1007 W Prince Rd · Tucson, AZ 85705

$35,000

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 339 sqft · Land public records · 32 Days on market

Built 1976

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.7/5.0
• Rent growth +2.6/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.2/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

2 bedroom, 1 large bathroom mobile home Most of it newly remodeled, great place to live. Long nice covered porch, laundry room, big amazing kitchen with lots of cabinets, and storage space. Carport for 2 cars. 2 ton mini split on living room heat/cool, window units on bedrooms just cooling. Excellent location! Close to Tucson mall, I-10, fast food restaurants, clothing stores (Ross, dds, Burlington, etc. ), Walmart, parks everything less than 5 min drive. Columbia park $600 month lot rent. We& apos; ve loved living here but our family is growing so we need a bigger place, but never had any problem it& apos; s a great place to live been here since 2014. Before buying park requires an

Key facts

• Covered porch
• Lots of cabinets
• Laundry room

Tags

• COVERED PORCH
• LAUNDRY ROOM
• BIG KITCHEN
• LOTS OF CABINETS
• STORAGE SPACE
• EXCELLENT LOCATION

Property features AI

Exterior

• Home design: Single-family property built in 1976
• Construction: Built in 1976
• Exterior features: Located in the Flowing Wells subdivision

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath land listed at $35k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $431 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($851 rent vs $35k).
• Recommended offer: $34k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 21.1% vs local median 3.7% in Tucson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 74/100 on livability (#17 in AZ, #4,502 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, employment D-.
• Flowing Wells Unified District (4405) (suburban): math 23% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #143 of 249 in AZ (top 57%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Flowing Wells Junior High School (math 24% / reading 28%, grade F, #100 of 218 statewide, top 47%, 818 students, 74% FRL); Sentinel Peak High School (90 students, 76% FRL).
• Market conditions: Rents flat; 181 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 5,268 units permitted in Pima County in 2024 (996 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $242 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Pima County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.3% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($34k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $33,950 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.43% ✓
• Cap rate: 21.06%
• Cash-on-cash: 52.73%
• DSCR: 3.35
• GRM: 3.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.3% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 47.7%
• Equity multiple: 2.99×
• Total profit: $19,515
• Equity at exit: $5,219

10-year hold

• IRR: 52.2%
• Equity multiple: 5.45×
• Total profit: $43,607
• Equity at exit: $3,026

Cash invested: $9,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Arizona: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 85705

• Rents YoY: 0.3%
• Active inventory: 181
• Price-to-rent: 3.4×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $851 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$184
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$44 /mo · $525/yr
• Insurance: −$15
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$179
• Net cashflow: $431

Break-even live

Break-even rent $306

Max offer price $35,000

Occupancy floor 44%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $455	-5% $443	+0% $431	+5% $419	+10% $406
Rent	-10% $363	-5% $397	+0% $431	+5% $464	+10% $498
Rate	-1.0pp $448	-0.5pp $440	base $431	+0.5pp $422	+1.0pp $412

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $8,750
• Closing costs: $1,050
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 4 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
226 W Delano St Unit 2 Tucson, AZ	1.0	1.0	313	$795	$2.54	25d	1	0.97mi
226 W Delano St Tucson, AZ	1.0	1.0	313	$775	$2.48	22d	1	0.97mi
1089 W Schafer Dr Unit 4 Tucson, AZ	1.0	1.0	350	$750	$2.14	23d	1	1.11mi
2620 N 14th Ave Unit WI2620-5 Tucson, AZ	1.0	1.0	360	$695	$1.93	25d	1	1.27mi

Listing history 19 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $35,000 Active 32 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $35,000 Active 29 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $35,000 Active 28 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $35,000 Active 27 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $35,000 Active 26 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $35,000 Active 24 DOM
7. 2026-06-10
   days on market $35,000 Active 21 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $35,000 Active 20 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $35,000 Active 19 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $35,000 Active 18 DOM
11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $35,000 Active 15 DOM
12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $35,000 Active 14 DOM
13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $35,000 Active 13 DOM
14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $35,000 Active 12 DOM
15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $35,000 Active 11 DOM
16. 2026-05-21
    listed $35,000 Active
17. 2008-08-26
    soldstatus $2,750,000
18. 1991-06-05
    soldstatus $1,100,000
19. 1991-05-01
    soldstatus $1,032,750

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $10,215
• − Mortgage interest: −$1,961
• − Property taxes: −$525
• − Insurance: −$175
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$817
• − Management: −$817
• − Depreciation: −$1,018
• Taxable income: $4,902
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,176
• After-tax cash flow: $3,991/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Flowing Wells Unified District (4405)
• NCES district ID: 0403010
• Math proficiency: 23% ▼ -19.00%
• Reading proficiency: 30% ▼ -14.00%
• Median HH income: $33,361
• Composite: 21.69/100
• National rank: #8271
• State rank: #143 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Tucson

• Score: 74/100
• State rank: #17
• US rank: #4502

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Tucson, AZ
• County: Pima County · 1,012,107 people
• City population: 839,336
• Metro: Tucson, AZ
• Population (ZIP): 54,700
• Household income: $37,194
• Rent vs Own: 55.1% rent · 44.9% own
• Severe rent burden: 4240.0

Population outlook (Pima County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,066,056 people
• By 2030: 1,086,684 · +1.9%
• By 2040: 1,117,160 · +4.8%
• By 2050: 1,149,778 · +7.9%
• By 2075: 1,271,480 · +19.3%
• By 2100: 1,321,160 · +23.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 45% White 41% Two or more races 18% Asian 4% Black 3% Native American 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 41%
• Common ancestry: Portuguese 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 18% · Canada, China, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 65% English-only · Spanish 30% Chinese 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pima

• 2024 margin: D (+15.2) · D 57.0% · R 41.8% · Other 1.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: +9.1pp toward D · 2008: 6.1pp · 2024: 15.2pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+15.2 2020: D+18.7 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+5.8 2008: D+6.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -163.31%
• Current HPI: 283.0647
• Rent YoY: ▲ 0.30%
• Metro: Tucson, AZ
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 4.54%
• F500 in state: 20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Technology	2	$13B
▸Mining / Metals	1	$23B
▸Environmental Services	1	$16B
▸Metals / Steel	1	$14B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$9B
▸Homebuilding	1	$8B

Price history

-96.6% since first listed

4 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-21 Listed $35,000 FSBO.com
• 2008-08-26 Sold (Public Records) $2,750,000 Public Records
• 1991-06-05 Sold (Public Records) $1,100,000 Public Records
• 1991-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $1,032,750 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $11,692 · +4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.