20956 Fewins Rd · Bendon, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.2/30.0
- DSCR +9.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Livability +2.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$106,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Looking for a project with potential? This HUD-owned property offers a rare opportunity to build equity and create your vision. Situated on 2.5 acres just 10 miles from beautiful Traverse City, this property features a spacious setting with a nice backyard, storage shed, and plenty of room to enjoy country living while remaining close to shopping, dining, recreation, and all that Northern Michigan has to offer. The home offers 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, providing a solid foundation for renovation and improvement. Please note that the property is in rough condition and will require significant repairs and updates. Ideal for investors, contractors, or buyers seeking a renovation project.
Key facts
- Close to recreation
- Storage shed
- 2.5 acres
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Private well water; Septic tank sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shallow crawl space foundation; Above-grade living area about 1,079 square feet
- Exterior features: Shed(s) on the property; Lot dimensions approximately 250 x 330 x 241 x 330; Approximately 2.5 acres
Interior
- Kitchen: Includes oven, range, refrigerator, dishwasher not listed
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating powered by natural gas; No central cooling
- Interior features: Dryer, Oven, Refrigerator, Range, Washer; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $106k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $302 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $106k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 53/100 on livability (#680 in MI) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: housing C-, schools F, crime F.
- Benzie County Central Schools (rural): math 33% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #234 of 540 in MI (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 52 active listings in the ZIP; 110 units permitted in Benzie County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $733 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Benzie County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $30k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 9 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $90k; 18% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.22%
- DSCR
- 1.54
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $268,920
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11877 Smokey Trl | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 | 1,140 (+6%) | 16mo | $284,000 | $249 | 66 |
| 1351 N Betsie River Rd | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 1,120 (+4%) | 10mo | $235,000 | $210 | 61 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.07×
- Total profit
- $2,028
- Equity at exit
- $15,805
- IRR
- 11.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.89×
- Total profit
- $26,391
- Equity at exit
- $9,165
Cash invested: $29,680 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49643
- Home prices YoY
- -11.3%
- Active inventory
- 52
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,195 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$556
- Tax from tax record
- −$42 /mo · $499/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$251
- Net cashflow
- $302
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $362 | -5% $332 | +0% $302 | +5% $272 | +10% $242 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $208 | -5% $255 | +0% $302 | +5% $349 | +10% $397 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $356 | -0.5pp $329 | base $302 | +0.5pp $275 | +1.0pp $247 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,500
- Closing costs
- $3,180
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-16status $106,000 Pending 7 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $106,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $106,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $106,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-09remarks 695-char remark
-
2026-06-09$106,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $499 · $42/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,066 · $89/mo
- Expected delta
- +$567/yr (+$47/mo · 113.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,336
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,938
- − Property taxes
- −$499
- − Insurance
- −$530
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,147
- − Management
- −$1,147
- − Depreciation
- −$3,084
- Taxable income
- $1,992
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$478
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,148/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Benzie County Central Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2604950
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,158
- Composite
- 32.84/100
- National rank
- #5616
- State rank
- #234 of 540 in MI
Livability — Bendon
- Score
- 53/100
- State rank
- #680
- US rank
- #24665
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 7,486
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,486
Population outlook (Benzie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 17,179 people
- By 2030
- 16,774 · -2.4%
- By 2040
- 15,308 · -10.9%
- By 2050
- 13,594 · -20.9%
- By 2075
- 11,015 · -35.9%
- By 2100
- 8,181 · -52.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 8% Romanian 7% Lithuanian 5%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Benzie
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+8.7) · D 45.0% · R 53.7% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.1pp toward R · 2008: 7.4pp · 2024: -8.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+8.7 2020: R+9.1 2016: R+14.0 2012: R+3.9 2008: D+7.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -52.44%
- Current HPI
- 412.1836
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
||
Price history
+11.7% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Listed $106,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-06-07 Listed $106,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-04-18 Sold (Public Records) $89,999 Public Records
- 2016-04-11 Sold (MLS) $89,999 REALCOMP
- 2016-04-11 Sold (MLS) $89,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-01-30 Listed $89,999 REALCOMP
- 2016-01-30 Listed $89,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-01-18 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-01-18 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2015-11-10 Listed $89,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2015-11-10 Listed $89,999 REALCOMP
- 2009-11-10 Sold (MLS) $46,500 SW Michigan MLS
- 2009-08-04 Listed $52,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2008-12-31 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2008-05-27 Listed $69,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2006-07-13 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2006-01-30 Listed $94,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
-44.2%/yrLatest (2025): $499 · -78.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…