27 Indco Ln · Batesville, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.0/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Fixer upper on right under 1 acre. Needs a roof, a couple spots in the floor leveled, and some other odds and ends. New pex water supply lines throughout. As is won& apos; t qualify for traditional loan.
Key facts
- Built 1994
- Listed 37 days
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $89k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $284 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $89k).
- Recommended offer: $86k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 4.3% in Batesville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#33 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D+, schools D.
- Batesville School District (rural): math 36% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #104 of 238 in AR (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 176 active listings in the ZIP; 33 units permitted in Independence County in 2024 (24 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $25k; list at $89k implies a 256% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.67%
- DSCR
- 1.61
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $155,184
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33 Stacey Dr | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,553 (+6%) | 8mo | $131,900 | $85 | 62 |
| 111 Stacey Dr | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,429 (-2%) | 9mo | $180,000 | $126 | 59 |
| 34 Pearl | 0.36mi | 2/2.0 | 1,364 (-7%) | 13mo | $145,000 | $106 | 57 |
| 65 Kyle St | 0.25mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,410 (-4%) | 24mo | $169,000 | $120 | 55 |
| 208 Violet St | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,376 (-6%) | 7mo | $157,000 | $114 | 50 |
| 122 Stacey Dr | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,560 (+7%) | 13mo | $160,000 | $103 | 46 |
| 20 Mallory St | 0.70mi | 2/2.0 | 1,393 (-5%) | 23mo | $125,000 | $90 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.15×
- Total profit
- $3,646
- Equity at exit
- $13,270
- IRR
- 13.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.06×
- Total profit
- $26,386
- Equity at exit
- $7,695
Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72501
- Home prices YoY
- -16.3%
- Active inventory
- 176
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,065 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$467
- Tax from tax record
- −$54 /mo · $643/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$224
- Net cashflow
- $284
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,250
- Closing costs
- $2,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $89,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $89,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $89,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $89,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $89,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-13price $89,000 196-char remark
-
2026-05-12$99,000 Active 196-char remark
-
2026-02-10soldstatus $25,000
-
2016-05-25soldstatus $39,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $643 · $54/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $643 · $54/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,781
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,985
- − Property taxes
- −$643
- − Insurance
- −$445
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,022
- − Management
- −$1,022
- − Depreciation
- −$2,589
- Taxable income
- $2,073
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$498
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,910/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Batesville School District
- NCES district ID
- 0500019
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,304
- Composite
- 30.79/100
- National rank
- #6147
- State rank
- #104 of 238 in AR
Livability — Batesville
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #33
- US rank
- #6274
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Independence County · 26,218 people
- City population
- 26,218
- Metro
- Batesville, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,218
- Household income
- $52,829
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 553.0
Population outlook (Independence County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 37,748 people
- By 2030
- 37,962 · +0.6%
- By 2040
- 38,151 · +1.1%
- By 2050
- 37,980 · +0.6%
- By 2075
- 36,622 · -3.0%
- By 2100
- 32,741 · -13.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 8% Black 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Independence
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+59.5) · D 19.2% · R 78.7% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.3pp toward R · 2008: -37.1pp · 2024: -59.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+59.5 2020: R+58.2 2016: R+52.4 2012: R+44.0 2008: R+37.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -40.19%
- Current HPI
- 206.3787
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Batesville, AR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+128.2% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $89,000 FSBO.com
- 2026-05-12 Listed $99,000 FSBO.com
- 2026-02-10 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
- 2016-05-25 Sold (Public Records) $39,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+15.4%/yrLatest (2025): $643 · +8.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…