205 S Mariah St · Winslow, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.7/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +7.3/10.0
- DSCR +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- 1% rule +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$179,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This home is to be sold "As Is" and "Where Is".
Key facts
- New siding
- New gutters
- New electrical
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (2 spaces); Gravel parking areas
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family site-built home; Two stories
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation; Asphalt roof; Built as a site-built home
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Rolling slope lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Electric oven; Gas range
- Bedrooms: Master on main level
- Flooring: Hardwood floors
- Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms; One main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Multi-unit cooling
- Interior features: Master bedroom on the main level; Partial basement with exterior entry
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry on the main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-53 ($-632/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $171k (5.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $134k (25.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $134k (25.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#439 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D+, employment D+.
- Pike County School Corporation (rural): math 29% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #203 of 301 in IN (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Winslow Elementary School (math 42% / reading 42%, grade F, #434 of 994 statewide, top 48%, 275 students, 57% FRL); Pike Central Middle School (math 20% / reading 33%, grade F, #236 of 330 statewide, top 72%, 366 students, 49% FRL); Pike Central High School (math 32% / reading 57%, grade F, #169 of 369 statewide, top 51%, 475 students, 44% FRL) — zoned schools average 50% FRL vs 33% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 7 units permitted in Pike County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $9k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $8k appreciation (4.6% local appreciation)).
- Pike County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (4.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($177k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $25k; list at $180k implies a 620% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.75% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.26%
- DSCR
- 0.94
- GRM
- 11.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.59% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.67×
- Total profit
- $33,833
- Equity at exit
- $97,464
- IRR
- 12.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.13×
- Total profit
- $107,188
- Equity at exit
- $164,614
Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 47598
- Home prices YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 12
- Price-to-rent
- 11.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,341 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$943
- Tax from tax record
- −$94 /mo · $1,124/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$282
- Net cashflow
- $-53
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $49 | -5% $-2 | +0% $-53 | +5% $-104 | +10% $-155 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-159 | -5% $-106 | +0% $-53 | +5% $0 | +10% $53 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $38 | -0.5pp $-7 | base $-53 | +0.5pp $-99 | +1.0pp $-147 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,975
- Closing costs
- $5,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $179,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $179,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $179,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $179,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $179,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $179,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $179,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $179,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $179,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $179,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $179,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $179,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $179,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $179,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $179,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $179,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $179,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-27$179,900 Active
-
2022-10-11soldstatus $25,000
-
2016-02-16soldstatus $13,000
-
2016-02-09soldstatus $13,000 67-char remark
Show marketing remark (67 chars)
This home is to be sold "As Is" and "Where Is".
-
2015-06-03$13,000 67-char remark
Show marketing remark (67 chars)
This home is to be sold "As Is" and "Where Is".
-
2009-03-10soldstatus $47,000
-
2009-03-10soldstatus $47,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,124 · $94/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,327 · $111/mo
- Expected delta
- +$203/yr (+$17/mo · 18.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,091
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,077
- − Property taxes
- −$1,124
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,287
- − Management
- −$1,287
- − Depreciation
- −$5,233
- Taxable loss
- −$3,818
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$916
- After-tax cash flow
- $284/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pike County School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1808900
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,646
- Composite
- 28.88/100
- National rank
- #6642
- State rank
- #203 of 301 in IN
Livability — Winslow
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #439
- US rank
- #15731
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Winslow, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,908
Population outlook (Pike County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 11,816 people
- By 2030
- 11,348 · -4.0%
- By 2040
- 10,351 · -12.4%
- By 2050
- 9,410 · -20.4%
- By 2075
- 7,638 · -35.4%
- By 2100
- 6,118 · -48.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Iranian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pike
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+54.9) · D 21.9% · R 76.7% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -46.2pp toward R · 2008: -8.6pp · 2024: -54.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+54.9 2020: R+52.7 2016: R+51.9 2012: R+25.4 2008: R+8.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.59%
- Current HPI
- 256.5906
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+282.8% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Listed $179,900 IRMLS
- 2022-10-11 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
- 2016-02-16 Sold (Public Records) $13,000 Public Records
- 2016-02-09 Sold (MLS) $13,000 IRMLS
- 2015-06-03 Listed $13,000 IRMLS
- 2009-03-10 Sold (Public Records) $47,000 Public Records
- 2009-03-10 Sold (Public Records) $47,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.1%/yrLatest (2024): $1,124 · -46.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…