3294&92 Ellisville Blvd · Laurel, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 97.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.5/30.0
- DSCR +7.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$170,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Unique opportunity with two homes on one property! Whether you're looking for an investment property, multi-generational living, or a place to live with rental income potential, this property offers flexibility and value. 3292 is a brick ranch featuring approximately 1,673 sq ft with 2 bedrooms and 2 baths. This home needs some TLC but has great bones and plenty of potential to make it your own. 3294 is a charming cottage offering approximately 1,370 sq ft with 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. Full of character, this home would make a great rental, guest house, or mother-in-law residence. Live in one and rent the other, or add both to your investment portfolio.
Key facts
- 1.63 acre lot
- Built 1934
- Listed 119 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $317 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $168k (1.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $155k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#92 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, commute F.
- Jones County School District (rural): math 40% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #40 of 130 in MS (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 132 active listings in the ZIP; 23 units permitted in Jones County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jones County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 120 days — a 9% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $93k; list at $170k implies a 83% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1934 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 97% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 120 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1934 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.00%
- DSCR
- 1.36
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.84×
- Total profit
- $-7,407
- Equity at exit
- $25,348
- IRR
- 5.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.40×
- Total profit
- $19,275
- Equity at exit
- $14,698
Cash invested: $47,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39440
- Active inventory
- 132
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,682 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$891
- Tax from tax record
- −$49 /mo · $591/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$353
- Net cashflow
- $317
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $414 | -5% $366 | +0% $317 | +5% $269 | +10% $221 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $184 | -5% $251 | +0% $317 | +5% $384 | +10% $450 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $403 | -0.5pp $361 | base $317 | +0.5pp $273 | +1.0pp $229 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,500
- Closing costs
- $5,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $170,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $170,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $170,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $170,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $170,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $170,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $170,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $170,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $170,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $170,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $170,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $170,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $170,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $170,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $170,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $170,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $170,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-05-13price $170,000 659-char remark
Show marketing remark (659 chars)
Unique opportunity with two homes on one property! Whether you're looking for an investment property, multi-generational living, or a place to live with rental income potential, this property offers flexibility and value. 3292 is a brick ranch featuring approximately 1,673 sq ft with 2 bedrooms and 2 baths. This home needs some TLC but has great bones and plenty of potential to make it your own. 3294 is a charming cottage offering approximately 1,370 sq ft with 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. Full of character, this home would make a great rental, guest house, or mother-in-law residence. Live in one and rent the other, or add both to your investment portfolio.
-
2026-02-19$225,000 Active 659-char remark
Show marketing remark (659 chars)
Unique opportunity with two homes on one property! Whether you're looking for an investment property, multi-generational living, or a place to live with rental income potential, this property offers flexibility and value. 3292 is a brick ranch featuring approximately 1,673 sq ft with 2 bedrooms and 2 baths. This home needs some TLC but has great bones and plenty of potential to make it your own. 3294 is a charming cottage offering approximately 1,370 sq ft with 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. Full of character, this home would make a great rental, guest house, or mother-in-law residence. Live in one and rent the other, or add both to your investment portfolio.
-
2007-05-25soldstatus $93,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $591 · $49/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,343 · $112/mo
- Expected delta
- +$752/yr (+$63/mo · 127.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 97% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,186
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,523
- − Property taxes
- −$591
- − Insurance
- −$850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,615
- − Management
- −$1,615
- − Depreciation
- −$4,945
- Taxable income
- $1,048
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$252
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,557/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jones County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2802280
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,051
- Composite
- 33.24/100
- National rank
- #5520
- State rank
- #40 of 130 in MS
Livability — Laurel
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #92
- US rank
- #11413
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 20,111
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,111
Population outlook (Jones County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 68,800 people
- By 2030
- 68,773 · +-0.0%
- By 2040
- 68,087 · -1.0%
- By 2050
- 66,241 · -3.7%
- By 2075
- 58,600 · -14.8%
- By 2100
- 45,744 · -33.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (63%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 63% White 30% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 3% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Jones
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+46.8) · D 26.2% · R 73.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.2pp toward R · 2008: -38.6pp · 2024: -46.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+46.8 2020: R+42.2 2016: R+43.6 2012: R+38.2 2008: R+38.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -104.63%
- Current HPI
- 126.2541
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+82.8% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $170,000 LBOR
- 2026-02-19 Listed $225,000 LBOR
- 2007-05-25 Sold (Public Records) $93,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $591 · -46.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…