3921 Cobb St · Little Rock, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 12.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +4.2/15.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$59,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This beautiful cottage is located in a friendly quite neighborhood. A must see for anyone that wants a cozy home that is centrally located. It sits behind a fence for your privacy. The kitchen has been updated. Investors don't miss this gem. Schedule a showing today!
Key facts
- Window coverings
- Level lot
- Backyard firepit
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Frame exterior
- Construction: Tar/gravel roof; Piers foundation
- Exterior features: Level lot; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing stove; Refrigerator stays
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom about 11 x 13; Second bedroom about 9 x 11
- Flooring: Laminate
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Floor/wall furnace
- Interior features: Laminate flooring; Floor/wall furnace heating
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $379 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($947 rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $58k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.9% vs local median 4.1% in Little Rock — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#22 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Little Rock School District (urban): math 23% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #183 of 238 in AR (top 77%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Western Hills Elem. School (math 8% / reading 8%, grade F, #440 of 454 statewide, top 98%, 287 students, 89% FRL); Little Rock Southwest High School (math 2% / reading 9%, grade F, #286 of 292 statewide, top 98%, 2,014 students, 78% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 6% at this address vs 24% district-wide (-18 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Little Rock School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 186 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,006 units permitted in Pulaski County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pulaski County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $26k; list at $60k implies a 130% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.58% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.12%
- DSCR
- 2.21
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $55,776
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3408 Tatum | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (0%) | 6mo | $56,000 | $83 | 78 |
| 3224 Potter St | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (0%) | 2mo | $53,000 | $79 | 76 |
| 3601 Malloy St | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 | 700 (+4%) | 16mo | $105,000 | $150 | 60 |
| 2805 Longcoy | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 | 704 (+5%) | 24mo | $34,000 | $48 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.91% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.97×
- Total profit
- $16,280
- Equity at exit
- $8,931
- IRR
- 32.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.17×
- Total profit
- $53,129
- Equity at exit
- $5,179
Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72204
- Home prices YoY
- -21.5%
- Rents YoY
- 4.9%
- Active inventory
- 186
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $947 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$314
- Tax from tax record
- −$30 /mo · $364/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$199
- Net cashflow
- $379
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $413 | -5% $396 | +0% $379 | +5% $362 | +10% $345 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $304 | -5% $342 | +0% $379 | +5% $417 | +10% $454 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $409 | -0.5pp $394 | base $379 | +0.5pp $364 | +1.0pp $348 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,975
- Closing costs
- $1,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3415 Town & Country Ave Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 645 | $675 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-04-24status Under Contract
-
2026-04-17price $59,900
-
2026-03-13$64,900 New Listing
-
2020-06-24soldstatus $26,000 Sold 267-char remark
Show marketing remark (267 chars)
This beautiful cottage is located in a friendly quite neighborhood. A must see for anyone that wants a cozy home that is centrally located. It sits behind a fence for your privacy. The kitchen has been updated. Investors don't miss this gem. Schedule a showing today!
-
2020-06-18status Under Contract 267-char remark
Show marketing remark (267 chars)
This beautiful cottage is located in a friendly quite neighborhood. A must see for anyone that wants a cozy home that is centrally located. It sits behind a fence for your privacy. The kitchen has been updated. Investors don't miss this gem. Schedule a showing today!
-
2020-06-04status Back on Market 267-char remark
Show marketing remark (267 chars)
This beautiful cottage is located in a friendly quite neighborhood. A must see for anyone that wants a cozy home that is centrally located. It sits behind a fence for your privacy. The kitchen has been updated. Investors don't miss this gem. Schedule a showing today!
-
2020-05-31historical Take Backups 267-char remark
Show marketing remark (267 chars)
This beautiful cottage is located in a friendly quite neighborhood. A must see for anyone that wants a cozy home that is centrally located. It sits behind a fence for your privacy. The kitchen has been updated. Investors don't miss this gem. Schedule a showing today!
-
2020-04-07price $38,999 267-char remark
Show marketing remark (267 chars)
This beautiful cottage is located in a friendly quite neighborhood. A must see for anyone that wants a cozy home that is centrally located. It sits behind a fence for your privacy. The kitchen has been updated. Investors don't miss this gem. Schedule a showing today!
-
2020-02-24$39,999 New Listing 267-char remark
Show marketing remark (267 chars)
This beautiful cottage is located in a friendly quite neighborhood. A must see for anyone that wants a cozy home that is centrally located. It sits behind a fence for your privacy. The kitchen has been updated. Investors don't miss this gem. Schedule a showing today!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $364 · $30/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $383 · $32/mo
- Expected delta
- +$19/yr (+$2/mo · 5.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 12% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,370
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,355
- − Property taxes
- −$364
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$910
- − Management
- −$910
- − Depreciation
- −$1,743
- Taxable income
- $3,789
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$909
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,640/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Little Rock School District
- NCES district ID
- 0509000
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,346
- Composite
- 21.0/100
- National rank
- #8457
- State rank
- #183 of 238 in AR
Livability — Little Rock
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #22
- US rank
- #5295
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Little Rock, AR
- County
- Pulaski County · 372,764 people
- City population
- 218,896
- Metro
- Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,525
- Household income
- $40,882
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1553.0
Population outlook (Pulaski County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,378 people
- By 2030
- 423,720 · +2.0%
- By 2040
- 435,182 · +4.8%
- By 2050
- 440,904 · +6.1%
- By 2075
- 445,521 · +7.3%
- By 2100
- 419,173 · +0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 66% White 18% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 9% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pulaski
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.1) · D 59.8% · R 37.7% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +10.6pp toward D · 2008: 11.6pp · 2024: 22.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.1 2020: D+22.5 2016: D+17.9 2012: D+11.4 2008: D+11.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -47.17%
- Current HPI
- 172.3977
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.91%
- Metro
- Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+49.8% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Pending — CARMLS
- 2026-04-17 Price Changed $59,900 CARMLS
- 2026-03-13 Listed $64,900 CARMLS
- 2020-06-24 Sold (MLS) $26,000 CARMLS
- 2020-06-18 Pending — CARMLS
- 2020-06-04 Relisted — CARMLS
- 2020-05-31 Contingent — CARMLS
- 2020-04-07 Price Changed $38,999 CARMLS
- 2020-02-24 Listed $39,999 CARMLS
Property tax history
+1.1%/yrLatest (2025): $364 · -22.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…