1271 SW Tyler St · Topeka, KS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,154 – $2,142
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +1.1/10.0
$39,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investment opportunity. Large 2 story home that was a great long term rental. Needs work, sold AS IS/Cash only. House listed next door for $90,000 had multiple offers.
Key facts
- 5,227 sq ft lot
- Built 1900
- Listed 55 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Above-grade finished area listed (1,704)
- Exterior features: Composition roof; Lot approximately 0.12 acre
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Gas water heater; Has basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $632 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
- Recommended offer: $39k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 25.3% vs local median 4.3% in Topeka — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#195 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, commute F.
- Topeka Public Schools (urban): math 17% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #158 of 169 in KS (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Meadows Elementary (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #507 of 684 statewide, top 78%, 417 students, 85% FRL); Robinson Middle School (math 10% / reading 19%, grade F, #180 of 219 statewide, top 83%, 360 students, 84% FRL); Topeka High (math 11% / reading 20%, grade F, #248 of 327 statewide, top 76%, 1,514 students, 72% FRL).
- Market conditions: 9 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 219 units permitted in Shawnee County in 2024 (25 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $276 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Shawnee County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $15k; list at $40k implies a 166% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.84% ✓
- Cap rate
- 25.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 67.91%
- DSCR
- 4.02
- GRM
- 2.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $129,504
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1020 / 1024 SW Fillmore St | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,630 (-4%) | 2mo | $124,000 | $76 | 63 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 67.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.03×
- Total profit
- $33,810
- Equity at exit
- $5,949
- IRR
- 71.5%
- Equity multiple
- 8.28×
- Total profit
- $81,327
- Equity at exit
- $3,450
Cash invested: $11,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kansas
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 66612
- Home prices YoY
- -3.1%
- Active inventory
- 9
- Price-to-rent
- 2.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,132 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$209
- Tax from tax record
- −$36 /mo · $431/yr
- Insurance
- −$17
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$238
- Net cashflow
- $632
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,975
- Closing costs
- $1,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1268 SW Western Ave Unit 1A Topeka, KS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1404 | $1,000 | $0.71 | 21d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 1624 SW Polk St Topeka, KS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1288 | $1,350 | $1.05 | 21d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 1647 SW Buchanan St Topeka, KS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1550 | $1,395 | $0.90 | 21d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 822 SW 8th Ave Topeka, KS | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1600 | $1,025 | $0.64 | 21d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1116 SW 18th St Topeka, KS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1105 | $1,175 | $1.06 | 21d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1275 SW Mulvane St Topeka, KS | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1791 | $1,350 | $0.75 | 21d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1936 SW Clay St Topeka, KS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1572 | $1,000 | $0.64 | 21d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 416 SW Clay St Topeka, KS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1639 | $1,025 | $0.63 | 21d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 937 SW Jewell Ave Topeka, KS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1297 | $1,295 | $1.00 | 21d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 101 N Kansas Ave Topeka, KS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1009 | $1,325 | $1.31 | 21d | 3 | 1.36mi |
| 111 NW Quinton Ave Topeka, KS | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1232 | $1,045 | $0.85 | 21d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 1316 SW 27th St Topeka, KS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1456 | $1,150 | $0.79 | 21d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $39,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $39,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $39,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $39,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $39,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $39,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $39,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $39,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $39,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $39,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $39,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $39,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $39,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $39,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $39,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-04-24$39,900 Active
-
1996-11-01soldstatus $15,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $431 · $36/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $563 · $47/mo
- Expected delta
- +$132/yr (+$11/mo · 30.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,580
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,235
- − Property taxes
- −$431
- − Insurance
- −$200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,086
- − Management
- −$1,086
- − Depreciation
- −$1,161
- Taxable income
- $7,381
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,771
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,815/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Topeka Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2012260
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 23% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,405
- Composite
- 16.69/100
- National rank
- #9167
- State rank
- #158 of 169 in KS
Livability — Topeka
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #8848
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Topeka, KS
- City population
- 118,130
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,994
Population outlook (Shawnee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 179,277 people
- By 2030
- 177,762 · -0.8%
- By 2040
- 172,341 · -3.9%
- By 2050
- 166,330 · -7.2%
- By 2075
- 152,417 · -15.0%
- By 2100
- 134,782 · -24.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 39% White 34% Two or more races 26% Black 22%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 34% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 13%
Political lean MEDSL · Shawnee
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.3% · R 48.8% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.8pp no change · 2008: -0.3pp · 2024: 0.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.5 2020: D+3.0 2016: R+2.8 2012: R+1.7 2008: R+0.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -7.75%
- Current HPI
- 242.2527
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+166.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Listed $39,900 Sunflower MLS as distributed by MLS GRID
- 1996-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.4%/yrLatest (2025): $431 · +8.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…