CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
221 S Main St
D Composite 42.6
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.7/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +3.8/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.8/15.0

$168,000

221 S Main St · Forest City, PA 18421
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,200 sqft · Other · 53 Days on market
Built 1900 1.06 ac lot $140/sqft · 15% above area Est $146k · 15% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

IN TOWN CHARMER - OVER AN ACRE - GREAT STARTER - Check out this 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath home located Forest City! Well maintained and plenty of modern upgrades like vinyl siding and replacement windows as well as a new LP hot water baseboard heat and new electric water heater. Outside, enjoy the back patio and huge upper lot (possible subdivision of additional parcel). , Beds Description: 2+BED 2nd, Baths: 1 Bath Level 1, Baths: 1/2 Bath Lev 2

Key facts

  • Updated electrical
  • Newer furnace
  • Expansive upper lot

Tags

LOW MAINTENANCE VINYL SIDINGNEWER WINDOWSNEWER FURNACEUPDATED ELECTRICALBACK PATIOEXPANSIVE UPPER LOT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot of about 1.06 acres

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking; Shared paved driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Sewer connected; 100 Amp electric service
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential zoning
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Shared paved driveway; Off-street parking

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Unfinished basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $168k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-18 ($-212/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $165k (1.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $140k (16.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $140k (16.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#1,019 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Forest City Regional SD (suburban): math 34% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #308 of 539 in PA (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 53 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 80 units permitted in Susquehanna County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $18k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $17k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Susquehanna County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $47k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$45k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($163k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $140,000 (16.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.83%
Cap rate
6.17%
Cash-on-cash
-0.45%
DSCR
0.98
GRM
10.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$146,269
List price
$168,000
Delta
14.86%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
24.0%
Equity multiple
2.92×
Total profit
$90,370
Equity at exit
$151,348
10-year hold
IRR
21.3%
Equity multiple
6.68×
Total profit
$267,007
Equity at exit
$326,387

Cash invested: $47,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18421

Home prices YoY
20.9%
Active inventory
53
Price-to-rent
10.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,400 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$881
Tax from tax record
$173 /mo · $2,072/yr
Insurance
$70
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$294
Net cashflow
$-18

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,422
Max offer price $164,879
Occupancy floor 96%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,000
Closing costs
$5,040
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
139 Dundaff St Unit 1 Forest City, PA 2.0 2.0 1218 $1,400 $1.15 13d 1 0.53mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $168,000 Active 53 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $168,000 Active 52 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $168,000 Active 51 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $168,000 Active 50 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $168,000 Active 48 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $168,000 Active 47 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $168,000 Active 45 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $168,000 Active 44 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $168,000 Active 43 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $168,000 Active 42 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $168,000 Active 38 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $168,000 Active 37 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $168,000 Active 36 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $168,000 Active 35 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    pricedays on market $168,000 Active 34 DOM
  16. 2026-04-27
    listed $175,000 Active 865-char remark
  17. 2022-08-25
    soldstatus $148,654
  18. 2022-08-24
    soldstatus $145,900
    Show marketing remark (443 chars)

    IN TOWN CHARMER - OVER AN ACRE - GREAT STARTER - Check out this 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath home located Forest City! Well maintained and plenty of modern upgrades like vinyl siding and replacement windows as well as a new LP hot water baseboard heat and new electric water heater. Outside, enjoy the back patio and huge upper lot (possible subdivision of additional parcel). , Beds Description: 2+BED 2nd, Baths: 1 Bath Level 1, Baths: 1/2 Bath Lev 2

  19. 2022-08-24
    soldstatus
    Show marketing remark (443 chars)

    IN TOWN CHARMER - OVER AN ACRE - GREAT STARTER - Check out this 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath home located Forest City! Well maintained and plenty of modern upgrades like vinyl siding and replacement windows as well as a new LP hot water baseboard heat and new electric water heater. Outside, enjoy the back patio and huge upper lot (possible subdivision of additional parcel). , Beds Description: 2+BED 2nd, Baths: 1 Bath Level 1, Baths: 1/2 Bath Lev 2

  20. 2022-04-18
    listed $139,900
    Show marketing remark (443 chars)

    IN TOWN CHARMER - OVER AN ACRE - GREAT STARTER - Check out this 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath home located Forest City! Well maintained and plenty of modern upgrades like vinyl siding and replacement windows as well as a new LP hot water baseboard heat and new electric water heater. Outside, enjoy the back patio and huge upper lot (possible subdivision of additional parcel). , Beds Description: 2+BED 2nd, Baths: 1 Bath Level 1, Baths: 1/2 Bath Lev 2

  21. 2022-04-18
    listed $139,900
    Show marketing remark (443 chars)

    IN TOWN CHARMER - OVER AN ACRE - GREAT STARTER - Check out this 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath home located Forest City! Well maintained and plenty of modern upgrades like vinyl siding and replacement windows as well as a new LP hot water baseboard heat and new electric water heater. Outside, enjoy the back patio and huge upper lot (possible subdivision of additional parcel). , Beds Description: 2+BED 2nd, Baths: 1 Bath Level 1, Baths: 1/2 Bath Lev 2

  22. 2018-01-16
    soldstatus $84,460
  23. 2018-01-11
    soldstatus $84,460
  24. 2015-07-24
    listed $69,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,072 · $173/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,363 · $197/mo
Expected delta
+$291/yr (+$24/mo · 14.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥88°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,800
− Mortgage interest
−$9,411
− Property taxes
−$2,072
− Insurance
−$840
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,344
− Management
−$1,344
− Depreciation
−$4,887
Taxable loss
−$3,098
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$743
After-tax cash flow
$531/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Forest City Regional SD
NCES district ID
4209930
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$47,744
Composite
36.29/100
National rank
#4701
State rank
#308 of 539 in PA

Livability — Forest City

Score
66/100
State rank
#1019
US rank
#11278

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Forest City, PA
Population (ZIP)
4,475

Population outlook (Susquehanna County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
37,552 people
By 2030
35,270 · -6.1%
By 2040
30,663 · -18.3%
By 2050
26,492 · -29.5%
By 2075
19,658 · -47.7%
By 2100
15,179 · -59.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 11% Italian 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Vietnamese 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Susquehanna

2024 margin
Solid R (+44.7) · D 27.2% · R 71.9%
2008→2024 swing
-33.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.7pp · 2024: -44.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+44.7 2020: R+41.2 2016: R+42.9 2012: R+21.4 2008: R+11.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 48.80%
Current HPI
282.5624
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+141.7% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Price Changed $168,000 PWMLS
  • 2026-04-27 Listed $175,000 PWMLS
  • 2022-08-25 Sold (Public Records) $148,654 Public Records
  • 2022-08-24 Sold (MLS) PWMLS
  • 2022-08-24 Sold (MLS) $145,900 PWMLS
  • 2022-04-18 Listed $139,900 PWMLS
  • 2022-04-18 Listed $139,900 PWMLS
  • 2018-01-16 Sold (Public Records) $84,460 Public Records
  • 2018-01-11 Sold (MLS) $84,460 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2015-07-24 Listed $69,500 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID

Property tax history

+4.3%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,072 · +4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…