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B Composite 72.04
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.8/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.8/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0

$120,000

1709 Washington Ave · St. Louis, MO 63103
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,767 sqft · SingleFamily · 1 Days on market
Built 1912

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

HUGE and Gorgeous corner unit on the 5th floor with 12 ft ceilings, maple floors, and room to add walls for a second and 3rd bedroom if wanted. Seller is moving 5 hours away for work and is willing to discuss owner- finance with 6% down and 5.9 interest. Appliances are functional but need updating.

Key facts

  • Built 1912

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Living area approximately 1,767 total square feet

Exterior

  • Home design: Built in 1912; Two-story (implied by year and historic neighborhood)
  • Construction: Historic construction (originally built 1912)
  • Exterior features: Located in the Downtown West subdivision

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $442 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
  • Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 5.0% in St. Louis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • St. Louis City (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #312 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.2%/yr); 70 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 294 units permitted in St. Louis city in 2024 (227 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,610/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($41k/yr) (locally 960% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($830 loan paydown + $797 appreciation (0.7% local appreciation)).
  • St. Louis County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (0.7% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 10 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1912 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $120,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1912 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.34%
Cap rate
10.72%
Cash-on-cash
15.79%
DSCR
1.70
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.66% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.0%
Equity multiple
2.10×
Total profit
$36,984
Equity at exit
$38,884
10-year hold
IRR
27.5%
Equity multiple
4.79×
Total profit
$127,446
Equity at exit
$50,100

Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63103

Home prices YoY
0.6%
Rents YoY
9.2%
Active inventory
70
Price-to-rent
6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,610 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax est. 1.5%
$150 /mo · $1,800/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$338
Net cashflow
$442

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,050
Max offer price $120,000
Occupancy floor 68%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,000
Closing costs
$3,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 31 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1635 Washington Ave Saint Louis, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0 1135 $1,395 $1.23 3d 4 0.05mi
1627 Washington Ave Unit 202 St. Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1450 $1,625 $1.12 44d 1 0.07mi
1627 Washington Ave Apt 503 St. Louis, MO 2.0 2.0 1400 $1,750 $1.25 44d 1 0.07mi
1611 Locust St Saint Louis, MO 2.0 2.0 2062 $2,100 $1.02 12d 1 0.08mi
1717 Olive St Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0–2.0 957 $2,200 $2.30 1d 64 0.12mi
1901 Washington Ave Saint Louis, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1076 $1,250 $1.16 4d 38 0.14mi
1324 Washington Ave St. Louis, MO 2.0 2.0 1789 $1,962 $1.10 1d 1 0.26mi
2034 Lucas Ave St. Louis, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0 1080 $1,365 $1.26 44d 1 0.29mi
1307 Washington Ave St. Louis, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0 1261 $1,125 $0.89 7d 17 0.30mi
703 N 13th St St. Louis, MO 2.0 2.0 2516 $2,990 $1.19 44d 1 0.36mi
1226 Olive St St. Louis, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1157 $1,449 $1.25 2d 2 0.36mi
1209 Washington Ave Saint Louis, MO 1.0–2.0 1.5–2.0 1483 $1,490 $1.00 1d 22 0.37mi
2206 Lucas Ave St. Louis, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1047 $1,250 $1.19 1d 20 0.39mi
300 N Tucker Blvd St. Louis, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1013 $1,200 $1.18 1d 10 0.43mi
1110 Washington Ave Saint Louis, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1006 $995 $0.99 2d 19 0.48mi
2323 Locust ST #308 St Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1386 $1,750 $1.26 23d 1 0.51mi
2323 Locust St Saint Louis, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0 1239 $1,250 $1.01 44d 2 0.51mi
1014 Locust St Saint Louis, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1110 $1,430 $1.29 1d 2 0.53mi
1000 Washington Ave Saint Louis, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 959 $1,200 $1.25 1d 24 0.53mi
1006 Olive St Unit 702 St. Louis, MO 2.0 2.0 1400 $1,600 $1.14 44d 1 0.55mi
2647 Locust St St. Louis, MO 1.0 1.5 2168 $2,950 $1.36 44d 1 0.62mi
800 Olive St Saint Louis, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1063 $998 $0.94 1d 26 0.69mi
1023 Spruce St St. Louis, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 957 $1,075 $1.12 2d 17 0.70mi
720 Olive St St. Louis, MO 3.0 1.0–2.0 1778 $2,447 $1.38 1d 15 0.72mi
515 Olive St Saint Louis, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.5 1117 $1,285 $1.15 1d 26 0.84mi
511 Olive St Saint Louis, MO 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 2053 $2,400 $1.17 44d 9 0.87mi
555 N 4th St St. Louis, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 1180 $1,165 $0.99 44d 12 0.93mi
400 N 4th St Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0–2.0 1162 $1,997 $1.72 1d 1 0.99mi
3041 Locust St St. Louis, MO 2.0 2.0 1243 $2,072 $1.67 44d 1 1.06mi
2300 Lasalle St Saint Louis, MO 2.0 2.5 1900 $2,900 $1.53 18d 1 1.10mi
1708 S Tucker Blvd Apt C St. Louis, MO 2.0 1.5 1400 $1,195 $0.85 12d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    remarks 299-char remark
  2. 2026-06-17
    listed $120,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,314
− Mortgage interest
−$6,722
− Property taxes
−$1,800
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,545
− Management
−$1,545
− Depreciation
−$3,491
Taxable income
$3,611
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$867
After-tax cash flow
$4,440/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Louis City
NCES district ID
2929280
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$35,685
Composite
11.54/100
National rank
#9699
State rank
#312 of 324 in MO

Livability — St. Louis

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
St. Louis, MO
County
Saint Louis City · 254,015 people
City population
283,259
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
8,778
Household income
$40,943
Rent vs Own
82.5% rent · 17.5% own
Severe rent burden
960.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
315,737 people
By 2030
313,865 · -0.6%
By 2040
305,439 · -3.3%
By 2050
296,529 · -6.1%
By 2075
271,028 · -14.2%
By 2100
255,359 · -19.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
White 43% Black 40% Asian 8% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, China
Languages at home
87% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 3% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
Solid D (+64.7) · D 81.4% · R 16.7% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-3.5pp toward R · 2008: 68.2pp · 2024: 64.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+64.7 2020: D+66.2 2016: D+63.7 2012: D+66.6 2008: D+68.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.66%
Current HPI
116.4477
Rent YoY
▲ 9.20%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+4709.6% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-18 Listed $120,000 FSBO.com
  • 2026-06-13 Listed for Rent $1,200 MARIS
  • 2026-06-04 Rental Removed $1,200 MARIS
  • 2026-06-03 Listed for Rent $1,200 MARIS
  • 2026-03-17 Rental Removed $2,000 MARIS
  • 2026-03-14 Listed for Rent $2,000 MARIS
  • 2026-03-05 Rental Removed $2,000 MARIS
  • 2026-01-07 Listed for Rent $2,000 MARIS
  • 2026-01-07 Rental Removed $1,100 MARIS
  • 2026-01-04 Listed for Rent $1,100 MARIS
  • 2026-01-01 Rental Removed $1,500 MARIS
  • 2025-09-24 Rental Removed $1,500 MARIS
  • 2025-08-22 Listed for Rent $1,500 MARIS
  • 2025-08-21 Listed for Rent $2,200 MARIS
  • 2025-06-27 Rental Removed $1,500 MARIS
  • 2025-05-08 Listed for Rent $1,500 MARIS
  • 2024-05-12 Rental Removed $2,495 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-04-25 Listed for Rent $2,495 APPFOLIO

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…