1021 8th Ave SE · Decatur, AL
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.18%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 20.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.7/30.0
- ARV discount +14.4/15.0
- DSCR +8.6/10.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$140,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Home is a 3bdrm 2bath, brick home, flooring is LVP.. This property was previously Rented for $1,100 per month. 48 Hour Notice to Show. Tenant to be out by 5/22/26
Key facts
- 7,000 sq ft lot
- Built 1971
- Listed 104 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $335 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $140k).
- Recommended offer: $127k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 4.0% in Decatur — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#28 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D+, crime F.
- Decatur City (urban): math 22% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #66 of 129 in AL (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 223 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 75% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 231 units permitted in Morgan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Morgan County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.7% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 105 days — a 9% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $78k; list at $140k implies a 79% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 105 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.27%
- DSCR
- 1.46
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $165,196
- List price
- $140,000
- Delta
- -15.25%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 906 8th Ave SE | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,598 (+2%) | 4mo | $185,500 | $116 | 80 |
| 809 13th Ave SE | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,511 (-4%) | 2mo | $219,000 | $145 | 67 |
| 1409 8th Ave SE | 0.43mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,512 (-4%) | 1mo | $222,000 | $147 | 64 |
| 909 7th Ave SE | 0.19mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,404 (-10%) | 6mo | $115,000 | $82 | 64 |
| 1213 SE 8th Ave | 0.21mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,411 (-10%) | 4mo | $125,000 | $89 | 61 |
| 120 SW Cecil St | 0.69mi | 3/1.5 | 1,528 (-2%) | 2mo | $185,000 | $121 | 60 |
| 1512 10th Ave SE | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,430 (-9%) | 5mo | $155,000 | $108 | 48 |
| 1403 7th Ave SE | 0.41mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,792 (+14%) | 3mo | $174,000 | $97 | 45 |
| 1614 Beech St | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 1,389 (-11%) | 8mo | $150,000 | $108 | 42 |
| 820 Gordon Dr SE | 0.50mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,776 (+13%) | 11mo | $245,000 | $138 | 37 |
| 1617 7th St SE | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,337 (-15%) | 7mo | $176,700 | $132 | 34 |
| 1020 Jackson St SE | 0.68mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,797 (+15%) | 10mo | $227,000 | $126 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.67% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.03×
- Total profit
- $1,179
- Equity at exit
- $20,874
- IRR
- 11.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.00×
- Total profit
- $39,182
- Equity at exit
- $12,105
Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35601
- Home prices YoY
- -26.5%
- Rents YoY
- 4.7%
- Active inventory
- 223
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,497 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$55 /mo · $660/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$314
- Net cashflow
- $335
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,000
- Closing costs
- $4,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 603 Prospect Dr SE Decatur, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1362 | $1,795 | $1.32 | 44d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 1801 7th St SE Decatur, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1475 | $1,550 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1707 Buena Vista Cir SE Decatur, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1756 | $1,350 | $0.77 | 44d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 315 Hillside Rd SW Decatur, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1344 | $1,400 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 102 Elm Ct NE Decatur, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1216 | $1,450 | $1.19 | 23d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1205 Broadus Ave SE Decatur, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1306 | $1,195 | $0.92 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 609 7th Ave SW Decatur, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1380 | $1,425 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 1314 Pennylane SE Decatur, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,198 | $1.09 | 23d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 2136 Eastbrook SE Decatur, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,495 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 2217 Yorkshire SE Decatur, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1978 | $2,000 | $1.01 | 14d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 225 5th Ave NW Decatur, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1496 | $1,300 | $0.87 | 44d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 14 Walnut St NE Decatur, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1430 | $1,700 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $140,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $140,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $140,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $140,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $140,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $140,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $140,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $140,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $140,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $140,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $140,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $140,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $140,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $140,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $140,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $140,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $140,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-03-06$140,000 Active 162-char remark
Show marketing remark (162 chars)
Home is a 3bdrm 2bath, brick home, flooring is LVP.. This property was previously Rented for $1,100 per month. 48 Hour Notice to Show. Tenant to be out by 5/22/26
-
2021-01-11soldstatus $78,000
-
2020-10-30soldstatus $78,000 122-char remark
Show marketing remark (122 chars)
HOUSE IS ALL BRICK, HAS METAL ROOF NEEDS UPDATING, HAS A GOOD LEVEL YARD. CLOSE TO ALL SHOPPING. HOME IS BEING SOLD AS IS!
-
2020-10-20$72,300 122-char remark
Show marketing remark (122 chars)
HOUSE IS ALL BRICK, HAS METAL ROOF NEEDS UPDATING, HAS A GOOD LEVEL YARD. CLOSE TO ALL SHOPPING. HOME IS BEING SOLD AS IS!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $660 · $55/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $660 · $55/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 18% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 20% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,968
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,842
- − Property taxes
- −$660
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,437
- − Management
- −$1,437
- − Depreciation
- −$4,073
- Taxable income
- $1,818
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$436
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,588/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Decatur City
- NCES district ID
- 0101170
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -27.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,170
- Composite
- 26.21/100
- National rank
- #7261
- State rank
- #66 of 129 in AL
Livability — Decatur
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #28
- US rank
- #5989
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Decatur, AL
- County
- Morgan County · 67,628 people
- City population
- 67,628
- Metro
- Decatur, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,449
- Household income
- $51,429
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1386.0
Population outlook (Morgan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 118,775 people
- By 2030
- 116,979 · -1.5%
- By 2040
- 111,800 · -5.9%
- By 2050
- 105,181 · -11.4%
- By 2075
- 87,736 · -26.1%
- By 2100
- 67,624 · -43.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Hispanic / Latino 24% Black 24% Two or more races 10% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 18%
Political lean MEDSL · Morgan
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+52.6) · D 23.2% · R 75.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.8pp toward R · 2008: -43.8pp · 2024: -52.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+52.6 2020: R+49.2 2016: R+52.4 2012: R+44.5 2008: R+43.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -89.26%
- Current HPI
- 247.8437
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.67%
- Metro
- Decatur, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
+93.6% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-06 Listed $140,000 VMLS
- 2021-01-11 Sold (Public Records) $78,000 Public Records
- 2020-10-30 Sold (MLS) $78,000 SAARMLS
- 2020-10-20 Listed $72,300 SAARMLS
Property tax history
+5.2%/yrLatest (2025): $660 · +6.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…