26B Yorkshire Ct · Leisure Village West, NJ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 63.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.5/30.0
- ARV discount +11.2/15.0
- 1% rule +9.1/10.0
- DSCR +7.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$189,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Enjoy an engaging lifestyle in this vibrant 55+ gated community, where boredom is never an option. Residents have access to a wide array of amenities, including golf, two swimming pools, three clubhouses, and numerous activities that cater to various interests. This is a fantastic opportunity to settle on a peaceful cul-de-sac in a comfortable home. The residence offers two bedrooms and one and a half bathrooms, providing ample space for relaxation and privacy. The home features a spacious living room, an eat-in kitchen perfect for casual dining, and a cozy sunroom that invites relaxation. Additionally, there is plenty of storage available in the attic, ensuring convenience and organization for homeowners.
Key facts
- Gated community
- Two swimming pools
- Three clubhouses
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $356 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $190k).
- Recommended offer: $184k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 5.9% in Leisure Village West — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#261 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Manchester Township School District (suburban): math 25% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #320 of 472 in NJ (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 658 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 56% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 4,434 units permitted in Ocean County in 2024 (868 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ocean County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($184k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $50k; list at $190k implies a 281% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 63% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.41% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.04%
- DSCR
- 1.36
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $207,240
- List price
- $189,999
- Delta
- -8.32%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.85×
- Total profit
- $-7,785
- Equity at exit
- $28,329
- IRR
- 6.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.45×
- Total profit
- $23,709
- Equity at exit
- $16,428
Cash invested: $53,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08759
- Active inventory
- 658
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,674 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax from tax record
- −$262 /mo · $3,144/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$419
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$562
- Net cashflow
- $356
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $464 | -5% $410 | +0% $356 | +5% $302 | +10% $249 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $145 | -5% $251 | +0% $356 | +5% $462 | +10% $568 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $452 | -0.5pp $405 | base $356 | +0.5pp $307 | +1.0pp $257 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,500
- Closing costs
- $5,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43C Edinburgh Ln Manchester, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 836 | $2,200 | $2.63 | 45d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 73 Buckingham Dr N Manchester, NJ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 967 | $2,200 | $2.28 | 45d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1033 Birmingham Ave Toms River, NJ | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1250 | $2,700 | $2.16 | 0d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1425 Amsterdam Ave Toms River, NJ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1376 | $3,500 | $2.54 | 45d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 1540 Birmingham Ave Toms River, NJ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $2,900 | $2.15 | 45d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 150 Farm Rd Manchester, NJ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1280 | $3,000 | $2.34 | 23d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 501 Bismarck St Toms River, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $2,775 | $2.13 | 45d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 2556 Woodland Rd Manchester, NJ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1409 | $3,500 | $2.48 | 14d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 2556 Woodland Rd Manchester, NJ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1409 | $3,500 | $2.48 | 0d | 1 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $419 · $5,028/yr
- Likely covers
- poolsecurity
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $189,999 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $189,999 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $189,999 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $189,999 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $189,999 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $189,999 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $189,999 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $189,999 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $189,999 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $189,999 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $189,999 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $189,999 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $189,999 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $189,999 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-05-08status Active 717-char remark
Show marketing remark (717 chars)
Enjoy an engaging lifestyle in this vibrant 55+ gated community, where boredom is never an option. Residents have access to a wide array of amenities, including golf, two swimming pools, three clubhouses, and numerous activities that cater to various interests. This is a fantastic opportunity to settle on a peaceful cul-de-sac in a comfortable home. The residence offers two bedrooms and one and a half bathrooms, providing ample space for relaxation and privacy. The home features a spacious living room, an eat-in kitchen perfect for casual dining, and a cozy sunroom that invites relaxation. Additionally, there is plenty of storage available in the attic, ensuring convenience and organization for homeowners.
-
2026-04-27status Pending 717-char remark
Show marketing remark (717 chars)
Enjoy an engaging lifestyle in this vibrant 55+ gated community, where boredom is never an option. Residents have access to a wide array of amenities, including golf, two swimming pools, three clubhouses, and numerous activities that cater to various interests. This is a fantastic opportunity to settle on a peaceful cul-de-sac in a comfortable home. The residence offers two bedrooms and one and a half bathrooms, providing ample space for relaxation and privacy. The home features a spacious living room, an eat-in kitchen perfect for casual dining, and a cozy sunroom that invites relaxation. Additionally, there is plenty of storage available in the attic, ensuring convenience and organization for homeowners.
-
2026-04-16$189,999 Active 717-char remark
Show marketing remark (717 chars)
Enjoy an engaging lifestyle in this vibrant 55+ gated community, where boredom is never an option. Residents have access to a wide array of amenities, including golf, two swimming pools, three clubhouses, and numerous activities that cater to various interests. This is a fantastic opportunity to settle on a peaceful cul-de-sac in a comfortable home. The residence offers two bedrooms and one and a half bathrooms, providing ample space for relaxation and privacy. The home features a spacious living room, an eat-in kitchen perfect for casual dining, and a cozy sunroom that invites relaxation. Additionally, there is plenty of storage available in the attic, ensuring convenience and organization for homeowners.
-
1994-01-28soldstatus $49,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,144 · $262/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,938 · $328/mo
- Expected delta
- +$793/yr (+$66/mo · 25.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 63% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,093
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,643
- − Property taxes
- −$3,144
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,567
- − Management
- −$2,567
- − HOA
- −$5,028
- − Depreciation
- −$5,527
- Taxable income
- $1,666
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$400
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,875/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Manchester Township School District
- NCES district ID
- 3409450
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,905
- Composite
- 28.8/100
- National rank
- #6662
- State rank
- #320 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Leisure Village West
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #261
- US rank
- #7714
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Leisure Village West, NJ
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,290
Population outlook (Ocean County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 586,991 people
- By 2030
- 581,403 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 564,913 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 538,149 · -8.3%
- By 2075
- 468,845 · -20.1%
- By 2100
- 350,297 · -40.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 4% Two or more races 4% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Scotch-Irish 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Ocean
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+36.0) · D 31.4% · R 67.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.6pp toward R · 2008: -18.4pp · 2024: -36.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+36.0 2020: R+28.7 2016: R+34.0 2012: R+17.7 2008: R+18.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -347.85%
- Current HPI
- 274.4679
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
+280.8% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Relisted — MOMLS
- 2026-04-27 Pending — MOMLS
- 2026-04-16 Listed $189,999 MOMLS
- 1994-01-28 Sold (Public Records) $49,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.4%/yrLatest (2025): $3,144 · +10.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…