 · -26.5%
- By 2075
- 18,296 · -48.8%
- By 2100
- 12,147 · -66.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Black 10%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Serbian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Wise
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+63.3) · D 18.1% · R 81.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -35.6pp toward R · 2008: -27.7pp · 2024: -63.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+63.3 2020: R+61.7 2016: R+62.0 2012: R+48.8 2008: R+27.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.55%
- Current HPI
- 147.686
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+28.8% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Listed $85,000 TVRMLS
- 2025-01-27 Price Changed $87,500 TVRMLS
- 2022-11-14 Sold (MLS) $47,750 TVRMLS
- 2022-08-02 Listed $66,000 TVRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…