Duplex
58 Durant Ter · Middletown, CT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $829 – $1,539
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.6/30.0
- DSCR +6.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$369,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Well kept two family, with good income potential. Newer updates include new roof in 2003, attic insulation, newer windows and oil tank in basement and new refrigerator on the second floor. Large walk-up attic, Both floors have hardwood floors with linoleum in kitchen. First floor has wall to wall carpeting in 4 rooms and updated tile bathroom with over-sized shower (renovated in 2017). The front entry offers an enclosed wrap-around front porch, including storm windows and screens. The second floor has an enclosed back porch and a quiet, reliable tenant interested in staying. Each floor has its own furnace, hot water heater and washer/dryer hookups in the basement, 2nd floor has gas furnace and gas stove. Located in a quiet, friendly neighborhood on a one-way street across from the Middletown Senior Center, close to downtown for shopping and restaurants, Detached two car garage to be sold 'as is', good sized backyard, fenced in on 3 sides.
Key facts
- Off street parking
- Well maintained
- Updated kitchens
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $370k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $492 ($6k/yr) — positive. Per door: $246/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $370k).
- Recommended offer: $359k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 3.7% in Middletown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#17 in CT, #1,390 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
- Middletown School District (urban): math 24% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #113 of 153 in CT (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 143 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 278 units permitted in Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region in 2024 (89 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,772/mo this rent would consume 57% of the median local household income ($79k/yr) (locally 2196% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($359k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $170k; list at $370k implies a 118% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1889 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1889 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.70%
- DSCR
- 1.25
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $298,180
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Goodyear Ave | 0.59mi | 4/2.0 | 1,876 (+7%) | 15mo | $385,000 | $205 | 49 |
| 74 Mill St | 0.53mi | 4/2.0 | 1,944 (+11%) | 10mo | $330,000 | $170 | 48 |
| 1 Dunham St | 0.60mi | 4/2.0 | 1,822 (+4%) | 21mo | $110,000 | $60 | 48 |
| 132 Front St | 0.44mi | 4/2.0 | 2,016 (+15%) | 11mo | $310,000 | $154 | 45 |
| 108 Main ST EXT | 0.65mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,780 (+2%) | 22mo | $285,000 | $160 | 44 |
| 102 Main St Ext | 0.65mi | 4/2.0 | 1,518 (-14%) | 6mo | $405,000 | $267 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.22% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.62×
- Total profit
- $-38,842
- Equity at exit
- $55,153
- IRR
- -5.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.68×
- Total profit
- $-33,242
- Equity at exit
- $31,982
Cash invested: $103,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06457
- Rents YoY
- 0.2%
- Active inventory
- 143
- Price-to-rent
- 16.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,772 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,940
- Tax from tax record
- −$394 /mo · $4,725/yr
- Insurance
- −$154
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$792
- Net cashflow
- $492
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $3,772 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,886 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,886 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,772 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $92,475
- Closing costs
- $11,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Woodside Cir Unit 37 Middletown, CT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,300 | $1.44 | 44d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 177 Russell St Unit 2 Middletown, CT | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2000 | $2,200 | $1.10 | 24d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 32 Wall St Unit 2 Middletown, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2081 | $2,400 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 73 Silver St Middletown, CT | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1322 | $2,500 | $1.89 | 24d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 505 Main St Middletown, CT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1263 | $2,000 | $1.58 | 2d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 57 Ferry St Unit 1 Middletown, CT | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $2,000 | $1.33 | 10d | 1 | 1.30mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2025-10-15status Under Contract
-
2025-10-02price $369,900
-
2025-09-06$379,000 Active
-
2018-09-10soldstatus $170,000
-
2018-09-07soldstatus $170,000 Closed 952-char remark
Show marketing remark (952 chars)
Well kept two family, with good income potential. Newer updates include new roof in 2003, attic insulation, newer windows and oil tank in basement and new refrigerator on the second floor. Large walk-up attic, Both floors have hardwood floors with linoleum in kitchen. First floor has wall to wall carpeting in 4 rooms and updated tile bathroom with over-sized shower (renovated in 2017). The front entry offers an enclosed wrap-around front porch, including storm windows and screens. The second floor has an enclosed back porch and a quiet, reliable tenant interested in staying. Each floor has its own furnace, hot water heater and washer/dryer hookups in the basement, 2nd floor has gas furnace and gas stove. Located in a quiet, friendly neighborhood on a one-way street across from the Middletown Senior Center, close to downtown for shopping and restaurants, Detached two car garage to be sold 'as is', good sized backyard, fenced in on 3 sides.
-
2018-08-04historical 952-char remark
Show marketing remark (952 chars)
Well kept two family, with good income potential. Newer updates include new roof in 2003, attic insulation, newer windows and oil tank in basement and new refrigerator on the second floor. Large walk-up attic, Both floors have hardwood floors with linoleum in kitchen. First floor has wall to wall carpeting in 4 rooms and updated tile bathroom with over-sized shower (renovated in 2017). The front entry offers an enclosed wrap-around front porch, including storm windows and screens. The second floor has an enclosed back porch and a quiet, reliable tenant interested in staying. Each floor has its own furnace, hot water heater and washer/dryer hookups in the basement, 2nd floor has gas furnace and gas stove. Located in a quiet, friendly neighborhood on a one-way street across from the Middletown Senior Center, close to downtown for shopping and restaurants, Detached two car garage to be sold 'as is', good sized backyard, fenced in on 3 sides.
-
2018-06-04historical Under Contract - Continue to Show 952-char remark
Show marketing remark (952 chars)
Well kept two family, with good income potential. Newer updates include new roof in 2003, attic insulation, newer windows and oil tank in basement and new refrigerator on the second floor. Large walk-up attic, Both floors have hardwood floors with linoleum in kitchen. First floor has wall to wall carpeting in 4 rooms and updated tile bathroom with over-sized shower (renovated in 2017). The front entry offers an enclosed wrap-around front porch, including storm windows and screens. The second floor has an enclosed back porch and a quiet, reliable tenant interested in staying. Each floor has its own furnace, hot water heater and washer/dryer hookups in the basement, 2nd floor has gas furnace and gas stove. Located in a quiet, friendly neighborhood on a one-way street across from the Middletown Senior Center, close to downtown for shopping and restaurants, Detached two car garage to be sold 'as is', good sized backyard, fenced in on 3 sides.
-
2018-05-18$174,900 Active 952-char remark
Show marketing remark (952 chars)
Well kept two family, with good income potential. Newer updates include new roof in 2003, attic insulation, newer windows and oil tank in basement and new refrigerator on the second floor. Large walk-up attic, Both floors have hardwood floors with linoleum in kitchen. First floor has wall to wall carpeting in 4 rooms and updated tile bathroom with over-sized shower (renovated in 2017). The front entry offers an enclosed wrap-around front porch, including storm windows and screens. The second floor has an enclosed back porch and a quiet, reliable tenant interested in staying. Each floor has its own furnace, hot water heater and washer/dryer hookups in the basement, 2nd floor has gas furnace and gas stove. Located in a quiet, friendly neighborhood on a one-way street across from the Middletown Senior Center, close to downtown for shopping and restaurants, Detached two car garage to be sold 'as is', good sized backyard, fenced in on 3 sides.
-
2003-09-26soldstatus $174,500 186-char remark
Show marketing remark (186 chars)
Very well kept, two family, with good income potential. Some hardwood floors andupdates throughout, newer winows, private backyard, two car garage with electricity, in good neighborhood.
-
2003-09-26soldstatus $174,500
Show marketing remark (186 chars)
Very well kept, two family, with good income potential. Some hardwood floors andupdates throughout, newer winows, private backyard, two car garage with electricity, in good neighborhood.
-
2003-06-21$179,900 186-char remark
Show marketing remark (186 chars)
Very well kept, two family, with good income potential. Some hardwood floors andupdates throughout, newer winows, private backyard, two car garage with electricity, in good neighborhood.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,725 · $394/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,320 · $527/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,595/yr (+$133/mo · 33.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $45,264
- − Mortgage interest
- −$20,720
- − Property taxes
- −$4,725
- − Insurance
- −$1,850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,621
- − Management
- −$3,621
- − Depreciation
- −$10,761
- Taxable loss
- −$34
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$8
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,915/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Middletown School District
- NCES district ID
- 0902490
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,733
- Composite
- 30.47/100
- National rank
- #6224
- State rank
- #113 of 153 in CT
Livability — Middletown
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #17
- US rank
- #1390
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Middletown, CT
- County
- Middlesex County · 63,941 people
- City population
- 46,720
- Metro
- Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
- Population (ZIP)
- 46,720
- Household income
- $79,463
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2196.0
Population outlook (Lower Connecticut River Valley County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 188,651
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Black 13% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 9% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Lithuanian 5% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Lower Connecticut River Valley
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.4) · D 55.9% · R 42.4% · Other 1.7%
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -470.20%
- Current HPI
- 255.1597
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.22%
- Metro
- Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
|
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Price history
+105.6% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2025-10-15 Pending — Smart MLS
- 2025-10-02 Price Changed $369,900 Smart MLS
- 2025-09-06 Listed $379,000 Smart MLS
- 2018-09-10 Sold (Public Records) $170,000 Public Records
- 2018-09-07 Sold (MLS) $170,000 Smart MLS
- 2018-08-04 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2018-06-04 Contingent — Smart MLS
- 2018-05-18 Listed $174,900 Smart MLS
- 2003-09-26 Sold (Public Records) $174,500 Public Records
- 2003-09-26 Sold (MLS) $174,500 Smart MLS
- 2003-06-21 Listed $179,900 Smart MLS
Property tax history
+0.9%/yrLatest (2022): $4,725 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…