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304 E 4th St
C+ Composite 60.03
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.1/30.0
  • 1% rule +8.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +7.1/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$69,999

304 E 4th St · East Brady, PA 16028
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 900 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 22 Days on market
Built 1953 0.40 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming two-story home located in the heart of Oil City offering timeless character and everyday convenience! This 3-bedroom, 1-bath residence features spacious rooms, abundant natural light, and a functional layout perfect for comfortable living. Enjoy a large backyard, and rear deck ideal for relaxing or entertaining. Conveniently situated near downtown shopping, dining, schools, and local parks. Whether you're looking for a primary residence or investment opportunity, this property offers great potential at an affordable price. Sold AS-IS.

Key facts

  • Large backyard
  • Downtown shopping
  • Two story home

Tags

TWO STORY HOMELARGE BACKYARDREAR DECKDOWNTOWN SHOPPINGLOCAL PARKS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; Total of 3 parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Two stories; Resale property
  • Construction: Frame construction; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Public water; Public sewer

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Stove; Some gas appliances
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (two located on the upper level; third bedroom on the upper level)
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Gas heating
  • Interior features: Basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $112 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($968 rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $69k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#1,240 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Karns City Area SD (rural): math 33% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #322 of 539 in PA (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 25 units permitted in Clarion County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Clarion County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($69k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $16k; list at $70k implies a 337% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.4% of price; built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $68,949 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.38%
Cap rate
8.22%
Cash-on-cash
6.89%
DSCR
1.31
GRM
6.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.6%
Equity multiple
0.79×
Total profit
$-4,061
Equity at exit
$10,437
10-year hold
IRR
4.3%
Equity multiple
1.31×
Total profit
$6,167
Equity at exit
$6,052

Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 16028

Home prices YoY
-1.9%
Active inventory
10
Price-to-rent
6.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$968 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$256 /mo · $3,068/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$203
Net cashflow
$112

Break-even live

Break-even rent $825
Max offer price $69,999
Occupancy floor 83%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,500
Closing costs
$2,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $69,999 Active 22 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $69,999 Active 21 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $69,999 Active 20 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $69,999 Active 19 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $69,999 Active 17 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $69,999 Active 16 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $69,999 Active 13 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $69,999 Active 12 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $69,999 Active 11 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    remarks 549-char remark
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $69,999 Active 10 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $69,999 Active 7 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $69,999 Active 6 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $69,999 Active 5 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $69,999 Active 4 DOM
  16. 2026-05-27
    listed $69,999 Active
  17. 2017-02-24
    soldstatus $16,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,068 · $256/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,068 · $256/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,612
− Mortgage interest
−$3,921
− Property taxes
−$3,068
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$929
− Management
−$929
− Depreciation
−$2,036
Taxable income
$378
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$91
After-tax cash flow
$1,259/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Karns City Area SD
NCES district ID
4209600
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -17.00%
Median HH income
$48,988
Composite
35.99/100
National rank
#4792
State rank
#322 of 539 in PA

Livability — East Brady

Score
64/100
State rank
#1240
US rank
#14847

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
East Brady, PA
Population (ZIP)
2,053

Population outlook (Clarion County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
37,796 people
By 2030
36,830 · -2.6%
By 2040
34,113 · -9.7%
By 2050
31,092 · -17.7%
By 2075
24,200 · -36.0%
By 2100
18,737 · -50.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 7%
Common ancestry
Serbian 3% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
1%

Political lean MEDSL · Clarion

2024 margin
Solid R (+53.1) · D 23.1% · R 76.2%
2008→2024 swing
-30.7pp toward R · 2008: -22.4pp · 2024: -53.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+53.1 2020: R+50.8 2016: R+47.4 2012: R+36.1 2008: R+22.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -4.47%
Current HPI
231.9446
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+337.5% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Listed $69,999 West Penn MLS
  • 2017-02-24 Sold (Public Records) $16,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+19.9%/yr

Latest (2026): $3,068 · +662.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…