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306 S Alkire St
D Composite 43.32
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +7.4/10.0
  • DSCR +3.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0

$119,900

306 S Alkire St · Greenview, IL 62642
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,120 sqft · Other public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1920 10,018 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

* * * COMING SOON * * * Completely renovated from the studs and move-in ready! This charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers peace of mind with extensive updates including new HVAC, roof, insulation, plumbing, electrical, windows, and more. The foundation was excavated and professionally sealed from the exterior as part of the renovation process. Inside, you'll find beautiful cherry hardwood flooring throughout the main level, a brand-new kitchen featuring white cabinetry, updated lighting and ceiling fans, ample closet space, and a fresh, modern feel throughout. The unfinished basement provides excellent storage potential. Enjoy relaxing on the front deck overlooking the corner lot, whi

Key facts

  • New plumbing
  • New hvac
  • New electrical

Tags

RENOVATED FROM THE STUDSNEW HVACNEW ROOFNEW INSULATIONNEW PLUMBINGNEW ELECTRICAL

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water and septic system
  • Home design: Single-family home; Originally built in 1920
  • Construction: Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Corner, level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level; each about 10' x 10')
  • Flooring: Hardwood flooring in main living areas and bedrooms; Other flooring in basement laundry
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Full unfinished basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room in basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-27 ($-325/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $115k (4.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $99k (17.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $99k (17.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,071 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B; Watch: employment D+, crime D-, amenities F.
  • Greenview CUSD 200 (rural): math 15% / reading 10% proficiency, ranked #790 of 919 in IL (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Greenview Elementary School (math 44% / reading 24%, grade F, #517 of 2,056 statewide, top 28%, 104 students, 0% FRL); Greenview Jr/Sr High School (math 5% / reading 5%, grade F, #614 of 693 statewide, top 95%, 107 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 35% district-wide (35 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 9 units permitted in Menard County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($829 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (4.7% local appreciation)).
  • Menard County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (4.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $7k; list at $120k implies a 1613% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $99,064 (17.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.83%
Cap rate
6.02%
Cash-on-cash
-0.97%
DSCR
0.96
GRM
10.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.73% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.4%
Equity multiple
1.72×
Total profit
$24,077
Equity at exit
$65,992
10-year hold
IRR
12.7%
Equity multiple
3.24×
Total profit
$75,202
Equity at exit
$112,310

Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62642

Home prices YoY
3.9%
Active inventory
3
Price-to-rent
10.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$991 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$131 /mo · $1,571/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$208
Net cashflow
$-27

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,025
Max offer price $115,117
Occupancy floor 98%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $41 -5% $7 +0% $-27 +5% $-61 +10% $-95
Rent -10% $-105 -5% $-66 +0% $-27 +5% $12 +10% $51
Rate -1.0pp $33 -0.5pp $3 base $-27 +0.5pp $-58 +1.0pp $-90

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,975
Closing costs
$3,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $119,900 Coming Soon 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $119,900 Coming Soon 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    remarks 699-char remark
  4. 2026-06-18
    listed $119,900 Coming Soon 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,571 · $131/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,147 · $179/mo
Expected delta
+$575/yr (+$48/mo · 36.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,888
− Mortgage interest
−$6,716
− Property taxes
−$1,571
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$951
− Management
−$951
− Depreciation
−$3,488
Taxable loss
−$2,390
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$573
After-tax cash flow
$249/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Greenview CUSD 200
NCES district ID
1717700
Math proficiency
15% ▲ 5.00%
Reading proficiency
10% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$58,776
Composite
16.09/100
National rank
#14289
State rank
#790 of 919 in IL

Livability — Greenview

Score
59/100
State rank
#1071
US rank
#20466

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment D+ Housing B Health & safety F User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Greenview, IL
Population (ZIP)
1,381

Population outlook (Menard County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
11,894 people
By 2030
11,493 · -3.4%
By 2040
10,675 · -10.2%
By 2050
9,861 · -17.1%
By 2075
8,334 · -29.9%
By 2100
6,799 · -42.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (98%)
Race & ethnicity
White 98% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Romanian 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
0%

Political lean MEDSL · Menard

2024 margin
Solid R (+41.5) · D 28.6% · R 70.0% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-26.6pp toward R · 2008: -14.9pp · 2024: -41.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+41.5 2020: R+39.4 2016: R+37.7 2012: R+30.1 2008: R+14.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.73%
Current HPI
125.3063
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1612.9% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-18 Coming Soon $119,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-12-11 Sold (Public Records) $7,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+9.1%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,571 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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