1911 Hall St · Owensboro, KY
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.6/30.0
- ARV discount +14.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this 3-bedroom home, centrally located, on a large corner lot with a detached 2 car garage & only 4 years on HVAC! Great rental investment, current tenants are on a month-to-month lease. Cash buyers only.
Key facts
- 4 years on hvac
- Corner lot
- Detached garage
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available
- Home design: Single-family residence; 1 story; Level lot; Subdivision: EAST
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition roof; Built area above grade: 1,025
- Exterior features: Patio; Porch; Storage
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Carpet
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Range; Refrigerator; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $308 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $113k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 3.1% in Owensboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#148 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: employment D+, crime D-, amenities F.
- Owensboro Independent (urban): math 27% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #100 of 165 in KY (top 61%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Estes Elementary School (math 20% / reading 27%, grade F, #515 of 676 statewide, top 77%, 444 students, 85% FRL); Owensboro Middle School (math 25% / reading 34%, grade F, #151 of 217 statewide, top 71%, 807 students, 74% FRL); Owensboro High School (math 30% / reading 40%, grade F, #74 of 254 statewide, top 29%, 1,334 students, 58% FRL).
- Market conditions: 360 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 226 units permitted in Daviess County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Daviess County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1895 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1895 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.49%
- DSCR
- 1.51
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $134,300
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 804 E 20th St | 0.27mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 846 (-0%) | 1mo | $170,000 | $201 | 81 |
| 2028 Hall St | 0.09mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 932 (+10%) | 8mo | $30,000 | $32 | 68 |
| 2422 Boliver St | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 840 (-1%) | 0mo | $198,000 | $236 | 67 |
| 1014 E 19th St | 0.12mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 966 (+14%) | 4mo | $152,500 | $158 | 64 |
| 512 E 26th St | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 832 (-2%) | 4mo | $118,000 | $142 | 59 |
| 1005 Jackson St | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 812 (-4%) | 0mo | $125,000 | $154 | 58 |
| 2601 W Victory Ct | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 792 (-7%) | 3mo | $119,000 | $150 | 57 |
| 530 E 27th St | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 825 (-3%) | 3mo | $145,000 | $176 | 55 |
| 520 E 27th St | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 825 (-3%) | 3mo | $145,000 | $176 | 54 |
| 1405 Jackson St | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 930 (+9%) | 7mo | $123,000 | $132 | 54 |
| 816 E 15th St | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 972 (+14%) | 3mo | $73,500 | $76 | 49 |
| 203 E 24th St | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 928 (+9%) | 8mo | $160,000 | $172 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.03×
- Total profit
- $948
- Equity at exit
- $17,147
- IRR
- 10.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.80×
- Total profit
- $25,883
- Equity at exit
- $9,943
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 42303
- Home prices YoY
- -29.1%
- Active inventory
- 360
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,241 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$21 /mo · $250/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$261
- Net cashflow
- $308
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1302 Daviess St Owensboro, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,200 | $1.19 | 21d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 636 W Highland Ave Owensboro, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $1,250 | $1.36 | 21d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 405 Legion Blvd W Unit C39 Owensboro, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 805 | $875 | $1.09 | 43d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 725 Scherm Rd Unit B8 Owensboro, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $795 | $0.91 | 43d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-09status $115,000 Pending 20 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $115,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $115,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $115,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $115,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $115,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $115,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $115,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-19$115,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $250 · $21/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $989 · $82/mo
- Expected delta
- +$739/yr (+$62/mo · 295.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,889
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$250
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,191
- − Management
- −$1,191
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable income
- $1,894
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$455
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,246/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Owensboro Independent
- NCES district ID
- 2104590
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,020
- Composite
- 25.79/100
- National rank
- #7364
- State rank
- #100 of 165 in KY
Livability — Owensboro
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #148
- US rank
- #7153
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Owensboro, KY
- County
- Daviess County · 87,564 people
- City population
- 87,564
- Metro
- Owensboro, KY
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,119
- Household income
- $64,773
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 983.0
Population outlook (Daviess County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 103,810 people
- By 2030
- 105,722 · +1.8%
- By 2040
- 108,731 · +4.7%
- By 2050
- 110,295 · +6.2%
- By 2075
- 113,056 · +8.9%
- By 2100
- 106,257 · +2.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5% Black 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Daviess
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.9) · D 33.3% · R 65.2% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.8pp toward R · 2008: -10.1pp · 2024: -31.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.9 2020: R+27.9 2016: R+32.2 2012: R+21.1 2008: R+10.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -89.55%
- Current HPI
- 217.7128
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Owensboro, KY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Listed $115,000 GORAMLS
Property tax history
+15.8%/yrLatest (2025): $250 · +48.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…