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720 Kirby Ln
B Composite 70.34
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$59,764

720 Kirby Ln · London, KY 40741
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,296 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 80 Days on market
Built 1974 0.40 ac lot $46/sqft · 70% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Attention investors.This house is located in city limits and has good rental potential.Very close to St Joseph of hospital. It will need a complete renovation.

Key facts

  • Complete renovation
  • 0.4 acre lot
  • Built 1974

Tags

COMPLETE RENOVATIONLOCATED IN CITY LIMITS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $392 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($997 rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $56k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.2% vs local median 2.2% in London — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#202 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: schools D+, employment D+, amenities F.
  • Laurel County (town): math 51% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #8 of 165 in KY (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 249 active listings in the ZIP; 16 units permitted in Laurel County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $413 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($56k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 18y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $56,178 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.67%
Cap rate
14.16%
Cash-on-cash
28.09%
DSCR
2.25
GRM
5.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$207,734
List price
$59,764
Delta
-71.23%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
256 Falls St 0.34mi 2/1.0 1,300 (+0%) 16mo $64,005 $49 71
284 Parker Rd 0.30mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,120 (-14%) 5mo $175,000 $156 54
513 Sulfridge Dr 0.70mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,152 (-11%) 9mo $217,000 $188 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
22.3%
Equity multiple
1.91×
Total profit
$15,272
Equity at exit
$8,911
10-year hold
IRR
30.3%
Equity multiple
3.72×
Total profit
$45,446
Equity at exit
$5,167

Cash invested: $16,734 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 40741

Home prices YoY
-9.0%
Active inventory
249
Price-to-rent
5.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$997 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$313
Tax from tax record
$57 /mo · $689/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$209
Net cashflow
$392

Break-even live

Break-even rent $501
Max offer price $59,764
Occupancy floor 56%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $426 -5% $409 +0% $392 +5% $375 +10% $358
Rent -10% $313 -5% $352 +0% $392 +5% $431 +10% $471
Rate -1.0pp $422 -0.5pp $407 base $392 +0.5pp $376 +1.0pp $361

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,941
Closing costs
$1,793
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $59,764 Active 80 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $59,764 Active 78 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    pricedays on market $59,764 Active 77 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $62,910 Active 76 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $62,910 Active 75 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $62,910 Active 73 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $62,910 Active 72 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $62,910 Active 69 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $62,910 Active 68 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $62,910 Active 67 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $62,910 Active 64 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $62,910 Active 63 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $62,910 Active 62 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $62,910 Active 61 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $62,910 Active 60 DOM
  16. 2026-05-08
    price $62,910 159-char remark
    Show marketing remark (159 chars)

    Attention investors.This house is located in city limits and has good rental potential.Very close to St Joseph of hospital. It will need a complete renovation.

  17. 2026-03-30
    listed $69,900 Active 159-char remark
    Show marketing remark (159 chars)

    Attention investors.This house is located in city limits and has good rental potential.Very close to St Joseph of hospital. It will need a complete renovation.

  18. 2009-06-04
    soldstatus $68,600 335-char remark
    Show marketing remark (335 chars)

    A True Treasure! This ranch features the character and charm you've been looking for in your next home! Fireplace, formal dining room, fenced in yard, storage building, screened in porch, heated above ground pool with large deck area, and an unfinished walk-out basement. See for yourself! ***1 Year Home Warranty Included for Buyer***

  19. 2009-06-04
    soldstatus $68,600
    Show marketing remark (335 chars)

    A True Treasure! This ranch features the character and charm you've been looking for in your next home! Fireplace, formal dining room, fenced in yard, storage building, screened in porch, heated above ground pool with large deck area, and an unfinished walk-out basement. See for yourself! ***1 Year Home Warranty Included for Buyer***

  20. 2008-11-19
    listed $74,900 335-char remark
    Show marketing remark (335 chars)

    A True Treasure! This ranch features the character and charm you've been looking for in your next home! Fireplace, formal dining room, fenced in yard, storage building, screened in porch, heated above ground pool with large deck area, and an unfinished walk-out basement. See for yourself! ***1 Year Home Warranty Included for Buyer***

  21. 1998-02-01
    soldstatus $52,000
  22. 1991-09-01
    soldstatus $16,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$689 · $57/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$689 · $57/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 6 d/yr ≥99°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,962
− Mortgage interest
−$3,348
− Property taxes
−$689
− Insurance
−$299
− Repairs & maintenance
−$957
− Management
−$957
− Depreciation
−$1,739
Taxable income
$3,974
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$954
After-tax cash flow
$3,747/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Laurel County
NCES district ID
2103210
Math proficiency
51% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$36,577
Composite
44.39/100
National rank
#2814
State rank
#8 of 165 in KY

Livability — London

Score
68/100
State rank
#202
US rank
#10028

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
London, KY
Population (ZIP)
23,303

Population outlook (Laurel County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
62,602 people
By 2030
63,310 · +1.1%
By 2040
63,706 · +1.8%
By 2050
62,705 · +0.2%
By 2075
58,574 · -6.4%
By 2100
50,888 · -18.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Laurel

2024 margin
Solid R (+69.9) · D 14.5% · R 84.3% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.9pp toward R · 2008: -58.0pp · 2024: -69.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+69.9 2020: R+66.7 2016: R+69.1 2012: R+63.6 2008: R+58.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -24.45%
Current HPI
247.1396
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+293.2% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Price Changed $62,910 ImagineMLS
  • 2026-03-30 Listed $69,900 ImagineMLS
  • 2009-06-04 Sold (Public Records) $68,600 Public Records
  • 2009-06-04 Sold (MLS) $68,600 ImagineMLS
  • 2008-11-19 Listed $74,900 ImagineMLS
  • 1998-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records
  • 1991-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $16,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $689 · +0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…