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69205 Garver Lake Rd Lot 63
C Composite 59.32
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.2/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.4/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$69,000

69205 Garver Lake Rd Lot 63 · Edwardsburg, MI 49112
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 880 sqft · Manufactured · 261 Days on market
Built 2022 Good condition $78/sqft · 75% above area $475/mo HOA · 36% of rent ↓ 5% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Edwardsburg School District! Located in the community of Colonial Acres, this meticulously maintained move-in ready home is exactly what you have been looking for! Two bedroom, two full bath home offers an attached deck, private parking, open concept floor plan, laundry area & more! Custom modern kitchen offers new stainless steel appliances and ample storage. Constructed in 2022. Don't miss out on this move-in ready home!

Key facts

  • Attached deck
  • Laundry area
  • Private parking

Tags

ATTACHED DECKPRIVATE PARKINGOPEN CONCEPT FLOOR PLANLAUNDRY AREACUSTOM MODERN KITCHENNEW STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $69k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $87 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $69k).
  • Recommended offer: $61k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 2.8% in Edwardsburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#166 in MI, #4,375 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Edwardsburg Public Schools (suburban): math 51% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #52 of 540 in MI (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 124 active listings in the ZIP; 128 units permitted in Cass County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $477 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cass County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 261 days — a 12% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $4k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 36% of rent.
Recommended offer $60,720 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 261 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.91%
Cap rate
7.81%
Cash-on-cash
5.40%
DSCR
1.24
GRM
4.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$39,377
List price
$69,000
Delta
75.23%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.4%
Equity multiple
0.72×
Total profit
$-5,328
Equity at exit
$10,288
10-year hold
IRR
2.7%
Equity multiple
1.19×
Total profit
$3,763
Equity at exit
$5,966

Cash invested: $19,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49112

Active inventory
124
Price-to-rent
4.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,315 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$362
Tax est. 1.5%
$86 /mo · $1,035/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$475
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$276
Net cashflow
$87

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,205
Max offer price $69,000
Occupancy floor 88%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,250
Closing costs
$2,070
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$475 · $5,700/yr

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $69,000 Active 261 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $69,000 Active 260 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $69,000 Active 259 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $69,000 Active 258 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $69,000 Active 257 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $69,000 Active 255 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $69,000 Active 254 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $69,000 Active 252 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $69,000 Active 251 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $69,000 Active 250 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $69,000 Active 249 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $69,000 Active 246 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $69,000 Active 245 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $69,000 Active 244 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $69,000 Active 243 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $69,000 Active 242 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $69,000 Active 241 DOM
  18. 2026-03-19
    price $69,000 432-char remark
    Show marketing remark (432 chars)

    Edwardsburg School District! Located in the community of Colonial Acres, this meticulously maintained move-in ready home is exactly what you have been looking for! Two bedroom, two full bath home offers an attached deck, private parking, open concept floor plan, laundry area & more! Custom modern kitchen offers new stainless steel appliances and ample storage. Constructed in 2022. Don't miss out on this move-in ready home!

  19. 2026-03-18
    price $69,000 432-char remark
    Show marketing remark (432 chars)

    Edwardsburg School District! Located in the community of Colonial Acres, this meticulously maintained move-in ready home is exactly what you have been looking for! Two bedroom, two full bath home offers an attached deck, private parking, open concept floor plan, laundry area & more! Custom modern kitchen offers new stainless steel appliances and ample storage. Constructed in 2022. Don't miss out on this move-in ready home!

  20. 2026-03-18
    price $69,000
    Show marketing remark (432 chars)

    Edwardsburg School District! Located in the community of Colonial Acres, this meticulously maintained move-in ready home is exactly what you have been looking for! Two bedroom, two full bath home offers an attached deck, private parking, open concept floor plan, laundry area & more! Custom modern kitchen offers new stainless steel appliances and ample storage. Constructed in 2022. Don't miss out on this move-in ready home!

  21. 2025-10-01
    listed $72,900 Active 432-char remark
    Show marketing remark (432 chars)

    Edwardsburg School District! Located in the community of Colonial Acres, this meticulously maintained move-in ready home is exactly what you have been looking for! Two bedroom, two full bath home offers an attached deck, private parking, open concept floor plan, laundry area & more! Custom modern kitchen offers new stainless steel appliances and ample storage. Constructed in 2022. Don't miss out on this move-in ready home!

  22. 2025-10-01
    listed $72,900 Active 432-char remark
    Show marketing remark (432 chars)

    Edwardsburg School District! Located in the community of Colonial Acres, this meticulously maintained move-in ready home is exactly what you have been looking for! Two bedroom, two full bath home offers an attached deck, private parking, open concept floor plan, laundry area & more! Custom modern kitchen offers new stainless steel appliances and ample storage. Constructed in 2022. Don't miss out on this move-in ready home!

  23. 2025-10-01
    listed $72,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (432 chars)

    Edwardsburg School District! Located in the community of Colonial Acres, this meticulously maintained move-in ready home is exactly what you have been looking for! Two bedroom, two full bath home offers an attached deck, private parking, open concept floor plan, laundry area & more! Custom modern kitchen offers new stainless steel appliances and ample storage. Constructed in 2022. Don't miss out on this move-in ready home!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,780
− Mortgage interest
−$3,865
− Property taxes
−$1,035
− Insurance
−$345
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,262
− Management
−$1,262
− HOA
−$5,700
− Depreciation
−$2,007
Taxable income
$303
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$73
After-tax cash flow
$971/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This move-in ready manufactured home is in good condition with a modern kitchen and good curb appeal. It has potential for further value increases with minor updates.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Replace carpet with hardwood or tile — Hardwood or tile flooring is more durable and adds value
  • Both Install smart home features — Smart home features improve convenience and add value
  • Both Add outdoor lighting — Outdoor lighting enhances safety and curb appeal

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Replace carpet with hardwood or tile — Hardwood or tile flooring is more durable and adds value
  • Both Install smart home features — Smart home features improve convenience and add value
  • Both Add outdoor lighting — Outdoor lighting enhances safety and curb appeal

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Edwardsburg Public Schools
NCES district ID
2612990
Math proficiency
51% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
66% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$55,372
Composite
50.29/100
National rank
#1883
State rank
#52 of 540 in MI

Livability — Edwardsburg

Score
74/100
State rank
#166
US rank
#4375

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
10,436

Population outlook (Cass County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
49,919 people
By 2030
48,320 · -3.2%
By 2040
44,230 · -11.4%
By 2050
39,852 · -20.2%
By 2075
31,440 · -37.0%
By 2100
23,914 · -52.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cass

2024 margin
Solid R (+33.9) · D 32.5% · R 66.4% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-38.0pp toward R · 2008: 4.1pp · 2024: -33.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+33.9 2020: R+28.9 2016: R+29.9 2012: R+13.7 2008: D+4.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -174.26%
Current HPI
183.898
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-5.3% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-19 Price Changed $69,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-18 Price Changed $69,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-18 Price Changed $69,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2025-10-01 Listed $72,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-01 Listed $72,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2025-10-01 Listed $72,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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