105 W Tennessee St · Chamois, MO
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.73%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.0/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Raised above the flood zone, this 1950 two-bedroom, two-bath home sitting on 0.47+/- ac. corner lot offers peace of mind and solid potential. Features newer metal roof and gutters, a built-in hutch in the living room, and a spacious two-car (24x25) garage. The 1994 addition includes a 20x10 sitting porch for relaxing outdoors. Home needs some updating and remodeling but provides a great foundation for your vision.
Key facts
- Metal roof
- Sitting porch
- Built-in hutch
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Propane service
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Fixer condition
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: 0.47-acre lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Propane heating; Has cooling
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Water softener (owned); No fireplace; 9 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Main level laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1 ($-10/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $65k (0.2% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $65k (0.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#485 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Osage County R-I (rural): math 45% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #242 of 535 in MO (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Chamois High (math 50% / reading 70%, grade C+, #35 of 521 statewide, top 8%, 68 students, 44% FRL) — zoned schools at 44% FRL track the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 60% at this address vs 42% district-wide (+17 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Osage County R-I average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Osage County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($449 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (2.1% local appreciation)).
- Osage County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (2.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.62% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- 28.07%
- DSCR
- 2.25
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.08% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.27×
- Total profit
- $4,922
- Equity at exit
- $25,921
- IRR
- 8.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.21×
- Total profit
- $21,966
- Equity at exit
- $37,545
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 65024
- Home prices YoY
- 1.9%
- Active inventory
- 3
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,052 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax from tax record
- −$38 /mo · $452/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$221
- Net cashflow
- $-1
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $36 | -5% $18 | +0% $-1 | +5% $-19 | +10% $-38 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-84 | -5% $-42 | +0% $-1 | +5% $41 | +10% $82 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $32 | -0.5pp $16 | base $-1 | +0.5pp $-18 | +1.0pp $-35 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $65,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $65,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $65,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $65,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $65,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 417-char remark
-
2026-06-13$65,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $452 · $38/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $630 · $53/mo
- Expected delta
- +$178/yr (+$15/mo · 39.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone AE · 73% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,629
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$452
- − Insurance
- −$5,444
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,010
- − Management
- −$1,010
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable loss
- −$820
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$197
- After-tax cash flow
- $187/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Osage County R-I
- NCES district ID
- 2908490
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▲ 10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,365
- Composite
- 38.65/100
- National rank
- #8411
- State rank
- #242 of 535 in MO
Livability — Chamois
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #485
- US rank
- #18994
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Chamois, MO
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,158
Population outlook (Osage County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 13,082 people
- By 2030
- 12,648 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 11,596 · -11.4%
- By 2050
- 10,298 · -21.3%
- By 2075
- 7,460 · -43.0%
- By 2100
- 4,907 · -62.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Osage
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+73.1) · D 13.1% · R 86.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.5pp toward R · 2008: -44.6pp · 2024: -73.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+73.1 2020: R+71.5 2016: R+68.5 2012: R+55.8 2008: R+44.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.08%
- Current HPI
- 110.0731
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $65,000 JCMLS
Property tax history
+5.6%/yrLatest (2025): $452 · +5.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…