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8819 May Ave
C+ Composite 64.83
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.0/30.0
  • DSCR +8.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0

$100,000

8819 May Ave · Jennings, MO 63136
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,074 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1950 0.33 ac lot $93/sqft · 74% above area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this charming ranch-style home at 8819 May Ave! This lovely 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom residence has been thoughtfully updated to provide a modern and comfortable living space. Step inside to discover fresh paint and brand-new flooring throughout. The kitchen features new cabinets and appliances. Bathroom features new flooring and vanity. Additional upgrades include a new A/C, a new roof, and improved gutters, soffits, and fascia. With these essential improvements, you can move in with peace of mind. Don't miss your chance to own this beautifully renovated home! Professional pics coming Thursday, April 30th!

Key facts

  • 0.33 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1950

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: One-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected (220 volts); Natural gas connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Aluminum siding
  • Exterior features: Back yard

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Living room fireplace

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $216 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 12.0% in Jennings — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#208 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, commute A-, housing A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, employment F.
  • Jennings (suburban): math 8% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #315 of 324 in MO (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 86% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Northview Elem. (math 3% / reading 20%, grade F, #1,022 of 1,115 statewide, top 92%, 524 students, 100% FRL); Rose Johnson Jennings Jr. High (math 10% / reading 23%, grade F, #357 of 391 statewide, top 91%, 361 students, 100% FRL); Jennings High (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #497 of 521 statewide, top 96%, 691 students, 100% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 376 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (3.8% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $20k; list at $100k implies a 400% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $100,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.17%
Cap rate
8.89%
Cash-on-cash
9.27%
DSCR
1.41
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$57,503
List price
$100,000
Delta
73.90%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8819 May Ave 0.00mi 2/1.0 1,074 (0%) 0mo $100,000 $93 100
2026 Mclaran Ave 0.28mi 2/1.0 1,026 (-4%) 1mo $89,500 $87 79
8 Jendale Ct 0.33mi 2/2.0 1,127 (+5%) 4mo $125,000 $111 69
8808 Clifton Ave 0.11mi 2/1.0 912 (-15%) 2mo $29,900 $33 68
24 Lamar Dr 0.47mi 2/1.0 1,022 (-5%) 4mo $99,900 $98 67
8930 Sides Ct 0.37mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,008 (-6%) 1mo $65,000 $64 64
7117 W Florissant Ave 0.58mi 2/1.0 992 (-8%) 1mo $77,000 $78 59
1719 Veronica Ave 0.56mi 2/1.0 984 (-8%) 2mo $94,500 $96 58
8870 Saint Cyr Dr 0.59mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,131 (+5%) 2mo $39,900 $35 58
8926 Hillview Ave 0.55mi 2/1.0 920 (-14%) 3mo $38,700 $42 48
9468 Halls Ferry Rd 0.73mi 3/0.5 (+1) 975 (-9%) 2mo $67,500 $69 42
2554 Main St 0.64mi 3/1.0 (+1) 920 (-14%) 2mo $15,000 $16 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.79% appreciation · 4.97% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.3%
Equity multiple
2.16×
Total profit
$32,445
Equity at exit
$49,479
10-year hold
IRR
20.9%
Equity multiple
4.39×
Total profit
$94,906
Equity at exit
$79,966

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63136

Home prices YoY
0.9%
Rents YoY
5.0%
Active inventory
376
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,166 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$139 /mo · $1,667/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$245
Net cashflow
$216

Break-even live

Break-even rent $892
Max offer price $100,000
Occupancy floor 76%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $273 -5% $245 +0% $216 +5% $188 +10% $160
Rent -10% $124 -5% $170 +0% $216 +5% $262 +10% $308
Rate -1.0pp $267 -0.5pp $242 base $216 +0.5pp $190 +1.0pp $164

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8817 Shady Grove Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1085 $1,075 $0.99 25d 1 0.09mi
2022 McLaran Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1181 $1,543 $1.31 0d 1 0.26mi
1942 Damato Ct Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 905 $1,100 $1.22 45d 1 0.36mi
1942 Damato Ct Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 905 $1,100 $1.22 0d 1 0.36mi
8527 Dianthus Ln Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 976 $1,295 $1.33 45d 1 0.37mi
2415 Shirley Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 990 $1,450 $1.46 25d 1 0.40mi
8502 Dianthus Ln Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1072 $1,175 $1.10 25d 1 0.44mi
2056 Coleridge Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 949 $1,195 $1.26 25d 1 0.44mi
2056 Coleridge Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 949 $1,195 $1.26 0d 1 0.44mi
7 Lamar Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 894 $1,200 $1.34 19d 1 0.44mi
3 Pohlman Ln Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 704 $1,000 $1.42 17d 1 0.46mi
2427 Switzer Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1008 $1,300 $1.29 45d 1 0.46mi
8344 Eton Pl Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 750 $895 $1.19 5d 1 0.54mi
8347 Eton Pl Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 750 $1,075 $1.43 0d 1 0.55mi
8347 Eton Pl Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 750 $1,075 $1.43 45d 1 0.55mi
2527 Switzer Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 888 $1,135 $1.28 17d 1 0.57mi
5955 Floy Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1032 $1,050 $1.02 4d 1 0.65mi
5932 Floy Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1080 $1,373 $1.27 21d 1 0.70mi
2617 Hord Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 800 $775 $0.97 5d 1 0.71mi
7205 Calvin Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 832 $750 $0.90 45d 1 0.73mi
7142 Lamont Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 750 $1,100 $1.47 19d 1 0.74mi
9418 Pattonwood Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 2.0 982 $1,500 $1.53 25d 1 0.79mi
2623 Avie Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 921 $1,350 $1.47 45d 1 0.81mi
5662 Wilborn Dr Saint Louis, MO 1.0 1.0 768 $850 $1.11 25d 1 0.82mi
8548 Drury Ln Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1107 $1,420 $1.28 45d 1 0.83mi
5638 Helen Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 816 $1,299 $1.59 0d 1 0.84mi
5637 Jennings Station Rd Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1116 $895 $0.80 45d 1 0.84mi
8828 Riverview Blvd Apt 2S St. Louis, MO 1.0 1.0 816 $850 $1.04 45d 1 0.86mi
5615 Beldon Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 850 $950 $1.12 45d 1 0.86mi
5756 Floy Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1080 $995 $0.92 45d 1 0.86mi
7120 Greenhaven Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1131 $1,050 $0.93 0d 1 0.87mi
7120 Greenhaven Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1131 $1,050 $0.93 25d 1 0.87mi
5741 Floy Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,100 $1.10 25d 1 0.88mi
8908 Scottdale Ave Jennings, MO 2.0 1.0 790 $1,000 $1.27 45d 1 0.89mi
5654 Acme Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 968 $325 $0.34 23d 1 0.89mi
5612 Hodiamont Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.5 1200 $1,150 $0.96 12d 1 0.90mi
5612 Hodiamont Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.5 1200 $1,150 $0.96 0d 1 0.90mi
5721 Floy Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1032 $1,120 $1.09 25d 1 0.92mi
5640 Sapphire Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 900 $1,100 $1.22 45d 1 0.94mi
7426 Calvin Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,125 $1.02 19d 1 0.98mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-05-06
    status Pending 621-char remark
  2. 2026-05-01
    listed $100,000 Active 621-char remark
  3. 2026-04-27
    historical $100,000 621-char remark
  4. 2009-03-04
    soldstatus $20,000
  5. 2009-01-22
    soldstatus $50,173
  6. 1994-12-13
    soldstatus
  7. 1994-12-02
    soldstatus
  8. 1993-09-22
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,667 · $139/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,667 · $139/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,993
− Mortgage interest
−$5,602
− Property taxes
−$1,667
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,119
− Management
−$1,119
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable income
$1,077
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$258
After-tax cash flow
$2,336/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jennings
NCES district ID
2916290
Math proficiency
8% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$30,595
Composite
11.04/100
National rank
#9739
State rank
#315 of 324 in MO

Livability — Jennings

Score
67/100
State rank
#208
US rank
#10499

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A- Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A- Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jennings, MO
County
Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
40,929
Household income
$41,154
Rent vs Own
53.1% rent · 46.9% own
Severe rent burden
3085.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,025,227 people
By 2030
1,028,023 · +0.3%
By 2040
1,020,940 · -0.4%
By 2050
1,007,280 · -1.8%
By 2075
987,277 · -3.7%
By 2100
921,984 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (90%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 90% White 5% Two or more races 3%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.79%
Current HPI
420.28
Rent YoY
▲ 4.97%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+99.3% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-09 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-06 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $100,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-27 Coming Soon $100,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-03-04 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
  • 2009-01-22 Sold (Public Records) $50,173 Public Records
  • 1994-12-13 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1994-12-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1993-09-22 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+2.3%/yr

Latest (2022): $1,667 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…