1709 Washington Ave · St. Louis, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.8/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.3/10.0
- Rent growth +4.8/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
HUGE and Gorgeous corner unit on the 5th floor with 12 ft ceilings, maple floors, and room to add walls for a second and 3rd bedroom if wanted. Seller is moving 5 hours away for work and is willing to discuss owner- finance with 6% down and 5.9 interest. Appliances are functional but need updating.
Key facts
- Built 1912
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area approximately 1,767 total square feet
Exterior
- Home design: Built in 1912; Two-story (implied by year and historic neighborhood)
- Construction: Historic construction (originally built 1912)
- Exterior features: Located in the Downtown West subdivision
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $442 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
- Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 5.0% in St. Louis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- St. Louis City (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #312 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.2%/yr); 70 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 294 units permitted in St. Louis city in 2024 (227 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,610/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($41k/yr) (locally 960% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($830 loan paydown + $797 appreciation (0.7% local appreciation)).
- St. Louis County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (0.7% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 10 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1912 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1912 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.34% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.79%
- DSCR
- 1.70
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.66% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.10×
- Total profit
- $36,984
- Equity at exit
- $38,884
- IRR
- 27.5%
- Equity multiple
- 4.79×
- Total profit
- $127,446
- Equity at exit
- $50,100
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63103
- Home prices YoY
- 0.6%
- Rents YoY
- 9.2%
- Active inventory
- 70
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,610 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$150 /mo · $1,800/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$338
- Net cashflow
- $442
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 31 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1635 Washington Ave Saint Louis, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 1135 | $1,395 | $1.23 | 3d | 4 | 0.05mi |
| 1627 Washington Ave Unit 202 St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1450 | $1,625 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 1627 Washington Ave Apt 503 St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,750 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 1611 Locust St Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2062 | $2,100 | $1.02 | 12d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 1717 Olive St Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 957 | $2,200 | $2.30 | 1d | 64 | 0.12mi |
| 1901 Washington Ave Saint Louis, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1076 | $1,250 | $1.16 | 4d | 38 | 0.14mi |
| 1324 Washington Ave St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1789 | $1,962 | $1.10 | 1d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 2034 Lucas Ave St. Louis, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,365 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 1307 Washington Ave St. Louis, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 1261 | $1,125 | $0.89 | 7d | 17 | 0.30mi |
| 703 N 13th St St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2516 | $2,990 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 1226 Olive St St. Louis, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1157 | $1,449 | $1.25 | 2d | 2 | 0.36mi |
| 1209 Washington Ave Saint Louis, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 1483 | $1,490 | $1.00 | 1d | 22 | 0.37mi |
| 2206 Lucas Ave St. Louis, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1047 | $1,250 | $1.19 | 1d | 20 | 0.39mi |
| 300 N Tucker Blvd St. Louis, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1013 | $1,200 | $1.18 | 1d | 10 | 0.43mi |
| 1110 Washington Ave Saint Louis, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1006 | $995 | $0.99 | 2d | 19 | 0.48mi |
| 2323 Locust ST #308 St Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1386 | $1,750 | $1.26 | 23d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 2323 Locust St Saint Louis, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 1239 | $1,250 | $1.01 | 44d | 2 | 0.51mi |
| 1014 Locust St Saint Louis, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1110 | $1,430 | $1.29 | 1d | 2 | 0.53mi |
| 1000 Washington Ave Saint Louis, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 959 | $1,200 | $1.25 | 1d | 24 | 0.53mi |
| 1006 Olive St Unit 702 St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,600 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 2647 Locust St St. Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.5 | 2168 | $2,950 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 800 Olive St Saint Louis, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1063 | $998 | $0.94 | 1d | 26 | 0.69mi |
| 1023 Spruce St St. Louis, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 957 | $1,075 | $1.12 | 2d | 17 | 0.70mi |
| 720 Olive St St. Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1778 | $2,447 | $1.38 | 1d | 15 | 0.72mi |
| 515 Olive St Saint Louis, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1117 | $1,285 | $1.15 | 1d | 26 | 0.84mi |
| 511 Olive St Saint Louis, MO | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 2053 | $2,400 | $1.17 | 44d | 9 | 0.87mi |
| 555 N 4th St St. Louis, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1180 | $1,165 | $0.99 | 44d | 12 | 0.93mi |
| 400 N 4th St Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1162 | $1,997 | $1.72 | 1d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 3041 Locust St St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1243 | $2,072 | $1.67 | 44d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 2300 Lasalle St Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1900 | $2,900 | $1.53 | 18d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1708 S Tucker Blvd Apt C St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $1,195 | $0.85 | 12d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-17remarks 299-char remark
-
2026-06-17$120,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,314
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$1,800
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,545
- − Management
- −$1,545
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable income
- $3,611
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$867
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,440/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Louis City
- NCES district ID
- 2929280
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,685
- Composite
- 11.54/100
- National rank
- #9699
- State rank
- #312 of 324 in MO
Livability — St. Louis
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. Louis, MO
- County
- Saint Louis City · 254,015 people
- City population
- 283,259
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,778
- Household income
- $40,943
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 960.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 315,737 people
- By 2030
- 313,865 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 305,439 · -3.3%
- By 2050
- 296,529 · -6.1%
- By 2075
- 271,028 · -14.2%
- By 2100
- 255,359 · -19.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 43% Black 40% Asian 8% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 3% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.7) · D 81.4% · R 16.7% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.5pp toward R · 2008: 68.2pp · 2024: 64.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.7 2020: D+66.2 2016: D+63.7 2012: D+66.6 2008: D+68.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.66%
- Current HPI
- 116.4477
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 9.20%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
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Price history
+4709.6% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Listed $120,000 FSBO.com
- 2026-06-13 Listed for Rent $1,200 MARIS
- 2026-06-04 Rental Removed $1,200 MARIS
- 2026-06-03 Listed for Rent $1,200 MARIS
- 2026-03-17 Rental Removed $2,000 MARIS
- 2026-03-14 Listed for Rent $2,000 MARIS
- 2026-03-05 Rental Removed $2,000 MARIS
- 2026-01-07 Listed for Rent $2,000 MARIS
- 2026-01-07 Rental Removed $1,100 MARIS
- 2026-01-04 Listed for Rent $1,100 MARIS
- 2026-01-01 Rental Removed $1,500 MARIS
- 2025-09-24 Rental Removed $1,500 MARIS
- 2025-08-22 Listed for Rent $1,500 MARIS
- 2025-08-21 Listed for Rent $2,200 MARIS
- 2025-06-27 Rental Removed $1,500 MARIS
- 2025-05-08 Listed for Rent $1,500 MARIS
- 2024-05-12 Rental Removed $2,495 APPFOLIO
- 2024-04-25 Listed for Rent $2,495 APPFOLIO
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…