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1412 W 9th St
D- Composite 36.57
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.2/30.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$169,959

1412 W 9th St · Chester, PA 19013
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,112 sqft · Townhouse public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1930 1,742 sqft lot Est $119k · 43% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 1412 W. 9th Street, a beautifully updated brick row home offering charm, comfort, and modern upgrades throughout. Enjoy peaceful mornings on the inviting covered front porch, perfectly positioned on an elevated lot with a pleasant neighborhood view. Inside, a bright and spacious living room flows into a formal dining room, creating an ideal space for both everyday living and entertaining. The modern kitchen features sleek quartz countertops, stylish white cabinetry, and stainless steel appliances. Upstairs you'll find three comfortable bedrooms with brand-new carpeting and an updated full bathroom. A rear door off the kitchen leads to a private fenced backyard retreat. Relax bene

Key facts

  • Garage
  • Built 1930
  • Listed 6 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Ground rent paid annually

Exterior

  • Parking: Rear-entry garage; One garage space; On-street parking available; Parking garage access
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service available; Natural gas available
  • Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Fee simple ownership; Effective year of major remodel: 2026
  • Construction: Brick construction; Block and brick/mortar foundation; Asphalt architectural shingle roof; Above- and below-grade structures
  • Exterior features: Not located in a federal flood zone; Municipal trash service; Irrigation water rights

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Gas range/oven; Stainless steel appliances
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the first upper level
  • Flooring: Luxury vinyl plank; Carpet
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Living room; Dining room; Full basement; Two or more access exits
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in the basement; Electric hot water

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $170k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $89 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $157k (7.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $157k (7.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#540 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • Chester-Upland SD (suburban): math 4% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #533 of 539 in PA (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Toby Farms Intermediate School (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #506 of 512 statewide, top 99%, 299 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 81% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.9%/yr); 140 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 299 units permitted in Delaware County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,572/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($41k/yr) (locally 2668% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $157,167 (7.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.92%
Cap rate
6.92%
Cash-on-cash
2.24%
DSCR
1.10
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$118,984
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
606 Norris St 0.18mi 3/1.0 1,188 (+7%) 2mo $149,500 $126 77
920 Pennell St 0.21mi 3/1.0 1,042 (-6%) 5mo $55,000 $53 73
224 Pennell St 0.49mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,134 (+2%) 1mo $60,000 $53 66
1213 W 9th St 0.20mi 3/1.0 992 (-11%) 8mo $135,000 $136 64
610 W 8th St 0.62mi 3/1.0 1,104 (-1%) 5mo $49,900 $45 64
920 Butler St 0.51mi 3/1.0 1,024 (-8%) 3mo $143,100 $140 58
1027 Butler St 0.55mi 3/1.5 1,200 (+8%) 6mo $136,000 $113 56
2012 W 6th St 0.42mi 3/1.5 1,260 (+13%) 10mo $101,000 $80 50
612 W 8th St 0.62mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,188 (+7%) 7mo $47,000 $40 47
2314 W 3rd St 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,250 (+12%) 1mo $159,000 $127 43
715 Engle St 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,268 (+14%) 10mo $130,000 $103 43
803 W Mary St 0.63mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,256 (+13%) 4mo $135,000 $107 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.88% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.5%
Equity multiple
0.67×
Total profit
$-15,501
Equity at exit
$25,341
10-year hold
IRR
5.4%
Equity multiple
1.47×
Total profit
$22,164
Equity at exit
$14,695

Cash invested: $47,589 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 19013

Rents YoY
6.9%
Active inventory
140
Price-to-rent
9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,572 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax from tax record
$191 /mo · $2,289/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$330
Net cashflow
$89

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,459
Max offer price $169,959
Occupancy floor 89%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $185 -5% $137 +0% $89 +5% $41 +10% $-7
Rent -10% $-35 -5% $27 +0% $89 +5% $151 +10% $213
Rate -1.0pp $174 -0.5pp $132 base $89 +0.5pp $45 +1.0pp $0

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,490
Closing costs
$5,099
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 22 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
925 W 3rd St Chester, PA 4.0 1.0 1500 $1,700 $1.13 20d 1 0.51mi
1127 Ward St Chester, PA 2.0 1.0 800 $1,250 $1.56 9d 1 0.76mi
418 Penn St Chester, PA 3.0 1.0 1250 $1,350 $1.08 45d 1 0.94mi
425 Highland Ave Apt A Chester, PA 2.0 1.5 990 $1,000 $1.01 22d 1 0.94mi
1315 Harshaw Rd Brookhaven, PA 3.0 2.5 1260 $2,395 $1.90 0d 1 0.99mi
2832 W 6th St Unit 306 Chester, PA 3.0 1.0 1428 $1,500 $1.05 6d 1 1.00mi
1224 Elson Rd Brookhaven, PA 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,900 $1.58 19d 1 1.02mi
1425 Highland Ave Chester, PA 3.0 1.0 1212 $7,998 $6.60 0d 1 1.04mi
330 W 21st St Chester, PA 3.0 1.0 1152 $1,500 $1.30 45d 1 1.23mi
908 Keystone Rd Chester, PA 2.0 1.0 750 $1,200 $1.60 45d 1 1.23mi
906 Keystone Rd Unit 1 Chester, PA 2.0 1.0 800 $1,200 $1.50 26d 1 1.23mi
906 Keystone Rd Chester, PA 2.0 1.0 800 $1,200 $1.50 23d 1 1.23mi
3312 W 13th St Chester, PA 2.0 1.0 936 $1,499 $1.60 23d 1 1.24mi
1107-1115 Keystone Rd Chester, PA 2.0 1.0 700 $1,250 $1.79 45d 1 1.24mi
1006 Keystone Rd Unit 1 Chester, PA 2.0 1.0 750 $1,200 $1.60 0d 1 1.26mi
1006 Keystone Rd Chester, PA 2.0 1.0 750 $1,200 $1.60 26d 1 1.26mi
814 Upland St Chester, PA 3.0 1.0 1344 $1,525 $1.13 9d 1 1.43mi
125 W 21st St Chester, PA 4.0 1.5 1152 $1,850 $1.61 26d 1 1.44mi
280 Bridgewater Rd Brookhaven, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 775 $1,800 $2.32 26d 2 1.45mi
280 Bridgewater Rd Brookhaven, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 775 $1,695 $2.19 0d 2 1.45mi
25 W Parkway Ave Chester, PA 3.0 1.0 1324 $1,600 $1.21 7d 1 1.49mi
30 W Roland Rd Brookhaven, PA 3.0 1.0 1424 $1,695 $1.19 45d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $169,959 Active 7 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $169,959 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $169,959 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $169,959 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $169,959 Active 2 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    status $169,959 Active 1 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    remarks 699-char remark
  8. 2026-06-09
    listed $169,959 Coming Soon 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,289 · $191/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,487 · $207/mo
Expected delta
+$198/yr (+$17/mo · 8.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,860
− Mortgage interest
−$9,520
− Property taxes
−$2,289
− Insurance
−$850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,509
− Management
−$1,509
− Depreciation
−$4,944
Taxable loss
−$1,761
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$423
After-tax cash flow
$1,488/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Chester-Upland SD
NCES district ID
4205860
Math proficiency
4% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
17% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$29,790
Composite
8.05/100
National rank
#9918
State rank
#533 of 539 in PA

Livability — Chester

Score
73/100
State rank
#540
US rank
#5053

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Chester, PA
County
Delaware County · 399,863 people
City population
35,064
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Population (ZIP)
35,064
Household income
$41,261
Rent vs Own
61.0% rent · 39.0% own
Severe rent burden
2668.0

Population outlook (Delaware County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
577,490 people
By 2030
581,243 · +0.6%
By 2040
584,700 · +1.2%
By 2050
586,581 · +1.6%
By 2075
598,706 · +3.7%
By 2100
590,823 · +2.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (71%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 71% White 14% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Delaware

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.7) · D 61.4% · R 37.6% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
+2.3pp toward D · 2008: 21.4pp · 2024: 23.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.7 2020: D+26.7 2016: D+22.0 2012: D+21.8 2008: D+21.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -149.69%
Current HPI
219.5173
Rent YoY
▲ 6.88%
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+387.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Coming Soon $169,959 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2001-09-30 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2000-12-07 Listed $34,900 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+20.7%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,289 · +143.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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