5549 E Beech St · Farmington, NM 87402

$188,000

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,030 sqft · Townhouse public records · 3 Days on market

Built 1979 3,485 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +28.3/30.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +6.9/10.0
• Livability +3.3/5.0
• Schools +3.2/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Picture perfect move-in ready town home in Foothills. Enjoy the fireplace in the large living room. Located in a quiet low traffic area just down the Street from Foothills Park, close to schools and shopping. A must-see home. See private remarks.

Key facts

• Foothills park
• Garage
• Built 1979

Tags

• QUIET LOW TRAFFIC STREET
• FOOTHILLS PARK
• WOOD BURNING FIREPLACE

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: Attached garage (1 space)
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
• Home design: Townhouse; One level; House structure
• Construction: Wood siding construction
• Exterior features: Deck; Wood fencing; Lot in residential subdivision

Interior

• Kitchen: Gas range; Refrigerator; Appliances include dishwasher-equivalent not listed — primary listed kitchen appliances: Gas range, Refrigerator
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
• Interior features: Living room fireplace (1); Washer and dryer; Gas range; Refrigerator
• Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $188k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $604 ($7k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $188k).

Location & tenants

• Location reads 66/100 on livability (#38 in NM) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, commute F.
• Farmington Municipal Schools (urban): math 23% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #23 of 95 in NM (top 24%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Country Club Elementary (525 students, 29% FRL); Heights Middle School (718 students, 44% FRL); Piedra Vista High (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #68 of 110 statewide, top 62%, 1,578 students, 47% FRL).
• Market conditions: 89 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 78 units permitted in San Juan County in 2024 (8 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• San Juan County population projected at -51% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Recommended offer $188,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.19% ✓
• Cap rate: 10.15%
• Cash-on-cash: 13.78%
• DSCR: 1.61
• GRM: 7.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 3.9%
• Equity multiple: 1.15×
• Total profit: $7,986
• Equity at exit: $28,031

10-year hold

• IRR: 13.4%
• Equity multiple: 2.07×
• Total profit: $56,332
• Equity at exit: $16,255

Cash invested: $52,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
• State New Mexico: 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice but with cure rights; relocation assistance in some cities.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 87402

• Active inventory: 89
• Price-to-rent: 7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,242 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$986
• Tax from tax record: −$103 /mo · $1,233/yr
• Insurance: −$78
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$471
• Net cashflow: $604

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,477

Max offer price $188,000

Occupancy floor 68%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $47,000
• Closing costs: $5,640
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 2 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
5542 Cypress St Farmington, NM	3.0	2.0	1276	$2,400	$1.88	43d	1	0.04mi
5200 Villa View Dr Unit 16C Farmington, NM	2.0	2.5	1272	$1,600	$1.26	43d	1	0.41mi

Listing history 4 events

1. 2026-06-09
   status $188,000 Pending 3 DOM
2. 2026-06-08
   days on market $188,000 Active 3 DOM
3. 2026-06-07
   remarks 510-char remark
4. 2026-06-07
   listed $188,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NM · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,233 · $103/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,504 · $125/mo
• Expected delta: +$271/yr (+$23/mo · 22.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $26,907
• − Mortgage interest: −$10,531
• − Property taxes: −$1,233
• − Insurance: −$940
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,153
• − Management: −$2,153
• − Depreciation: −$5,469
• Taxable income: $4,429
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,063
• After-tax cash flow: $6,190/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Farmington Municipal Schools
• NCES district ID: 3500990
• Math proficiency: 23% —
• Reading proficiency: 43% —
• Median HH income: $51,365
• Composite: 31.5/100
• National rank: #11178
• State rank: #23 of 95 in NM

Livability — Farmington

• Score: 66/100
• State rank: #38
• US rank: #11926

Category grades

Amenities C Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Farmington, NM
• City population: 45,229
• Population (ZIP): 10,997

Population outlook (San Juan County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 95,201 people
• By 2030: 84,154 · -11.6%
• By 2040: 63,810 · -33.0%
• By 2050: 46,929 · -50.7%
• By 2075: 21,097 · -77.8%
• By 2100: 9,410 · -90.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
• Race & ethnicity: White 54% Hispanic / Latino 24% Native American 17% Two or more races 15%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 12%
• Common ancestry: Italian 3% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada
• Languages at home: 87% English-only · Spanish 7% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · San Juan

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+31.7) · D 33.0% · R 64.7% · Other 2.3%
• 2008→2024 swing: -10.6pp toward R · 2008: -21.2pp · 2024: -31.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+31.7 2020: R+28.3 2016: R+33.1 2012: R+28.5 2008: R+21.2

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -117.39%
• Current HPI: 207.275
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: —
• F500 in state: 0

Price history

+18.2% since first listed

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-05 Listed $188,000 SJCMLS
• 2022-05-31 Sold (MLS) — SJCMLS
• 2022-05-13 Listed $159,000 SJCMLS

Property tax history

+3.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,233 · -1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.