1657 Trout Dr · DeFuniak Springs, FL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.5/30.0
- ARV discount +12.1/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.8/10.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$179,888
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome home to this NEW Single-Story Home in the Mossy Head Community! The desirable Lanier Plan boasts an open design encompassing the Living and Kitchen spaces. The Kitchen features gorgeous cabinets, quartz countertops, and Stainless-Steel Appliances (including Range with a Microwave hood and Dishwasher). The primary suite has a private bath and a walk-in closet. This Home also includes 2 more bedrooms and a secondary bathroom. Energy-efficient Low-E insulated dual-pane vinyl windows and a one-year limited warranty ensure comfort and peace of mind.
Key facts
- Quartz countertops
- Open design
- Mossy head community
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Financial details not provided
- HOA & community: Subdivision: Mossy Head
Exterior
- Parking: Parking details not provided
- Security: Security details not provided
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank; Electric water heater
- Home design: Ranch-style, single-story home; Entry level: First floor; Facing direction: Not specified
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Built in 2026
- Exterior features: Paved road access; Paved road surface; Lot dimensions approximately 129 x 50; Zoned for single-family residential
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms, master bedroom on the first floor
- Flooring: Vinyl; Carpet
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Electric heat control
- Interior features: Washer/Dryer hookup; Double pane windows
- Laundry & utility: Washer/Dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $172 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $179k (0.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $164k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 4.8% in DeFuniak Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#694 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D, amenities F.
- Walton (rural): math 62% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #10 of 73 in FL (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Mossy Head School (math 72% / reading 57%, grade B, #525 of 2,144 statewide, top 26%, 439 students, 86% FRL); Walton High School (math 52% / reading 53%, grade C-, #154 of 667 statewide, top 24%, 856 students, 65% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 48% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 422 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,883 units permitted in Walton County in 2024 (1,322 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $19k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Walton County population projected at +46% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 104 days — a 9% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 104 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.00% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.09%
- DSCR
- 1.18
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $200,520
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1623 Trout Dr | 0.01mi | 3/2.0 | 1,114 (0%) | 1mo | $179,888 | $161 | 99 |
| 1643 Trout Dr | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,114 (0%) | 11mo | $204,990 | $184 | 88 |
| 135 E Tiger Lily Ln | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,114 (0%) | 2mo | $179,888 | $161 | 78 |
| 556 Woodlands Blvd | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,114 (0%) | 0mo | $204,990 | $184 | 75 |
| 792 Girl Scout Rd | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,114 (0%) | 12mo | $192,990 | $173 | 68 |
| 196 woodlands Blvd | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (+8%) | 12mo | $225,000 | $188 | 64 |
| 166 W Honeysuckle St | 0.58mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,105 (-1%) | 4mo | $199,000 | $180 | 63 |
| 224 E Iris Ln | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,165 (+5%) | 1mo | $209,000 | $179 | 60 |
| 114 W May Lilly Ct | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 1,028 (-8%) | 5mo | $169,000 | $164 | 53 |
| 15 E Tiger Lily Ln | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,272 (+14%) | 12mo | $202,990 | $160 | 48 |
| 344 Marigold Ave | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (+8%) | 10mo | $229,000 | $191 | 46 |
| 153 E Honeysuckle St | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,254 (+13%) | 6mo | $262,900 | $210 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.16×
- Total profit
- $108,930
- Equity at exit
- $162,057
- IRR
- 23.8%
- Equity multiple
- 7.20×
- Total profit
- $312,238
- Equity at exit
- $349,483
Cash invested: $50,369 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32433
- Home prices YoY
- 4.2%
- Active inventory
- 422
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,791 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$943
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$225 /mo · $2,698/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$376
- Net cashflow
- $172
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,972
- Closing costs
- $5,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 135 Tiger Lily Ln Defuniak Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1114 | $1,795 | $1.61 | 13d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 71 Lafavre Ln Defuniak Springs, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 806 | $1,650 | $2.05 | 21d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 150 Hibiscus Ave Defuniak Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1256 | $1,950 | $1.55 | 21d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-05price $179,888
-
2026-04-28price $183,978
-
2026-04-21price $189,888
-
2026-03-31price $194,888
-
2026-02-12$205,990 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,491
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,077
- − Property taxes
- −$2,698
- − Insurance
- −$899
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,719
- − Management
- −$1,719
- − Depreciation
- −$5,233
- Taxable loss
- −$855
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$205
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,265/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Walton
- NCES district ID
- 1201980
- Math proficiency
- 62% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,794
- Composite
- 52.03/100
- National rank
- #1634
- State rank
- #10 of 73 in FL
Livability — DeFuniak Springs
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #694
- US rank
- #14475
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Walton County · 70,839 people
- City population
- 19,746
- Metro
- Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,746
- Household income
- $52,199
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 356.0
Population outlook (Walton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 80,014 people
- By 2030
- 88,120 · +10.1%
- By 2040
- 103,537 · +29.4%
- By 2050
- 117,034 · +46.3%
- By 2075
- 143,901 · +79.8%
- By 2100
- 155,138 · +93.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Black 10% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Walton
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+57.8) · D 20.7% · R 78.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.0pp toward R · 2008: -45.8pp · 2024: -57.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+57.8 2020: R+51.7 2016: R+56.1 2012: R+52.0 2008: R+45.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 14.77%
- Current HPI
- 367.046
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-12.7% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Price Changed $179,888 ECAR
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $183,978 ECAR
- 2026-04-21 Price Changed $189,888 ECAR
- 2026-03-31 Price Changed $194,888 ECAR
- 2026-02-12 Listed $205,990 ECAR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…