414 Willow St W · Detroit Lakes, MN 56501

$309,900

4 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,012 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 22 Days on market

Built 1950 8,276 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +24.7/30.0
• DSCR +8.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +6.0/10.0
• Schools +4.0/10.0
• Livability +4.0/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Enjoy the best of Detroit Lakes living in this 4 bed 2.5 bath home, located close to schools and just minutes from the beach. A solid fixer with room to add your personal touch, this home offers space, location and opportunity. Perfect for a family ready to make it their own or an investor. Bring your vision and unlock the potential.

Key facts

• Brand new kitchen
• New tile showers
• Updated countertops

Tags

• BRAND NEW KITCHEN
• UPDATED COUNTERTOPS
• MODERN FIXTURES
• NEW TILE SHOWERS
• DURABLE VINYL PLANK FLOORING
• NEW WINDOWS

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: Attached garage (1 car) with gravel drive; Garage approximately 16 x 22
• Utilities: City water connected; City sewer connected; Natural gas
• Home design: Residential property; One-and-a-half story; Above-grade finished living area about 1,538 square feet
• Construction: Frame construction; Asphalt roof; Block foundation (foundation area ~1,012)
• Exterior features: Front porch; Vinyl exterior; Storage shed; Lot approximately 0.19 acres (90 x 90)

Interior

• Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (one on main floor, one on upper level)
• Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No central air
• Interior features: Informal dining room; Full basement
• Laundry & utility: Laundry located on lower level

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $310k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $645 ($8k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $310k).
• Recommended offer: $305k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 5.2% in Detroit Lakes — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 80/100 on livability (#78 in MN, #1,847 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
• Detroit Lakes Public School District (town): math 44% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #155 of 301 in MN (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 301 active listings in the ZIP; 156 units permitted in Becker County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Becker County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($305k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 4 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• Current owner paid $185k; list at $310k implies a 68% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $305,251 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.10% ✓
• Cap rate: 8.79%
• Cash-on-cash: 8.93%
• DSCR: 1.40
• GRM: 7.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -2.8%
• Equity multiple: 0.89×
• Total profit: $-9,119
• Equity at exit: $46,207

10-year hold

• IRR: 6.9%
• Equity multiple: 1.52×
• Total profit: $44,957
• Equity at exit: $26,794

Cash invested: $86,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 46 Balanced
• State Minnesota: 46 Balanced · D+2
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 56501

• Active inventory: 301
• Price-to-rent: 7.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $3,406 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,625
• Tax from tax record: −$291 /mo · $3,492/yr
• Insurance: −$129
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$715
• Net cashflow: $645

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,589

Max offer price $309,900

Occupancy floor 76%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $77,475
• Closing costs: $9,297
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 25 events

1. 2026-06-18
   price $309,900 Active 22 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $329,900 Active 22 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $329,900 Active 21 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $329,900 Active 20 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $329,900 Active 19 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $329,900 Active 17 DOM
7. 2026-06-12
   days on market $329,900 Active 16 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $329,900 Active 13 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $329,900 Active 12 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $329,900 Active 11 DOM
11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $329,900 Active 10 DOM
12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $329,900 Active 7 DOM
13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $329,900 Active 6 DOM
14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $329,900 Active 5 DOM
15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $329,900 Active 4 DOM
16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $329,900 Active 3 DOM
17. 2026-05-27
    listed $329,900 Active
18. 2026-03-31
    soldstatus $185,000
19. 2026-03-20
    soldstatus $185,000 Sold 335-char remark

    Show marketing remark (335 chars)

    Enjoy the best of Detroit Lakes living in this 4 bed 2.5 bath home, located close to schools and just minutes from the beach. A solid fixer with room to add your personal touch, this home offers space, location and opportunity. Perfect for a family ready to make it their own or an investor. Bring your vision and unlock the potential.

20. 2026-01-19
    status Pending 335-char remark

    Show marketing remark (335 chars)

    Enjoy the best of Detroit Lakes living in this 4 bed 2.5 bath home, located close to schools and just minutes from the beach. A solid fixer with room to add your personal touch, this home offers space, location and opportunity. Perfect for a family ready to make it their own or an investor. Bring your vision and unlock the potential.

21. 2026-01-09
    listed $179,900 Active 335-char remark

    Show marketing remark (335 chars)

    Enjoy the best of Detroit Lakes living in this 4 bed 2.5 bath home, located close to schools and just minutes from the beach. A solid fixer with room to add your personal touch, this home offers space, location and opportunity. Perfect for a family ready to make it their own or an investor. Bring your vision and unlock the potential.

22. 2025-03-05
    status Active
23. 2025-01-03
    status Pending
24. 2024-12-24
    historical Contingent - Subject to Financing
25. 2024-12-09
    listed $195,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $3,492 · $291/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $3,492 · $291/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $40,871
• − Mortgage interest: −$17,359
• − Property taxes: −$3,492
• − Insurance: −$1,550
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$3,270
• − Management: −$3,270
• − Depreciation: −$9,015
• Taxable income: $2,916
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$700
• After-tax cash flow: $7,045/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Detroit Lakes Public School District
• NCES district ID: 2710230
• Math proficiency: 44% ▼ -11.00%
• Reading proficiency: 50% ▼ -11.00%
• Median HH income: $50,571
• Composite: 40.33/100
• National rank: #3746
• State rank: #155 of 301 in MN

Livability — Detroit Lakes

• Score: 80/100
• State rank: #78
• US rank: #1847

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime B+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Detroit Lakes, MN
• City population: 18,239
• Population (ZIP): 18,239

Population outlook (Becker County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 34,604 people
• By 2030: 35,095 · +1.4%
• By 2040: 35,691 · +3.1%
• By 2050: 35,869 · +3.7%
• By 2075: 36,103 · +4.3%
• By 2100: 32,798 · -5.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (91%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 91% Two or more races 5% Native American 2%
• Common ancestry: Portuguese 25% Scottish 4% Lithuanian 3%
• Foreign-born: 1% · Canada
• Languages at home: 98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Becker

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+33.1) · D 32.7% · R 65.8% · Other 1.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -26.3pp toward R · 2008: -6.9pp · 2024: -33.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+33.1 2020: R+30.1 2016: R+33.2 2012: R+14.6 2008: R+6.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -222.40%
• Current HPI: 217.4973
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.41%
• F500 in state: 34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	2	$407B
▸Retail	2	$150B
▸Consumer Goods	2	$32B
▸Industrial Machinery	2	$6B
▸Agriculture	1	$40B
▸Healthcare / Medical Devices	1	$32B

Price history

+69.2% since first listed

9 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-27 Listed $329,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-03-31 Sold (Public Records) $185,000 Public Records
• 2026-03-20 Sold (MLS) $185,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-01-19 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-01-09 Listed $179,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-03-05 Relisted — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-01-03 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2024-12-24 Contingent — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2024-12-09 Listed $195,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+12.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,492 · -1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.