2470 480th St · Sioux Rapids, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +7.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.9/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$66,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This spacious 3 bedroom home has soo much to offer!! Two sided fireplace between family room and huge dining area, oversized kitchen with all the cabinets and countertops you've dreamed of. Master suite with fireplace, built-ins, walk-in closet, and large bath room. Additional full bath , two additional bedrooms, laundry room with storage room finish it off inside. Oversized attached garage has work bench for those projects you might finish someday. You'll love the country views on just under an acre of land, on hard surfaced road, and rural water. Some clean-up and minor updates are probably in order, but the instant equity here covers that in a heartbeat!! Call today on this bargain!!
Key facts
- Master suite
- Two sided fireplace
- Walk-in closet
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $66k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $515 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $66k).
- Recommended offer: $65k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#419 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools B+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
- Sioux Central Community School District (rural): math 68% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #143 of 289 in IA (top 50%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 11 units permitted in Clay County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($460 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (5.1% local appreciation)).
- Clay County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (5.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($65k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.88% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 33.19%
- DSCR
- 2.48
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.11% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 42.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.61×
- Total profit
- $48,556
- Equity at exit
- $38,112
- IRR
- 40.2%
- Equity multiple
- 7.35×
- Total profit
- $118,308
- Equity at exit
- $66,132
Cash invested: $18,620 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 51366
- Home prices YoY
- 4.2%
- Active inventory
- 2
- Price-to-rent
- 4.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,251 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$349
- Tax from tax record
- −$97 /mo · $1,164/yr
- Insurance
- −$28
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$263
- Net cashflow
- $515
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $553 | -5% $534 | +0% $515 | +5% $496 | +10% $477 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $416 | -5% $466 | +0% $515 | +5% $564 | +10% $614 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $548 | -0.5pp $532 | base $515 | +0.5pp $498 | +1.0pp $480 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,625
- Closing costs
- $1,995
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $66,500 Active Under Contract 51 DOM
-
2026-06-21statusdays on market $66,500 Active Under Contract 50 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $66,500 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $66,500 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $66,500 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $66,500 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $66,500 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-12statusdays on market $66,500 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $66,500 Active Under Contract 39 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $66,500 Active Under Contract 38 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $66,500 Active Under Contract 37 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $66,500 Active Under Contract 36 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $66,500 Active Under Contract 33 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $66,500 Active Under Contract 32 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $66,500 Active Under Contract 31 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $66,500 Active Under Contract 30 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $66,500 Active Under Contract 29 DOM
-
2026-05-18historical Active Under Contract 695-char remark
Show marketing remark (695 chars)
This spacious 3 bedroom home has soo much to offer!! Two sided fireplace between family room and huge dining area, oversized kitchen with all the cabinets and countertops you've dreamed of. Master suite with fireplace, built-ins, walk-in closet, and large bath room. Additional full bath , two additional bedrooms, laundry room with storage room finish it off inside. Oversized attached garage has work bench for those projects you might finish someday. You'll love the country views on just under an acre of land, on hard surfaced road, and rural water. Some clean-up and minor updates are probably in order, but the instant equity here covers that in a heartbeat!! Call today on this bargain!!
-
2026-05-01$66,500 Active 695-char remark
Show marketing remark (695 chars)
This spacious 3 bedroom home has soo much to offer!! Two sided fireplace between family room and huge dining area, oversized kitchen with all the cabinets and countertops you've dreamed of. Master suite with fireplace, built-ins, walk-in closet, and large bath room. Additional full bath , two additional bedrooms, laundry room with storage room finish it off inside. Oversized attached garage has work bench for those projects you might finish someday. You'll love the country views on just under an acre of land, on hard surfaced road, and rural water. Some clean-up and minor updates are probably in order, but the instant equity here covers that in a heartbeat!! Call today on this bargain!!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,164 · $97/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,164 · $97/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,014
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,725
- − Property taxes
- −$1,164
- − Insurance
- −$332
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,201
- − Management
- −$1,201
- − Depreciation
- −$1,935
- Taxable income
- $5,456
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,309
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,870/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sioux Central Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1900023
- Math proficiency
- 68% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 73% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,122
- Composite
- 59.49/100
- National rank
- #922
- State rank
- #143 of 289 in IA
Livability — Sioux Rapids
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #419
- US rank
- #9052
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 335
Population outlook (Clay County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 16,277 people
- By 2030
- 16,073 · -1.3%
- By 2040
- 15,638 · -3.9%
- By 2050
- 15,315 · -5.9%
- By 2075
- 15,026 · -7.7%
- By 2100
- 14,638 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (99%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 99%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 8% Scottish 7% Portuguese 5%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Clay
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.2) · D 27.8% · R 71.0% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -38.1pp toward R · 2008: -5.1pp · 2024: -43.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.2 2020: R+38.7 2016: R+42.4 2012: R+18.7 2008: R+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.11%
- Current HPI
- 126.2555
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Contingent — IAR
- 2026-05-01 Listed $66,500 IAR
Property tax history
+8.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,164 · -25.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…