1027 Vermont Ave · Lady Lake, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.0/30.0
- DSCR +9.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$160,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Step into your new home in the prime and desirable Villages Community! This No Bond home is located in the Orange Blossom Gardens district. It is a Three bedroom, Two bathroom, 1,335 sqft home that features a sun room and screened in patio. In addition to these rooms, the home boasts of ample storage space, with an updated HVAC, and a Golf car garage that includes your cart awaiting you for all journeys! This home comes furnished, move-in ready and grants you nearby access to the Mark Twain library, Chapel of All faith, Paradise Regional pool and recreation center, Orange Blossom Hills Country club, Paradise dog park, a view of the Hill top Golf course and lake from your backyard but most importantly, a golf cart ride near to the popular Village center which hosts a plethora of shops, restaurants and spaces for entertainment! If you're looking for a home that is in a great location, peaceful, ideal for vacation, and beautiful enough to make your own, consider yourself a Villager and make this your HOME!
Key facts
- Ample storage space
- Sun room
- Lake view
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Furnished; Located on paved/asphalt road
- HOA & community: Senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Has carport (1 carport space)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Other utilities
- Home design: Residential mobile home (single wide); One level; Faces south; Homesteaded
- Construction: Other construction materials; Other roof type; Crawlspace foundation; Built on a lot of about 0.16 acres
- Exterior features: Other exterior features
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Open floor plan
- Laundry & utility: Laundry: other (unspecified)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $450 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
- Recommended offer: $158k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 4.1% in Lady Lake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#457 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Lake (suburban): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #37 of 73 in FL (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.0%/yr); 576 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,799 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (814 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($59k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lake County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $74k; list at $160k implies a 116% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.06%
- DSCR
- 1.54
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.03% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.11×
- Total profit
- $4,807
- Equity at exit
- $23,857
- IRR
- 13.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.11×
- Total profit
- $49,742
- Equity at exit
- $13,834
Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32159
- Home prices YoY
- -16.0%
- Rents YoY
- 4.0%
- Active inventory
- 576
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,950 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax from tax record
- −$185 /mo · $2,215/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$410
- Net cashflow
- $450
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $40,000
- Closing costs
- $4,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 739 Heathrow Ave Lady Lake, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $2,250 | $2.16 | 2d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 804 Weeping Willow Ave Lady Lake, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $1,300 | $1.93 | 16d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 1532 W Schwartz Blvd Lady Lake, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1092 | $2,950 | $2.70 | 24d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 1214 Dustin Dr Lady Lake, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $1,400 | $1.35 | 24d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1715 Pebble Beach Ln Lady Lake, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $3,500 | $3.37 | 24d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 909 Orchid St Lady Lake, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,600 | $1.71 | 24d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 13740 Lead LN The Villages, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1029 | $1,720 | $1.67 | 21d | 38 | 0.82mi |
| 13765 NE 136th Loop Lady Lake, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1078 | $1,639 | $1.52 | 21d | 36 | 0.88mi |
| 716 Dominguez Dr Lady Lake, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1094 | $2,450 | $2.24 | 21d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 508 Tarrson Blvd Unit 1525263P Lady Lake, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1011 | $1,262 | $1.25 | 12d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 613 Enconto St Unit 1525268P The Villages, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1097 | $1,788 | $1.63 | 21d | 1 | 1.30mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $160,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $160,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $160,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $160,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $160,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $160,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $160,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $160,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $160,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $160,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $160,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $160,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $160,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-28$160,000 Active 1018-char remark
Show marketing remark (1018 chars)
Step into your new home in the prime and desirable Villages Community! This No Bond home is located in the Orange Blossom Gardens district. It is a Three bedroom, Two bathroom, 1,335 sqft home that features a sun room and screened in patio. In addition to these rooms, the home boasts of ample storage space, with an updated HVAC, and a Golf car garage that includes your cart awaiting you for all journeys! This home comes furnished, move-in ready and grants you nearby access to the Mark Twain library, Chapel of All faith, Paradise Regional pool and recreation center, Orange Blossom Hills Country club, Paradise dog park, a view of the Hill top Golf course and lake from your backyard but most importantly, a golf cart ride near to the popular Village center which hosts a plethora of shops, restaurants and spaces for entertainment! If you're looking for a home that is in a great location, peaceful, ideal for vacation, and beautiful enough to make your own, consider yourself a Villager and make this your HOME!
-
2026-05-28$160,000 Active
Show marketing remark (1018 chars)
Step into your new home in the prime and desirable Villages Community! This No Bond home is located in the Orange Blossom Gardens district. It is a Three bedroom, Two bathroom, 1,335 sqft home that features a sun room and screened in patio. In addition to these rooms, the home boasts of ample storage space, with an updated HVAC, and a Golf car garage that includes your cart awaiting you for all journeys! This home comes furnished, move-in ready and grants you nearby access to the Mark Twain library, Chapel of All faith, Paradise Regional pool and recreation center, Orange Blossom Hills Country club, Paradise dog park, a view of the Hill top Golf course and lake from your backyard but most importantly, a golf cart ride near to the popular Village center which hosts a plethora of shops, restaurants and spaces for entertainment! If you're looking for a home that is in a great location, peaceful, ideal for vacation, and beautiful enough to make your own, consider yourself a Villager and make this your HOME!
-
2010-12-21soldstatus $74,000
-
2009-11-30historical
-
2009-05-13$119,900
-
2007-11-16$124,500
-
2005-06-15soldstatus $88,900
-
2005-06-13soldstatus $88,900
-
2005-05-06$88,900
-
2003-06-11soldstatus $72,000
-
2000-05-23soldstatus $30,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,215 · $185/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,215 · $185/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,400
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,962
- − Property taxes
- −$2,215
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,872
- − Management
- −$1,872
- − Depreciation
- −$4,655
- Taxable income
- $3,024
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$726
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,676/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lake
- NCES district ID
- 1201050
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,632
- Composite
- 42.05/100
- National rank
- #3327
- State rank
- #37 of 73 in FL
Livability — Lady Lake
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #457
- US rank
- #8302
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Lake County · 364,602 people
- City population
- 32,107
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,107
- Household income
- $58,518
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1047.0
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 386,640 people
- By 2030
- 417,107 · +7.9%
- By 2040
- 476,676 · +23.3%
- By 2050
- 531,296 · +37.4%
- By 2075
- 648,303 · +67.7%
- By 2100
- 698,530 · +80.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Black 4% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 4% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.7) · D 37.3% · R 62.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.2pp toward R · 2008: -13.5pp · 2024: -24.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.7 2020: R+20.0 2016: R+23.1 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+13.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -45.24%
- Current HPI
- 237.6208
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.03%
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+433.3% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Listed $160,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-28 Listed $160,000 HCAR
- 2010-12-21 Sold (Public Records) $74,000 Public Records
- 2009-11-30 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-05-13 Listed $119,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-11-16 Listed $124,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-06-15 Sold (Public Records) $88,900 Public Records
- 2005-06-13 Sold (MLS) $88,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-05-06 Listed $88,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-06-11 Sold (Public Records) $72,000 Public Records
- 2000-05-23 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,215 · +10.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…