69205 Garver Lake Rd Lot 63 · Edwardsburg, MI
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.2/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.4/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$69,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Edwardsburg School District! Located in the community of Colonial Acres, this meticulously maintained move-in ready home is exactly what you have been looking for! Two bedroom, two full bath home offers an attached deck, private parking, open concept floor plan, laundry area & more! Custom modern kitchen offers new stainless steel appliances and ample storage. Constructed in 2022. Don't miss out on this move-in ready home!
Key facts
- Attached deck
- Laundry area
- Private parking
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $69k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $87 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $69k).
- Recommended offer: $61k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 2.8% in Edwardsburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#166 in MI, #4,375 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Edwardsburg Public Schools (suburban): math 51% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #52 of 540 in MI (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 124 active listings in the ZIP; 128 units permitted in Cass County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $477 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cass County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 261 days — a 12% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $4k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 36% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 261 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.91% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.40%
- DSCR
- 1.24
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $39,377
- List price
- $69,000
- Delta
- 75.23%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.72×
- Total profit
- $-5,328
- Equity at exit
- $10,288
- IRR
- 2.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.19×
- Total profit
- $3,763
- Equity at exit
- $5,966
Cash invested: $19,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49112
- Active inventory
- 124
- Price-to-rent
- 4.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,315 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$362
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$86 /mo · $1,035/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$475
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$276
- Net cashflow
- $87
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,250
- Closing costs
- $2,070
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $475 · $5,700/yr
Listing history 23 events
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2026-06-19days on market $69,000 Active 261 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $69,000 Active 260 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $69,000 Active 259 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $69,000 Active 258 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $69,000 Active 257 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $69,000 Active 255 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $69,000 Active 254 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $69,000 Active 252 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $69,000 Active 251 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $69,000 Active 250 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $69,000 Active 249 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $69,000 Active 246 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $69,000 Active 245 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $69,000 Active 244 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $69,000 Active 243 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $69,000 Active 242 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $69,000 Active 241 DOM
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2026-03-19price $69,000 432-char remark
Show marketing remark (432 chars)
Edwardsburg School District! Located in the community of Colonial Acres, this meticulously maintained move-in ready home is exactly what you have been looking for! Two bedroom, two full bath home offers an attached deck, private parking, open concept floor plan, laundry area & more! Custom modern kitchen offers new stainless steel appliances and ample storage. Constructed in 2022. Don't miss out on this move-in ready home!
-
2026-03-18price $69,000 432-char remark
Show marketing remark (432 chars)
Edwardsburg School District! Located in the community of Colonial Acres, this meticulously maintained move-in ready home is exactly what you have been looking for! Two bedroom, two full bath home offers an attached deck, private parking, open concept floor plan, laundry area & more! Custom modern kitchen offers new stainless steel appliances and ample storage. Constructed in 2022. Don't miss out on this move-in ready home!
-
2026-03-18price $69,000
Show marketing remark (432 chars)
Edwardsburg School District! Located in the community of Colonial Acres, this meticulously maintained move-in ready home is exactly what you have been looking for! Two bedroom, two full bath home offers an attached deck, private parking, open concept floor plan, laundry area & more! Custom modern kitchen offers new stainless steel appliances and ample storage. Constructed in 2022. Don't miss out on this move-in ready home!
-
2025-10-01$72,900 Active 432-char remark
Show marketing remark (432 chars)
Edwardsburg School District! Located in the community of Colonial Acres, this meticulously maintained move-in ready home is exactly what you have been looking for! Two bedroom, two full bath home offers an attached deck, private parking, open concept floor plan, laundry area & more! Custom modern kitchen offers new stainless steel appliances and ample storage. Constructed in 2022. Don't miss out on this move-in ready home!
-
2025-10-01$72,900 Active 432-char remark
Show marketing remark (432 chars)
Edwardsburg School District! Located in the community of Colonial Acres, this meticulously maintained move-in ready home is exactly what you have been looking for! Two bedroom, two full bath home offers an attached deck, private parking, open concept floor plan, laundry area & more! Custom modern kitchen offers new stainless steel appliances and ample storage. Constructed in 2022. Don't miss out on this move-in ready home!
-
2025-10-01$72,900 Active
Show marketing remark (432 chars)
Edwardsburg School District! Located in the community of Colonial Acres, this meticulously maintained move-in ready home is exactly what you have been looking for! Two bedroom, two full bath home offers an attached deck, private parking, open concept floor plan, laundry area & more! Custom modern kitchen offers new stainless steel appliances and ample storage. Constructed in 2022. Don't miss out on this move-in ready home!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,780
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,865
- − Property taxes
- −$1,035
- − Insurance
- −$345
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,262
- − Management
- −$1,262
- − HOA
- −$5,700
- − Depreciation
- −$2,007
- Taxable income
- $303
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$73
- After-tax cash flow
- $971/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This move-in ready manufactured home is in good condition with a modern kitchen and good curb appeal. It has potential for further value increases with minor updates.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Replace carpet with hardwood or tile — Hardwood or tile flooring is more durable and adds value
- Both Install smart home features — Smart home features improve convenience and add value
- Both Add outdoor lighting — Outdoor lighting enhances safety and curb appeal
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Replace carpet with hardwood or tile — Hardwood or tile flooring is more durable and adds value ↑
- Both Install smart home features — Smart home features improve convenience and add value ↑
- Both Add outdoor lighting — Outdoor lighting enhances safety and curb appeal ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Edwardsburg Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2612990
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 66% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,372
- Composite
- 50.29/100
- National rank
- #1883
- State rank
- #52 of 540 in MI
Livability — Edwardsburg
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #166
- US rank
- #4375
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,436
Population outlook (Cass County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 49,919 people
- By 2030
- 48,320 · -3.2%
- By 2040
- 44,230 · -11.4%
- By 2050
- 39,852 · -20.2%
- By 2075
- 31,440 · -37.0%
- By 2100
- 23,914 · -52.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cass
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.9) · D 32.5% · R 66.4% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -38.0pp toward R · 2008: 4.1pp · 2024: -33.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.9 2020: R+28.9 2016: R+29.9 2012: R+13.7 2008: D+4.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -174.26%
- Current HPI
- 183.898
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
-5.3% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-19 Price Changed $69,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-18 Price Changed $69,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-18 Price Changed $69,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2025-10-01 Listed $72,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-10-01 Listed $72,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2025-10-01 Listed $72,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…