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205 S Mariah St
D Composite 43.43
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +7.3/10.0
  • DSCR +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$179,900

205 S Mariah St · Winslow, IN 47598
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,888 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 25 Days on market
Built 1930 1.70 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This home is to be sold "As Is" and "Where Is".

Key facts

  • New siding
  • New gutters
  • New electrical

Tags

NEW ROOFNEW GUTTERSNEW SIDINGCUSTOM-BUILT CABINETSSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESNEW ELECTRICAL

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (2 spaces); Gravel parking areas
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family site-built home; Two stories
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation; Asphalt roof; Built as a site-built home
  • Exterior features: Covered porch; Rolling slope lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Electric oven; Gas range
  • Bedrooms: Master on main level
  • Flooring: Hardwood floors
  • Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms; One main-level bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Multi-unit cooling
  • Interior features: Master bedroom on the main level; Partial basement with exterior entry
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry on the main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $180k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-53 ($-632/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $171k (5.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $134k (25.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $134k (25.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#439 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D+, employment D+.
  • Pike County School Corporation (rural): math 29% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #203 of 301 in IN (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Winslow Elementary School (math 42% / reading 42%, grade F, #434 of 994 statewide, top 48%, 275 students, 57% FRL); Pike Central Middle School (math 20% / reading 33%, grade F, #236 of 330 statewide, top 72%, 366 students, 49% FRL); Pike Central High School (math 32% / reading 57%, grade F, #169 of 369 statewide, top 51%, 475 students, 44% FRL) — zoned schools average 50% FRL vs 33% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 7 units permitted in Pike County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $9k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $8k appreciation (4.6% local appreciation)).
  • Pike County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (4.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($177k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $25k; list at $180k implies a 620% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $134,093 (25.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.75%
Cap rate
5.94%
Cash-on-cash
-1.26%
DSCR
0.94
GRM
11.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.59% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.7%
Equity multiple
1.67×
Total profit
$33,833
Equity at exit
$97,464
10-year hold
IRR
12.2%
Equity multiple
3.13×
Total profit
$107,188
Equity at exit
$164,614

Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 47598

Home prices YoY
1.8%
Active inventory
12
Price-to-rent
11.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,341 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$943
Tax from tax record
$94 /mo · $1,124/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$282
Net cashflow
$-53

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,408
Max offer price $170,589
Occupancy floor 99%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $49 -5% $-2 +0% $-53 +5% $-104 +10% $-155
Rent -10% $-159 -5% $-106 +0% $-53 +5% $0 +10% $53
Rate -1.0pp $38 -0.5pp $-7 base $-53 +0.5pp $-99 +1.0pp $-147

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$44,975
Closing costs
$5,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $179,900 Active 25 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $179,900 Active 23 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $179,900 Active 22 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $179,900 Active 21 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $179,900 Active 20 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $179,900 Active 19 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $179,900 Active 17 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $179,900 Active 16 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $179,900 Active 13 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $179,900 Active 12 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $179,900 Active 11 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $179,900 Active 10 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $179,900 Active 7 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $179,900 Active 6 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $179,900 Active 5 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $179,900 Active 4 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $179,900 Active 3 DOM
  18. 2026-05-27
    listed $179,900 Active
  19. 2022-10-11
    soldstatus $25,000
  20. 2016-02-16
    soldstatus $13,000
  21. 2016-02-09
    soldstatus $13,000 67-char remark
    Show marketing remark (67 chars)

    This home is to be sold "As Is" and "Where Is".

  22. 2015-06-03
    listed $13,000 67-char remark
    Show marketing remark (67 chars)

    This home is to be sold "As Is" and "Where Is".

  23. 2009-03-10
    soldstatus $47,000
  24. 2009-03-10
    soldstatus $47,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,124 · $94/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,327 · $111/mo
Expected delta
+$203/yr (+$17/mo · 18.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,091
− Mortgage interest
−$10,077
− Property taxes
−$1,124
− Insurance
−$900
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,287
− Management
−$1,287
− Depreciation
−$5,233
Taxable loss
−$3,818
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$916
After-tax cash flow
$284/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pike County School Corporation
NCES district ID
1808900
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$43,646
Composite
28.88/100
National rank
#6642
State rank
#203 of 301 in IN

Livability — Winslow

Score
63/100
State rank
#439
US rank
#15731

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Winslow, IN
Population (ZIP)
2,908

Population outlook (Pike County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
11,816 people
By 2030
11,348 · -4.0%
By 2040
10,351 · -12.4%
By 2050
9,410 · -20.4%
By 2075
7,638 · -35.4%
By 2100
6,118 · -48.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Iranian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pike

2024 margin
Solid R (+54.9) · D 21.9% · R 76.7% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-46.2pp toward R · 2008: -8.6pp · 2024: -54.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+54.9 2020: R+52.7 2016: R+51.9 2012: R+25.4 2008: R+8.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.59%
Current HPI
256.5906
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+282.8% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Listed $179,900 IRMLS
  • 2022-10-11 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
  • 2016-02-16 Sold (Public Records) $13,000 Public Records
  • 2016-02-09 Sold (MLS) $13,000 IRMLS
  • 2015-06-03 Listed $13,000 IRMLS
  • 2009-03-10 Sold (Public Records) $47,000 Public Records
  • 2009-03-10 Sold (Public Records) $47,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.1%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,124 · -46.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…