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144 Craig Ave 🏷️ Likely Rental
B Composite 70.43
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.4/10.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$339,900

144 Craig Ave · Fairbanks, AK 99701
6 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,496 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 49 Days on market
Built 1984 Fair condition 7,427 sqft lot $136/sqft · 22% below area Est $429k · 21% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks

Investment opportunity in the Hamilton Ave neighborhood! Here is a great chance to own a property with rental income and potential right in the heart of town. Each 3 bedroom unit has it's own garage space and washer/dryer. Rents are $1,900 and $2,000/month. Landlord pays all utilities only one meter. Long term tenants currently month to month each.

Key facts

  • 7,427 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1984

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $339,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$429,124) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 6-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $340k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $929 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $340k).
  • Recommended offer: $330k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 4.9% in Fairbanks — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#95 in AK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Fairbanks North Star Borough School District (urban): math 33% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #10 of 21 in AK (top 48%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 134 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1 units permitted in Fairbanks North Star Borough in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $4,222/mo this rent would consume 67% of the median local household income ($76k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Fairbanks North Star County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($330k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $329,703 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.24%
Cap rate
9.77%
Cash-on-cash
12.41%
DSCR
1.55
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$429,124
List price
$339,900
Delta
-20.79%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
286 le Ann Dr 0.24mi 5/3.0 (-1) 2,440 (-2%) 2mo $339,950 $139 75
350 Carlton Dr 0.45mi 6/2.0 2,576 (+3%) 22mo $315,000 $122 56
417/419 Baranof Ave 0.33mi 6/3.5 2,744 (+10%) 14mo $399,900 $146 50
82 D St 0.55mi 6/4.0 2,794 (+12%) 17mo $200,000 $72 32
1316 Joyce Dr 0.51mi 5/4.0 (-1) 2,158 (-14%) 14mo $459,990 $213 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.62% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.4%
Equity multiple
0.98×
Total profit
$-1,594
Equity at exit
$50,680
10-year hold
IRR
7.7%
Equity multiple
1.55×
Total profit
$52,123
Equity at exit
$29,388

Cash invested: $95,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
80 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alaska
80 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
30-day notice; security deposits capped; courts moderate-paced.
Balanced market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
1 active
Months of supply
6.0 mo (17%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$420,000 ($195/sqft)
Median days on market
32 d
This list price
lowest-priced of the active set
ARV vs active asking
-12.0% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 99701

Home prices YoY
-19.4%
Rents YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
134
Price-to-rent
13.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,222 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,782
Tax from tax record
$427 /mo · $5,121/yr
Insurance
$142
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$887
Net cashflow
$929

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $4,222

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,046
Max offer price $339,900
Occupancy floor 73%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,121 -5% $1,025 +0% $929 +5% $833 +10% $737
Rent -10% $595 -5% $762 +0% $929 +5% $1,096 +10% $1,263
Rate -1.0pp $1,100 -0.5pp $1,015 base $929 +0.5pp $841 +1.0pp $751

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$84,975
Closing costs
$10,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
635 10th Ave Unit 5 Fairbanks, AK 3.0 2.0 $2,195 93d 1 1.21mi
910 4th Ave Fairbanks, AK 2.0 1.0 1048 $1,700 $1.62 93d 1 1.34mi
4268 Neely Rd Fort Wainwright, AK 3.0–4.0 2.5 2138 $2,106 $0.99 93d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 32 events

  1. 2026-07-03
    days on market $339,900 Active 49 DOM
  2. 2026-07-02
    days on market $339,900 Active 48 DOM
  3. 2026-07-01
    days on market $339,900 Active 47 DOM
  4. 2026-06-30
    days on market $339,900 Active 46 DOM
  5. 2026-06-29
    days on market $339,900 Active 45 DOM
  6. 2026-06-28
    days on market $339,900 Active 44 DOM
  7. 2026-06-28
    days on market $339,900 Active 43 DOM
  8. 2026-06-27
    days on market $339,900 Active 42 DOM
  9. 2026-06-26
    days on market $339,900 Active 41 DOM
  10. 2026-06-22
    days on market $339,900 Active 38 DOM
  11. 2026-06-21
    days on market $339,900 Active 37 DOM
  12. 2026-06-19
    days on market $339,900 Active 35 DOM
  13. 2026-06-18
    days on market $339,900 Active 34 DOM
  14. 2026-06-17
    days on market $339,900 Active 33 DOM
  15. 2026-06-16
    days on market $339,900 Active 32 DOM
  16. 2026-06-15
    days on market $339,900 Active 31 DOM
  17. 2026-06-14
    days on market $339,900 Active 29 DOM
  18. 2026-06-13
    days on market $339,900 Active 28 DOM
  19. 2026-06-10
    days on market $339,900 Active 26 DOM
  20. 2026-06-09
    days on market $339,900 Active 25 DOM
  21. 2026-06-08
    days on market $339,900 Active 24 DOM
  22. 2026-06-05
    days on market $339,900 Active 20 DOM
  23. 2026-06-03
    days on market $339,900 Active 19 DOM
  24. 2026-06-02
    days on market $339,900 Active 18 DOM
  25. 2026-06-01
    days on market $339,900 Active 17 DOM
  26. 2026-05-31
    days on market $339,900 Active 16 DOM
  27. 2026-05-30
    days on market $339,900 Active 15 DOM
  28. 2026-05-16
    listed $339,900 Active 350-char remark
  29. 2018-04-20
    listed $244,900
  30. 2010-09-24
    soldstatus
  31. 2009-08-12
    soldstatus
  32. 2007-10-31
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AK · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,121 · $427/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,121 · $427/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X · 76% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$50,664
− Mortgage interest
−$19,040
− Property taxes
−$5,121
− Insurance
−$2,366
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,053
− Management
−$4,053
− Depreciation
−$9,888
Taxable income
$6,143
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,474
After-tax cash flow
$9,674/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 3 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab Est. rehab $62,400–$112,320 screening

This multi-family property requires significant exterior repairs and maintenance, including roof and siding work, to improve its condition and value.

Deferred maintenance Est. $30,000–$90,000 screening

  • Major Roof (roof) — The roof appears to be in poor condition with visible damage and missing shingles.
  • Major Windows (windows) — The windows have visible damage and appear to be in poor condition.
  • Major Exterior (exterior) — The exterior of the house shows significant wear and tear, with peeling paint and structural issues.

Repairs flagged

  • Major roof — Significant damage visible
  • Major exterior siding — Severe peeling and damage
  • Major exterior paint — Significant peeling and damage

Value-add opportunities

  • Both paint and repair exterior — Improves curb appeal and rental value
  • Both repair roof — Essential for structural integrity and rental value
  • Both landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and rental value

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 32/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Anne Wien Elementary F AK #122/156 Nat'l #30,133/41,679 Middle Tanana Middle School F AK #24/36 Nat'l #7,937/14,009 High Lathrop High School F AK #24/61 Nat'l #9,001/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fairbanks North Star Borough School District
NCES district ID
0200600
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$69,697
Composite
35.5/100
National rank
#4915
State rank
#10 of 21 in AK
D Composite livability gradescore 57/100

Livability — Fairbanks

Score
57/100
State rank
#95
US rank
#21394

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fairbanks, AK
County
Fairbanks North Star Borough · 101,607 people
City population
47,612
Metro
Fairbanks, AK
Population (ZIP)
18,061
Household income
$75,668
Rent vs Own
54.6% rent · 45.4% own
Severe rent burden
9% of renters

Population outlook (Fairbanks North Star County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
101,607 people
By 2030
102,796 · +1.2%
By 2040
104,748 · +3.1%
By 2050
107,598 · +5.9%
By 2075
118,829 · +16.9%
By 2100
127,151 · +25.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Two or more races 14% Native American 12% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 6% Black 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Slovak 3% Portuguese 3%
Foreign-born
7% · South Korea, Canada, China
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 4% Korean 2% Tagalog/Filipino 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Fairbanks North Star

2016 margin
R (+15.2) · D 37.7% · R 52.9% · Other 9.4%
All cycles
2016: R+15.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

4 events — show timeline
  • 2018-04-20 Listed $244,900 AKMLS
  • 2010-09-24 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2009-08-12 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2007-10-31 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+2.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,121 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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