CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
3443 Pennsylvania St
D+ Composite 45.91
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Appreciation +3.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.5/10.0

$19,000

3443 Pennsylvania St · Gary, IN 46409
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,249 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 13 Days on market
Built 1924 3,920 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This cute 2-bedroom house is a great fixer upper and mostly gutted. Needs repairs to roof and is being sold AS IS. Great potential for a flip or rental or primary residence. Handyman's special!

Key facts

  • 3,920 sq ft lot
  • Built 1924
  • Listed 13 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Tax assessed value available but excluded per instructions

Exterior

  • Parking: No parking information provided
  • Security: No security features listed
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service: Other
  • Home design: One-story; Built in 1924; Fixer condition
  • Construction: Has basement (unfinished)
  • Exterior features: Neighborhood view; Vacant

Interior

  • Kitchen: No appliances listed
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom; Second bedroom; Total rooms: 4 (includes living room and kitchen)
  • Flooring: Hardwood floors
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
  • Interior features: No interior amenities listed; Unfinished basement
  • Laundry & utility: No laundry appliances listed

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $19k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $917 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $19k).
  • Cap rate 64.2% vs local median 9.1% in Gary — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#105 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Gary Community School Corporation (urban): math 3% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #299 of 301 in IN (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 75 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $131 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $570 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.8% rent growth), your $5k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $19,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
6.94%
Cap rate
64.20%
Cash-on-cash
206.82%
DSCR
10.20
GRM
1.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$97,422
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3412 Delaware St 0.05mi 2/1.0 1,215 (-3%) 16mo $185,000 $152 80
3537 Virginia St 0.23mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,252 (+0%) 7mo $85,000 $68 78
3608 Virginia St 0.27mi 2/1.0 1,115 (-11%) 1mo $36,500 $33 69
3538 Maryland St 0.16mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,216 (-3%) 22mo $55,700 $46 63
3460 Delaware St 0.04mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,161 (-7%) 18mo $90,000 $78 63
3679 Monroe St 0.58mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,305 (+4%) 7mo $183,000 $140 53
3525 Delaware St 0.12mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,092 (-13%) 18mo $87,500 $80 51
3616 Delaware St 0.23mi 2/1.0 1,394 (+12%) 23mo $99,000 $71 51
3660 Washington St 0.39mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,144 (-8%) 16mo $90,000 $79 48
3804 Virginia St 0.49mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,295 (+4%) 23mo $14,200 $11 47
3886 Massachusetts St 0.57mi 2/3.0 1,155 (-8%) 13mo $15,000 $13 42
3863 Delaware St 0.53mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,296 (+4%) 23mo $149,000 $115 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.85% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
11.87×
Total profit
$57,833
Equity at exit
$2,833
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
26.61×
Total profit
$136,266
Equity at exit
$1,643

Cash invested: $5,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46409

Home prices YoY
-2.0%
Rents YoY
4.8%
Active inventory
75
Price-to-rent
1.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,318 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$100
Tax from tax record
$17 /mo · $198/yr
Insurance
$8
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$277
Net cashflow
$917

Break-even live

Break-even rent $157
Max offer price $19,000
Occupancy floor 25%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$4,750
Closing costs
$570
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 28 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3395 Pennsylvania St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,495 $1.15 1d 1 0.06mi
816 E 35th Ct Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 810 $1,075 $1.33 1d 1 0.36mi
801 E 32nd Ave Unit 2 Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 850 $1,300 $1.53 1d 1 0.42mi
3708 Harrison St Gary, IN 3.0 1.5 904 $1,400 $1.55 2d 1 0.78mi
3449 Buchanan St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1301 $1,395 $1.07 43d 1 0.98mi
4018 Tyler St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 880 $1,350 $1.53 1d 1 1.05mi
4208 Jackson St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1411 $1,350 $0.96 44d 1 1.12mi
3777 Lincoln St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 800 $1,150 $1.44 1d 1 1.12mi
4040 Fillmore St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,000 $1.00 10d 1 1.16mi
3788 Lincoln St Gary, IN 3.0 2.0 1398 $1,400 $1.00 10d 1 1.16mi
837 W 27th Ave Unit A Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 750 $1,150 $1.53 1d 1 1.17mi
837 W 27th Ave Unit B Gary, IN 1.0 1.0 750 $950 $1.27 1d 1 1.17mi
4430 Broadway Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,250 $1.04 1d 1 1.26mi
2572-76 Van Buren Pl Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 700 $1,025 $1.46 1d 1 1.26mi
2453 Prospect St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 704 $1,095 $1.56 1d 1 1.26mi
4170 Fillmore St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 720 $950 $1.32 19d 1 1.27mi
4456 Connecticut St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1044 $1,300 $1.25 3d 1 1.28mi
2425 Prospect St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1051 $1,400 $1.33 1d 1 1.30mi
4416 Vermont Ct Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1162 $1,350 $1.16 43d 1 1.33mi
624 W 44th Pl Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 836 $1,250 $1.50 7d 1 1.38mi
2336 Delaware St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 816 $1,100 $1.35 1d 1 1.39mi
2355 Rhode Island St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 701 $1,095 $1.56 43d 1 1.40mi
3820 Colbourne St Hobart, IN 3.0 2.0 1209 $1,695 $1.40 43d 1 1.40mi
2315 Industrial Blvd Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 989 $950 $0.96 1d 1 1.43mi
2315 Industrial Blvd Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 989 $950 $0.96 4d 1 1.43mi
2315 Industrial Blvd Unit B Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 989 $1,150 $1.16 1d 1 1.43mi
2300 Maryland St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 900 $1,000 $1.11 19d 1 1.43mi
2306 Vermont St Gary, IN 3.0 1.5 1200 $1,300 $1.08 1d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $19,000 Active 13 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $19,000 Active 12 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $19,000 Active 11 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $19,000 Active 10 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $19,000 Active 8 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $19,000 Active 7 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $19,000 Active 4 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $19,000 Active 3 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    remarks 193-char remark
  10. 2026-06-07
    listed $19,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$198 · $17/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$198 · $17/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,812
− Mortgage interest
−$1,064
− Property taxes
−$198
− Insurance
−$95
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,265
− Management
−$1,265
− Depreciation
−$553
Taxable income
$11,372
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,729
After-tax cash flow
$8,274/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gary Community School Corporation
NCES district ID
1803870
Math proficiency
3% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
11% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$27,739
Composite
4.98/100
National rank
#10039
State rank
#299 of 301 in IN

Livability — Gary

Score
73/100
State rank
#105
US rank
#5592

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Gary, IN
County
Lake County · 422,878 people
City population
63,701
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
7,184
Household income
$44,667
Rent vs Own
55.5% rent · 44.5% own
Severe rent burden
516.0

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
484,026 people
By 2030
478,091 · -1.2%
By 2040
462,974 · -4.3%
By 2050
449,894 · -7.1%
By 2075
436,169 · -9.9%
By 2100
426,607 · -11.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (68%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 68% Two or more races 17% Hispanic / Latino 14% White 11%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Iranian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -3.91%
Current HPI
190.6724
Rent YoY
▲ 4.85%
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-66.4% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $19,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-02-13 Listed $56,500 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-17.4%/yr

Latest (2024): $198 · -3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…