1009 Front St · Athens, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +4.9/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +2.3/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
If you've been wanting a 3-4 bedroom home just outside of town, this is the one! Good sized eat-in kitchen with newer Hickory cabinets alongside a large pantry, dining room, living room with propane heater, updated 3/4 bath with laundry, and 2 bedrooms on the first floor. Second floor has a full bath and 2 bedrooms, one being captured. Carport to protect your vehicle. Nice flat back yard, all on half an acre. Make an appointment today! * * * Seller Motivated * * *
Key facts
- Propane heater
- Updated bath
- Flat back yard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $69 ($830/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $136k (9.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#1,024 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing B; Watch: schools C-, employment D+, amenities F.
- Athens Area SD (town): math 38% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #227 of 539 in PA (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 66 units permitted in Bradford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bradford County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 144 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $51k; list at $150k implies a 194% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1876 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 144 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1876 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.98%
- DSCR
- 1.09
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $187,011
- List price
- $150,000
- Delta
- -19.79%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sierra View Rd | 0.34mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,322 (-14%) | 1mo | $195,597 | $148 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.53×
- Total profit
- $-19,900
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- -4.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.72×
- Total profit
- $-11,656
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18810
- Home prices YoY
- -3.2%
- Active inventory
- 14
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,357 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$153 /mo · $1,841/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$285
- Net cashflow
- $69
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $154 | -5% $112 | +0% $69 | +5% $27 | +10% $-16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-38 | -5% $16 | +0% $69 | +5% $123 | +10% $176 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $145 | -0.5pp $107 | base $69 | +0.5pp $30 | +1.0pp $-9 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3005 U.S. 220 Athens, PA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 920 | $1,250 | $1.36 | 45d | 2 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $150,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $150,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $150,000 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $150,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $150,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $150,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $150,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $150,000 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $150,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $150,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $150,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $150,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $150,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $150,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $150,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-04-30price $150,000 473-char remark
Show marketing remark (473 chars)
If you've been wanting a 3-4 bedroom home just outside of town, this is the one! Good sized eat-in kitchen with newer Hickory cabinets alongside a large pantry, dining room, living room with propane heater, updated 3/4 bath with laundry, and 2 bedrooms on the first floor. Second floor has a full bath and 2 bedrooms, one being captured. Carport to protect your vehicle. Nice flat back yard, all on half an acre. Make an appointment today! * * * Seller Motivated * * *
-
2026-04-24status Active 473-char remark
Show marketing remark (473 chars)
If you've been wanting a 3-4 bedroom home just outside of town, this is the one! Good sized eat-in kitchen with newer Hickory cabinets alongside a large pantry, dining room, living room with propane heater, updated 3/4 bath with laundry, and 2 bedrooms on the first floor. Second floor has a full bath and 2 bedrooms, one being captured. Carport to protect your vehicle. Nice flat back yard, all on half an acre. Make an appointment today! * * * Seller Motivated * * *
-
2026-03-27historical Active Under Contract 473-char remark
Show marketing remark (473 chars)
If you've been wanting a 3-4 bedroom home just outside of town, this is the one! Good sized eat-in kitchen with newer Hickory cabinets alongside a large pantry, dining room, living room with propane heater, updated 3/4 bath with laundry, and 2 bedrooms on the first floor. Second floor has a full bath and 2 bedrooms, one being captured. Carport to protect your vehicle. Nice flat back yard, all on half an acre. Make an appointment today! * * * Seller Motivated * * *
-
2026-01-26$153,000 Active 473-char remark
Show marketing remark (473 chars)
If you've been wanting a 3-4 bedroom home just outside of town, this is the one! Good sized eat-in kitchen with newer Hickory cabinets alongside a large pantry, dining room, living room with propane heater, updated 3/4 bath with laundry, and 2 bedrooms on the first floor. Second floor has a full bath and 2 bedrooms, one being captured. Carport to protect your vehicle. Nice flat back yard, all on half an acre. Make an appointment today! * * * Seller Motivated * * *
-
2025-10-25status Active
-
2025-09-28historical Active Under Contract
-
2025-08-26price $156,900
-
2025-07-16$159,900 Active
-
2017-10-30soldstatus $51,000
-
2017-03-13$60,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,841 · $153/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,106 · $175/mo
- Expected delta
- +$264/yr (+$22/mo · 14.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥93°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,279
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$1,841
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,302
- − Management
- −$1,302
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable loss
- −$1,682
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$404
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,234/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Athens Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4202670
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,684
- Composite
- 40.64/100
- National rank
- #3683
- State rank
- #227 of 539 in PA
Livability — Athens
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #1024
- US rank
- #11787
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Bradford County · 5,774 people
- City population
- 5,774
- Metro
- Sayre, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,774
- Household income
- $58,750
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 81.0
Population outlook (Bradford County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 57,236 people
- By 2030
- 54,660 · -4.5%
- By 2040
- 49,502 · -13.5%
- By 2050
- 44,277 · -22.6%
- By 2075
- 33,420 · -41.6%
- By 2100
- 22,919 · -60.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 2% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 6% Romanian 3% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bradford
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.9) · D 25.6% · R 73.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.5pp toward R · 2008: -18.4pp · 2024: -47.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.9 2020: R+44.9 2016: R+46.0 2012: R+24.6 2008: R+18.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -5.33%
- Current HPI
- 159.9371
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Sayre, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+150.0% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $150,000 NMPA
- 2026-04-24 Relisted — NMPA
- 2026-03-27 Contingent — NMPA
- 2026-01-26 Listed $153,000 NMPA
- 2025-10-25 Relisted — NMPA
- 2025-09-28 Contingent — NMPA
- 2025-08-26 Price Changed $156,900 NMPA
- 2025-07-16 Listed $159,900 NMPA
- 2017-10-30 Sold (MLS) $51,000 NMPA
- 2017-03-13 Listed $60,000 NMPA
Property tax history
+1.6%/yrLatest (2026): $1,841 · +6.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…